Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+15.6#23
Expected Predictive Rating+15.7#24
Pace61.7#342
Improvement+3.2#53

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#24
First Shot+7.0#30
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#106
Layup/Dunks+0.6#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#47
Freethrows+0.6#141
Improvement+2.5#66

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#28
First Shot+4.8#51
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#18
Layups/Dunks+2.3#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#115
Freethrows+3.0#22
Improvement+0.7#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 8.1% 14.8% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 27.7% 44.4% 11.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.7% 97.2% 90.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 92.8% 96.7% 89.0%
Average Seed 7.4 6.5 8.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 9.7% 18.5% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.8% 0.2% 3.4%
First Round93.0% 97.1% 88.8%
Second Round59.4% 67.0% 51.9%
Sweet Sixteen22.5% 27.8% 17.3%
Elite Eight9.5% 11.5% 7.6%
Final Four3.6% 4.5% 2.8%
Championship Game1.3% 1.8% 0.7%
National Champion0.5% 0.7% 0.2%

Next Game: SMU (Away) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 14 - 3
Quad 27 - 212 - 6
Quad 39 - 120 - 7
Quad 46 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 285   Charleston Southern W 91-64 98%     1 - 0 +17.5 +14.2 +3.2
  Nov 08, 2024 331   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 99%     2 - 0 +12.9 +5.7 +6.5
  Nov 12, 2024 191   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 96%     3 - 0 +8.6 +3.7 +6.0
  Nov 17, 2024 49   @ Boise St. L 71-84 58%     3 - 1 +0.5 +3.4 -2.8
  Nov 21, 2024 177   Radford W 79-51 95%     4 - 1 +24.5 +9.8 +17.3
  Nov 25, 2024 69   San Francisco W 70-55 76%     5 - 1 +23.1 +11.9 +13.3
  Nov 26, 2024 62   Penn St. W 75-67 75%     6 - 1 +16.6 +6.2 +10.4
  Nov 29, 2024 321   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +16.0 +11.9 +5.7
  Dec 03, 2024 17   Kentucky W 70-66 55%     8 - 1 +18.4 +2.2 +16.3
  Dec 07, 2024 152   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 87%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +13.1 +0.8 +14.1
  Dec 14, 2024 47   Memphis L 82-87 OT 75%     9 - 2 +3.6 +9.1 -5.3
  Dec 17, 2024 84   @ South Carolina L 88-91 OT 73%     9 - 3 +6.3 +14.8 -8.3
  Dec 21, 2024 55   Wake Forest W 73-62 76%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +19.0 +6.5 +12.5
  Jan 01, 2025 88   Stanford W 85-71 86%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +17.8 +14.2 +3.8
  Jan 04, 2025 112   California W 80-68 91%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +12.7 +16.8 -2.4
  Jan 07, 2025 21   @ Louisville L 64-74 39%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +8.3 +3.5 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2025 82   Florida St. W 77-57 85%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +24.3 +18.0 +8.8
  Jan 14, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech W 70-59 78%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +18.4 +7.3 +11.9
  Jan 18, 2025 52   @ Pittsburgh W 78-75 OT 59%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +16.2 +19.8 -3.3
  Jan 22, 2025 108   Syracuse W 86-72 91%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +15.0 +21.1 -4.8
  Jan 25, 2025 128   @ Virginia Tech W 72-57 85%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +19.3 +12.2 +9.4
  Feb 01, 2025 103   @ North Carolina St. W 68-58 80%     18 - 4 10 - 1 +16.8 +8.9 +9.3
  Feb 04, 2025 99   Georgia Tech L 86-89 3OT 89%     18 - 5 10 - 2 -0.7 +0.6 -0.7
  Feb 08, 2025 2   Duke W 77-71 30%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +27.0 +22.4 +5.3
  Feb 10, 2025 40   North Carolina W 85-65 72%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +29.6 +15.9 +13.7
  Feb 15, 2025 82   @ Florida St. W 72-46 72%     21 - 5 13 - 2 +35.4 +12.7 +25.1
  Feb 22, 2025 37   @ SMU W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 26, 2025 95   Notre Dame W 74-61 90%    
  Mar 01, 2025 93   @ Virginia W 67-59 75%    
  Mar 05, 2025 174   @ Boston College W 75-61 89%    
  Mar 08, 2025 128   Virginia Tech W 75-59 94%    
Projected Record 25 - 6 17 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 8.9 9.7 1st
2nd 0.1 3.3 23.5 20.3 47.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.1 17.4 21.0 41.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.4 4.4 20.7 45.2 29.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 30.6% 8.9    0.5 4.7 3.8
17-3 1.8% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.6
16-4 0.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 9.7% 9.7 0.5 4.9 4.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 29.2% 98.9% 15.6% 83.3% 5.8 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.3 4.9 6.2 6.0 3.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 98.7%
17-3 45.2% 94.2% 12.2% 82.0% 7.7 0.2 0.8 2.7 4.9 10.0 10.8 9.0 3.7 0.5 2.6 93.4%
16-4 20.7% 88.1% 9.7% 78.4% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.2 4.3 5.6 4.2 1.1 2.5 86.8%
15-5 4.4% 81.9% 8.4% 73.6% 9.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.8 80.3%
14-6 0.4% 80.6% 5.6% 75.0% 10.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 79.4%
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 93.7% 12.5% 81.2% 7.4 0.2 0.7 2.1 5.1 7.9 11.7 18.4 18.9 17.2 9.1 2.5 6.3 92.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.6% 100.0% 3.5 3.9 14.3 27.6 37.7 12.7 3.5 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.8% 99.6% 5.4 0.4 0.6 5.5 18.5 26.6 28.1 16.0 3.1 0.7 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.1% 98.8% 6.5 0.5 6.1 15.3 25.5 28.7 17.3 4.8 0.5