IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.3	#80
Expected Predictive Rating	+9.1	#49

Pace	75.6	#42
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#123

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.4	#41

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.3%	0.6%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	2.0%	3.6%	0.9%
Top 6 Seed	5.3%	9.0%	2.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	26.1%	37.2%	18.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	24.9%	35.8%	17.8%
Average Seed	8.6	8.3	8.9

.500 or above	61.5%	75.6%	52.1%
.500 or above in Conference	42.7%	51.5%	36.9%
Conference Champion	1.5%	2.5%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.0%	4.6%	8.7%

First Four	5.3%	6.9%	4.3%
First Round	23.2%	33.4%	16.4%
Second Round	11.4%	17.2%	7.6%
Sweet Sixteen	3.5%	5.6%	2.1%
Elite Eight	1.2%	1.9%	0.8%
Final Four	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 39.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 2	5 - 5	7 - 12
Quad 3	6 - 2	13 - 14
Quad 4	3 - 0	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	180	Northern Kentucky	W	74-62	85%	1 - 0			+8.1	-5.0	+12.1
Nov 09, 2024	191	Rice	W	73-65	80%	2 - 0			+6.3	-1.3	+7.4
Nov 12, 2024	299	Tarleton St.	W	72-52	94%	3 - 0			+10.0	-7.2	+16.4
Nov 15, 2024	21	Florida	L	79-82	40%
Nov 19, 2024	131	Hofstra	W	75-66	78%
Nov 22, 2024	112	Temple	W	74-71	63%
Nov 24, 2024	109	Massachusetts	W	77-74	61%
Dec 03, 2024	48	@ LSU	L	73-78	31%
Dec 07, 2024	59	@ North Carolina St.	L	73-77	34%
Dec 14, 2024	145	Tulane	W	83-77	71%
Dec 17, 2024	163	Winthrop	W	76-66	81%
Dec 21, 2024	49	Louisville	W	76-75	52%
Jan 04, 2025	89	Syracuse	W	80-76	65%
Jan 07, 2025	33	@ Miami (FL)	L	73-80	26%
Jan 11, 2025	44	@ Clemson	L	69-75	30%
Jan 15, 2025	35	Pittsburgh	L	74-75	46%
Jan 18, 2025	96	Georgia Tech	W	82-77	67%
Jan 22, 2025	119	@ California	W	76-75	54%
Jan 25, 2025	70	@ Stanford	L	70-74	38%
Jan 29, 2025	82	Virginia Tech	W	74-71	61%
Feb 01, 2025	144	@ Boston College	W	73-70	61%
Feb 04, 2025	81	Notre Dame	W	72-69	60%
Feb 12, 2025	62	@ Wake Forest	L	73-77	35%
Feb 15, 2025	44	Clemson	L	72-73	50%
Feb 19, 2025	33	Miami (FL)	L	76-77	46%
Feb 22, 2025	49	@ Louisville	L	73-78	32%
Feb 24, 2025	10	North Carolina	L	76-82	30%
Mar 01, 2025	6	@ Duke	L	68-82	12%
Mar 04, 2025	78	@ Virginia	L	61-64	40%
Mar 07, 2025	63	SMU	W	80-78	56%
Projected Record						16 - 14	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0			1.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			3.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	1.1	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0					4.1	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	1.1	2.2	1.0	0.2	0.0						4.6	4th
5th											0.0	0.7	2.6	1.6	0.3	0.0							5.2	5th
6th										0.0	0.4	2.4	2.5	0.6	0.0								5.8	6th
7th										0.1	1.6	3.3	1.1	0.0									6.0	7th
8th									0.0	0.5	3.2	2.4	0.2										6.4	8th
9th									0.1	2.2	3.6	0.7	0.0										6.6	9th
10th								0.0	1.0	3.8	1.7	0.1	0.0										6.6	10th
11th							0.0	0.3	2.9	3.4	0.5	0.0											7.0	11th
12th							0.1	1.6	3.9	1.5	0.1												7.1	12th
13th					0.0	0.0	0.7	3.2	2.7	0.3	0.0												7.0	13th
14th					0.0	0.4	2.3	3.2	0.8	0.0													6.7	14th
15th					0.3	1.6	3.2	1.5	0.1														6.7	15th
16th			0.0	0.2	1.2	2.9	1.8	0.2	0.0													6.3	16th
17th		0.0	0.3	1.2	2.2	1.5	0.4	0.0														5.6	17th
18th	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.1	0.8	0.3	0.0															3.7	18th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.5	4.5	6.7	8.4	10.1	11.5	11.7	10.9	9.7	7.8	5.8	3.9	2.5	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	92.3%	0.0		0.0
18-2	78.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	70.6%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
16-4	35.1%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
15-5	12.0%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	2.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.5%	1.5		0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	26.8%	73.2%	2.9		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
17-3	0.7%		100.0%	18.3%	81.7%	3.8		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0											100.0%
16-4	1.2%		99.5%	12.3%	87.1%	4.9		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.4%
15-5	2.5%		98.0%	8.9%	89.1%	6.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.1		97.8%
14-6	3.9%		92.6%	7.8%	84.8%	7.5				0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0					0.3		92.0%
13-7	5.8%		81.9%	4.2%	77.7%	8.6				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.8	1.2	1.0	0.6	0.0					1.0		81.1%
12-8	7.8%		65.1%	2.2%	62.9%	9.4					0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.1	1.4	1.2	0.1					2.7		64.3%
11-9	9.7%		44.2%	1.4%	42.8%	10.0						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.2	1.6	0.2					5.4		43.4%
10-10	10.9%		24.6%	0.8%	23.8%	10.5							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.3	0.3					8.2		24.0%
9-11	11.7%		7.7%	0.3%	7.4%	10.9								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.2	0.0				10.8		7.4%
8-12	11.5%		1.8%	0.3%	1.6%	11.1										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1					11.3		1.6%
7-13	10.1%		0.1%		0.1%	11.3												0.0	0.0					10.1		0.1%
6-14	8.4%																							8.4
5-15	6.7%																							6.7
4-16	4.5%																							4.5
3-17	2.5%																							2.5
2-18	1.3%																							1.3
1-19	0.5%																							0.5
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		26.1%	1.6%	24.5%	8.6		0.1	0.2	0.7	1.0	1.3	2.0	2.3	2.9	4.2	4.8	5.6	1.0	0.0				73.9		24.9%