East Carolina
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#245
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#285
Pace72.3#112
Improvement+0.3#166

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#277
First Shot-0.4#190
After Offensive Rebound-3.6#346
Layup/Dunks+2.2#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#332
Freethrows+3.4#31
Improvement-1.1#271

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#188
First Shot-2.9#269
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#64
Layups/Dunks+0.6#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#230
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#286
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement+1.4#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.9
.500 or above 7.7% 9.9% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 15.3% 17.4% 10.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 28.9% 26.2% 35.2%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Greensboro (Home) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 33 - 73 - 16
Quad 48 - 511 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 226 Georgia Southern W 92-89 59%     1 - 0 -4.0 +3.6 -7.9
  Sat, Nov 8 104 @Richmond L 72-87 13%     1 - 1 -7.5 -1.4 -5.3
  Tue, Nov 18 109 @UNC Wilmington L 60-85 14%     1 - 2 -17.9 -8.0 -11.0
  Fri, Nov 21 288 Charleston Southern L 65-77 69%     1 - 3 -21.9 -12.1 -9.8
  Tue, Nov 25 10 Michigan St. L 56-89 2%     1 - 4 -14.0 -7.4 -5.6
  Thu, Nov 27 111 St. Bonaventure L 58-67 21%     1 - 5 -5.2 -12.7 +7.6
  Tue, Dec 2 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-56 81%     2 - 5 -2.2 +3.6 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 6 293 UNC Greensboro W 76-70 70%    
  Thu, Dec 11 283 Appalachian St. W 69-64 68%    
  Sun, Dec 14 215 Buffalo W 75-73 56%    
  Wed, Dec 17 257 Presbyterian W 67-63 63%    
  Mon, Dec 22 21 @North Carolina L 65-88 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 172 Tulane L 75-76 48%    
  Wed, Jan 7 157 @Temple L 73-81 25%    
  Sun, Jan 11 112 UAB L 73-78 31%    
  Wed, Jan 14 79 @South Florida L 71-86 9%    
  Sun, Jan 18 186 Charlotte W 71-70 51%    
  Wed, Jan 21 97 @Wichita St. L 65-78 12%    
  Sat, Jan 24 145 @North Texas L 63-72 22%    
  Wed, Jan 28 217 Rice W 72-70 56%    
  Sun, Feb 1 126 @Florida Atlantic L 70-80 17%    
  Sat, Feb 7 157 Temple L 76-78 45%    
  Wed, Feb 11 269 Texas San Antonio W 76-72 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 217 @Rice L 69-73 35%    
  Wed, Feb 18 97 Wichita St. L 68-75 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 186 @Charlotte L 67-73 31%    
  Wed, Feb 25 269 @Texas San Antonio L 73-75 45%    
  Sun, Mar 1 75 Memphis L 70-79 21%    
  Thu, Mar 5 91 Tulsa L 70-77 26%    
  Sun, Mar 8 112 @UAB L 70-81 16%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.3 0.1 4.6 6th
7th 0.6 2.5 2.5 0.3 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.0 0.9 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.2 2.6 5.1 2.0 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.4 6.3 3.3 0.3 12.6 10th
11th 0.3 2.5 6.4 4.7 0.6 0.0 14.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.8 7.1 5.2 1.0 0.0 17.9 12th
13th 0.6 2.4 5.3 6.0 3.4 0.8 0.0 18.6 13th
Total 0.6 2.5 6.1 10.1 13.2 15.1 15.0 12.5 9.7 6.9 4.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 84.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 66.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 4.3% 4.3% 13.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.4% 6.4% 6.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.2% 3.5% 3.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.3% 4.0% 4.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2
10-8 4.2% 0.9% 0.9% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.2
9-9 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 6.8
8-10 9.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 9.6
7-11 12.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-12 15.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
4-14 13.2% 13.2
3-15 10.1% 10.1
2-16 6.1% 6.1
1-17 2.5% 2.5
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.0%