Temple
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.2 #140
Expected Predictive Rating +1.6 #136
Pace 66.3 #256
Improvement +0.3 #170

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #128 C+ D A- A+ C
Defense #174 C C D B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #97 1.12 #224 +1.1 #138
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #172 0.83 #75 +0.8 #131
Three Pointers 38% #258 1.07 #103 -0.8 #204
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #142 +1.1 #141
Freethrows 22.4 #8 75% #87 16.9 #7
Second Chance 27.8% #260 0.97 #271 0.27 #276
Turnovers 13.6% #32
Total Offense +1.5 #128

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #110 1.14 #150 -1.1 #215
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #123 0.79 #243 -1.0 #259
Three Pointers 37% #293 1.00 #166 +2.4 #94
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #166 +0.3 #165
Freethrows 16.0 #86 71% #92 11.3 #81
Second Chance 28.7% #102 1.07 #231 0.31 #145
Turnovers 14.5% #296
Total Defense -0.2 #174

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.5% #160 0.0% #164
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 1.8% #149 -0.7% #169
Possession Length 18.3 #277 17.3 #185
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #185 0.15 #92
Improvement -5.7 #364 +6.1 #3

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 3.8% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 13.0
.500 or above 88.3% 91.2% 74.4%
.500 or above in Conference 83.9% 87.5% 66.3%
Conference Champion 5.2% 5.9% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.5% 3.8% 2.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Away) - 82.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 35 - 77 - 12
Quad 411 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 355 Delaware St. W 83 - 65 95% +9  1 - 0 +1 +11 A D A+ -9 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 197 La Salle W 90 - 63 74% +16  2 - 0 +21 +19 A+ B+ A+ +4 A+ B F
 Sat, Nov 15 134 Boston College L 71 - 76 60% -5  2 - 1 -6 +3 F B- A+ -9 C F F
 Wed, Nov 19 126 Hofstra W 81 - 76 58% +1  3 - 1 +4 +7 A+ F C- -3 D+ A+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 109 UC San Diego L 76 - 91 40% -9  3 - 2 -11 +6 D+ B+ A+ -18 F A+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 214 Princeton W 79 - 75 67% -1  4 - 2 +1 +9 A+ F D -8 F B- D-
 Wed, Nov 26 122 Rhode Island L 75 - 90 45% -7  4 - 3 -12 +6 C D- A+ -18 F B F
 Mon, Dec 1 33 @Villanova L 56 - 74 8% -5  4 - 4 -1 +3 D+ D B+ -7 B B- C
 Sat, Dec 6 159 Saint Joseph's L 69 - 70 55% -2  4 - 5 -1 +6 B+ F F -7 B- F B
 Sun, Dec 14 358 St. Francis (PA) W 95 - 67 95% +17  5 - 5 +10 +15 A+ F A+ -4 D+ D- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 137 @Davidson W 68 - 63 38% +6  6 - 5 +10 +7 C- F A+ +3 A+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 214 Princeton W 65 - 61 77% +3  7 - 5 -2 +1 C D- C+ -2 B B- D-
 Tue, Dec 30 173 @Charlotte W 76 - 73 47% +8  8 - 5 1 - 0 +5 +4 A- D- C +1 B+ B C-
 Sat, Jan 3 345 Texas San Antonio W 76 - 57 93% +9  9 - 5 2 - 0 +4 +1 F A- C +4 A C A+
 Wed, Jan 7 267 East Carolina W 75 - 67 83% +9  10 - 5 3 - 0 -1 +6 F A+ B+ -6 F B- C
 Wed, Jan 14 92 @Memphis L 53 - 55 23% -4  10 - 6 3 - 1 +7 -7 F D D- +14 A+ A+ D
 Sun, Jan 18 95 Florida Atlantic L 73 - 79 45% +2  10 - 7 3 - 2 -3 -6 F C D +3 A+ F D-
 Wed, Jan 21 239 @Rice W 69 - 65 60% +0  11 - 7 4 - 2 +3 +5 F B+ A+ -1 C- D- C
 Sat, Jan 24 345 @Texas San Antonio W 79 - 69 83%
 Wed, Jan 28 173 Charlotte W 74 - 69 69%
 Sat, Jan 31 74 South Florida L 77 - 80 37%
 Sat, Feb 7 267 @East Carolina W 74 - 70 65%
 Wed, Feb 11 172 @Tulane L 72 - 73 47%
 Sun, Feb 15 127 North Texas W 67 - 65 58%
 Wed, Feb 18 117 UAB W 76 - 75 55%
 Sat, Feb 21 103 @Wichita St. L 69 - 75 27%
 Wed, Feb 25 95 @Florida Atlantic L 72 - 79 25%
 Sun, Mar 1 239 Rice W 76 - 67 78%
 Thu, Mar 5 172 Tulane W 75 - 70 69%
 Sun, Mar 8 70 @Tulsa L 72 - 82 18%
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +1 +1 C+ D A- +0 C C D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 5.2 1st
2nd 0.3 3.4 4.3 0.7 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 6.8 1.6 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 8.2 3.8 0.1 13.6 4th
5th 0.4 6.3 6.7 0.5 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.0 9.0 1.7 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 7.4 3.7 0.1 12.2 7th
8th 0.4 3.8 5.1 0.4 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 4.2 1.0 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 1.9 0.9 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.4 10.0 16.9 21.0 19.7 14.7 8.1 2.9 0.6 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 96.5% 0.6    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 74.4% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 25.5% 2.1    0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.6% 12.2% 12.2% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 2.9% 12.2% 12.2% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.6
13-5 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 7.4
12-6 14.7% 6.0% 6.0% 12.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 13.8
11-7 19.7% 3.8% 3.8% 12.9 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 19.0
10-8 21.0% 2.2% 2.2% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 20.5
9-9 16.9% 1.4% 1.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.7
8-10 10.0% 0.5% 0.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 9.9
7-11 4.4% 0.8% 0.8% 14.6 0.0 0.0 4.4
6-12 1.4% 1.4
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 12.8 96.5 0.0%