Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#283
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#263
Pace59.6#363
Improvement-0.7#244

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#282
First Shot-6.7#345
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#47
Layup/Dunks-2.2#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#201
Freethrows-3.6#340
Improvement-2.1#334

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#251
First Shot-1.5#218
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#259
Layups/Dunks-0.3#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#209
Freethrows-3.0#329
Improvement+1.3#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.2% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 17.3% 29.6% 11.6%
.500 or above in Conference 38.1% 47.3% 33.9%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.7% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 4.1% 7.3%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round1.3% 2.2% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 31.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 82 - 10
Quad 49 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 309 @Central Michigan L 66-82 44%     0 - 1 -21.2 -4.6 -17.8
  Sun, Nov 9 336 NC Central W 76-54 76%     1 - 1 +8.0 +4.2 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 11 25 @Ohio St. L 53-75 2%     1 - 2 -4.5 -4.3 -3.3
  Sun, Nov 16 261 @Dartmouth W 85-77 35%     2 - 2 +5.3 +9.0 -3.9
  Fri, Nov 21 186 Charlotte W 65-63 43%     3 - 2 -2.9 +3.6 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 24 223 Elon L 53-88 50%     3 - 3 -41.7 -19.9 -27.0
  Wed, Nov 26 191 @Mercer L 67-75 24%     3 - 4 -7.1 +1.9 -10.0
  Sun, Nov 30 210 @UNC Asheville L 55-67 26%     3 - 5 -12.0 -14.3 +1.3
  Thu, Dec 11 245 @East Carolina L 64-69 32%    
  Sun, Dec 14 93 High Point L 66-78 13%    
  Thu, Dec 18 260 Coastal Carolina W 67-65 58%    
  Sat, Dec 20 334 Georgia St. W 69-62 74%    
  Wed, Dec 31 220 @Old Dominion L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 170 @Marshall L 65-74 21%    
  Thu, Jan 8 334 @Georgia St. W 66-65 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 260 @Coastal Carolina L 64-68 35%    
  Thu, Jan 15 169 James Madison L 66-69 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 220 Old Dominion L 67-68 50%    
  Thu, Jan 22 318 Louisiana W 64-59 68%    
  Sat, Jan 24 357 Louisiana Monroe W 73-63 83%    
  Thu, Jan 29 219 @Southern Miss L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 31 146 @Troy L 62-72 17%    
  Wed, Feb 4 165 South Alabama L 63-66 40%    
  Wed, Feb 11 226 @Georgia Southern L 67-73 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 169 @James Madison L 63-72 22%    
  Thu, Feb 19 170 Marshall L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 226 Georgia Southern W 71-70 50%    
  Fri, Feb 27 232 @Texas St. L 61-66 31%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 2.3 0.3 6.0 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 3.7 0.7 7.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.7 1.7 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.6 3.5 0.3 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.1 1.1 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.9 2.2 0.1 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.5 2.9 0.3 11.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.4 6.3 9.6 12.5 14.3 14.0 12.7 9.7 7.2 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 80.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.8% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 20.3% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.8% 13.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 24.3% 24.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.2% 20.5% 20.5% 15.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0
13-5 2.4% 14.3% 14.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.0
12-6 4.5% 6.6% 6.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.2
11-7 7.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.0
10-8 9.7% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 9.7
9-9 12.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.6
8-10 14.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 13.9
7-11 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.3
6-12 12.5% 12.5
5-13 9.6% 9.6
4-14 6.3% 6.3
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.2 0.6 0.6 98.6 0.0%