Temple
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#118
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#128
Pace70.5#131
Improvement-1.2#260

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#137
First Shot-0.2#177
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#110
Layup/Dunks-0.4#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#336
Freethrows+3.4#29
Improvement-2.9#352

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#117
First Shot+5.7#29
After Offensive Rebounds-4.0#359
Layups/Dunks+2.8#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#165
Freethrows+1.2#102
Improvement+1.8#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.5% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 12.5
.500 or above 71.0% 79.4% 56.9%
.500 or above in Conference 65.8% 70.2% 58.5%
Conference Champion 4.3% 5.2% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 2.1% 4.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round4.7% 5.4% 3.4%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Home) - 62.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 37 - 69 - 13
Quad 48 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 277   Sacred Heart W 81-70 87%     1 - 0 +1.9 -2.1 +3.3
  Nov 08, 2024 273   Monmouth W 103-74 80%     2 - 0 +23.1 +22.1 -0.5
  Nov 12, 2024 153   Drexel W 69-61 70%     3 - 0 +5.3 +1.5 +4.5
  Nov 15, 2024 150   @ Boston College L 69-72 48%     3 - 1 +0.4 +3.3 -3.1
  Nov 22, 2024 65   Florida St. L 69-78 29%     3 - 2 -0.5 -2.2 +2.2
  Nov 23, 2024 200   Massachusetts W 87-80 67%     4 - 2 +5.2 +9.1 -4.2
  Nov 30, 2024 155   @ La Salle L 75-83 48%     4 - 3 -4.7 -4.3 +0.5
  Dec 07, 2024 48   Villanova L 65-94 23%     4 - 4 -18.5 +1.3 -23.0
  Dec 15, 2024 156   @ Hofstra W 60-42 49%     5 - 4 +21.1 -3.6 +26.1
  Dec 18, 2024 124   Davidson W 76-72 63%    
  Dec 21, 2024 98   Rhode Island L 75-78 40%    
  Dec 29, 2024 324   Buffalo W 82-67 92%    
  Jan 03, 2025 100   Wichita St. W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 08, 2025 164   @ East Carolina W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 197   @ Rice W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 16, 2025 34   Memphis L 75-81 28%    
  Jan 19, 2025 203   Tulane W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 22, 2025 72   @ North Texas L 59-67 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 234   @ Texas San Antonio W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 29, 2025 170   Charlotte W 72-66 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 164   East Carolina W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 06, 2025 145   @ South Florida L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 09, 2025 34   @ Memphis L 72-84 13%    
  Feb 12, 2025 247   Tulsa W 79-68 83%    
  Feb 16, 2025 84   Florida Atlantic L 79-80 47%    
  Feb 19, 2025 170   @ Charlotte W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 23, 2025 137   @ UAB L 78-79 45%    
  Feb 26, 2025 145   South Florida W 76-71 67%    
  Mar 04, 2025 247   @ Tulsa W 76-71 66%    
  Mar 09, 2025 72   North Texas L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.5 2.4 0.6 0.1 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.2 3.2 6.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 3.8 1.2 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.5 0.1 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.6 6.2 9.3 12.1 14.0 14.4 12.8 10.4 7.1 4.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 90.1% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 69.5% 1.4    0.8 0.6 0.1
14-4 30.9% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 24.7% 17.6% 7.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.6%
16-2 0.8% 23.0% 21.2% 1.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.3%
15-3 2.0% 18.2% 18.0% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6 0.2%
14-4 4.2% 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 11.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.1%
13-5 7.1% 10.9% 10.9% 12.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.3
12-6 10.4% 8.7% 8.7% 12.3 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 9.5
11-7 12.8% 6.0% 6.0% 12.4 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 12.0
10-8 14.4% 3.5% 3.5% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 13.9
9-9 14.0% 1.9% 1.9% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.8
8-10 12.1% 1.1% 1.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
7-11 9.3% 1.0% 1.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.2
6-12 6.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.2
5-13 3.6% 3.6
4-14 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 95.3 0.0%