Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#30
Expected Predictive Rating+14.3#30
Pace62.5#333
Improvement+1.0#144

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#32
First Shot+6.0#41
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#116
Layup/Dunks+0.3#169
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#131
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#55
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement+2.4#63

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#40
First Shot+3.7#69
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#23
Layups/Dunks+1.9#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#136
Freethrows+2.9#24
Improvement-1.4#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.7% 3.0% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 11.8% 12.9% 3.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.0% 72.0% 55.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.8% 69.9% 53.5%
Average Seed 8.4 8.3 9.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.7%
Conference Champion 5.7% 6.4% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.5% 9.3% 11.3%
First Round65.5% 67.7% 50.0%
Second Round36.0% 37.5% 25.4%
Sweet Sixteen11.0% 11.5% 6.8%
Elite Eight4.2% 4.4% 2.3%
Final Four1.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Next Game: Syracuse (Home) - 87.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 5
Quad 25 - 310 - 8
Quad 38 - 118 - 9
Quad 47 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 279   Charleston Southern W 91-64 97%     1 - 0 +17.6 +14.2 +3.3
  Nov 08, 2024 345   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 99%     2 - 0 +11.3 +5.7 +4.9
  Nov 12, 2024 248   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 96%     3 - 0 +5.4 +2.4 +4.0
  Nov 17, 2024 57   @ Boise St. L 71-84 52%     3 - 1 -0.5 +2.1 -2.4
  Nov 21, 2024 204   Radford W 79-51 94%     4 - 1 +23.1 +9.8 +15.9
  Nov 25, 2024 75   San Francisco W 70-55 71%     5 - 1 +22.4 +10.2 +14.2
  Nov 26, 2024 51   Penn St. W 75-67 60%     6 - 1 +18.5 +6.9 +11.7
  Nov 29, 2024 360   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +10.6 +10.8 +1.4
  Dec 03, 2024 15   Kentucky W 70-66 47%     8 - 1 +17.8 +1.7 +16.3
  Dec 07, 2024 155   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 82%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +13.3 +0.4 +14.8
  Dec 14, 2024 43   Memphis L 82-87 OT 66%     9 - 2 +3.8 +8.5 -4.4
  Dec 17, 2024 82   @ South Carolina L 88-91 OT 64%     9 - 3 +6.6 +15.0 -8.2
  Dec 21, 2024 59   Wake Forest W 73-62 73%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +17.6 +5.2 +12.4
  Jan 01, 2025 87   Stanford W 85-71 81%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +17.7 +13.0 +4.9
  Jan 04, 2025 118   California W 80-68 89%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +12.0 +16.5 -2.8
  Jan 07, 2025 27   @ Louisville L 64-74 37%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +6.4 +2.3 +3.5
  Jan 11, 2025 58   Florida St. W 77-57 73%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +26.8 +17.5 +11.7
  Jan 14, 2025 104   @ Georgia Tech W 70-59 74%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +17.5 +6.4 +11.9
  Jan 18, 2025 40   @ Pittsburgh W 78-75 OT 45%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +17.5 +20.5 -2.6
  Jan 22, 2025 103   Syracuse W 78-66 88%    
  Jan 25, 2025 137   @ Virginia Tech W 73-64 79%    
  Feb 01, 2025 93   @ North Carolina St. W 69-65 65%    
  Feb 04, 2025 104   Georgia Tech W 77-65 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 1   Duke L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 10, 2025 26   North Carolina W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 58   @ Florida St. W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 37   @ SMU L 73-75 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 77   Notre Dame W 73-64 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 107   @ Virginia W 63-56 74%    
  Mar 05, 2025 195   @ Boston College W 75-63 85%    
  Mar 08, 2025 137   Virginia Tech W 75-61 90%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 1.3 5.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 5.5 12.2 11.1 3.6 33.1 2nd
3rd 0.8 6.3 12.4 9.7 2.5 0.2 31.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.2 7.1 4.6 0.7 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 1.4 4.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.3 1.7 1.2 0.2 3.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.0 9.6 16.6 22.8 22.8 15.1 6.4 1.3 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 1.3    0.7 0.6 0.0
18-2 41.7% 2.7    0.7 1.6 0.3
17-3 9.8% 1.5    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0
16-4 1.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 1.7 3.1 0.9 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 1.3% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 4.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 6.4% 98.6% 13.2% 85.4% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.4%
17-3 15.1% 94.0% 10.6% 83.4% 7.3 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.2 3.5 3.2 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.9 93.2%
16-4 22.8% 83.7% 7.7% 76.0% 8.4 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.0 4.6 5.3 3.3 1.1 0.0 3.7 82.3%
15-5 22.8% 68.1% 5.2% 62.9% 9.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.6 4.0 5.0 2.7 0.1 7.3 66.4%
14-6 16.6% 54.6% 4.2% 50.4% 9.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 3.2 2.8 0.0 7.5 52.6%
13-7 9.6% 36.5% 2.5% 34.0% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.6 0.1 6.1 34.8%
12-8 4.0% 24.1% 2.2% 21.9% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.0 3.1 22.4%
11-9 1.2% 10.0% 2.5% 7.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 1.1 7.7%
10-10 0.2% 4.2% 4.2% 10.0 0.0 0.2
9-11 0.0% 0.0
8-12 0.0% 0.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 70.0% 6.6% 63.4% 8.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 5.7 8.8 12.1 14.4 13.8 8.9 0.3 30.0 67.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4% 100.0% 3.9 5.4 8.1 24.3 29.7 21.6 10.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4% 100.0% 4.4 7.3 17.1 24.4 26.8 24.4