Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.7#30
Expected Predictive Rating+15.1#30
Pace64.3#301
Improvement+0.8#126

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#49
First Shot+4.0#75
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#93
Layup/Dunks-0.5#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#60
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement-1.0#271

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#20
First Shot+4.9#42
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#39
Layups/Dunks+3.9#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#183
Freethrows+3.1#22
Improvement+1.9#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 2.0% 2.9% 0.9%
Top 4 Seed 10.2% 13.6% 5.7%
Top 6 Seed 24.3% 30.8% 15.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 73.9% 81.0% 64.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 71.3% 78.7% 61.8%
Average Seed 7.6 7.2 8.1
.500 or above 99.6% 99.8% 99.2%
.500 or above in Conference 95.5% 96.5% 94.1%
Conference Champion 11.3% 12.9% 9.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.8% 6.8% 9.3%
First Round70.1% 77.7% 60.1%
Second Round41.8% 47.9% 33.7%
Sweet Sixteen16.4% 19.6% 12.0%
Elite Eight6.6% 8.1% 4.6%
Final Four2.4% 3.1% 1.6%
Championship Game1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.2%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 56.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 5
Quad 26 - 312 - 8
Quad 37 - 119 - 9
Quad 45 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 299   Charleston Southern W 91-64 97%     1 - 0 +16.7 +13.2 +3.5
  Nov 08, 2024 335   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 98%     2 - 0 +12.5 +6.6 +5.3
  Nov 12, 2024 218   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 95%     3 - 0 +7.2 +3.6 +4.7
  Nov 17, 2024 58   @ Boise St. L 71-84 52%     3 - 1 -0.7 +3.1 -3.7
  Nov 21, 2024 202   Radford W 79-51 94%     4 - 1 +23.2 +10.0 +15.6
  Nov 25, 2024 56   San Francisco W 70-55 62%     5 - 1 +24.5 +13.1 +13.5
  Nov 26, 2024 31   Penn St. W 75-67 50%     6 - 1 +20.7 +9.0 +11.8
  Nov 29, 2024 355   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +12.0 +12.8 +0.8
  Dec 03, 2024 11   Kentucky W 70-66 44%     8 - 1 +18.4 +3.6 +14.9
  Dec 07, 2024 91   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 64%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +19.0 +3.7 +17.1
  Dec 14, 2024 34   Memphis L 82-87 OT 63%     9 - 2 +4.3 +6.8 -2.2
  Dec 17, 2024 69   @ South Carolina W 68-66 57%    
  Dec 21, 2024 94   Wake Forest W 71-61 83%    
  Jan 01, 2025 87   Stanford W 75-66 81%    
  Jan 04, 2025 120   California W 80-67 89%    
  Jan 07, 2025 50   @ Louisville L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 65   Florida St. W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 14, 2025 110   @ Georgia Tech W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 18, 2025 32   @ Pittsburgh L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 22, 2025 97   Syracuse W 78-68 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 125   @ Virginia Tech W 71-64 75%    
  Feb 01, 2025 79   @ North Carolina St. W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 04, 2025 110   Georgia Tech W 76-64 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 2   Duke L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 10, 2025 18   North Carolina W 76-75 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 65   @ Florida St. W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 49   @ SMU L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 26, 2025 81   Notre Dame W 71-62 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 93   @ Virginia W 61-57 64%    
  Mar 05, 2025 150   @ Boston College W 73-64 80%    
  Mar 08, 2025 125   Virginia Tech W 74-61 88%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.0 3.5 3.3 1.5 0.3 11.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 7.1 8.2 4.7 1.1 0.1 24.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.0 7.2 6.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 19.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.0 5.7 4.7 1.4 0.1 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.8 1.0 0.1 9.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 3.3 0.9 0.1 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.8 7.7 10.9 13.9 15.7 15.2 12.5 8.5 4.5 1.6 0.3 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 96.1% 1.5    1.2 0.3
18-2 74.8% 3.3    2.0 1.2 0.1
17-3 41.0% 3.5    1.5 1.7 0.3 0.0
16-4 16.1% 2.0    0.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 3.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 5.7 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 100.0% 34.0% 66.0% 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 1.6% 99.9% 26.3% 73.5% 2.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
18-2 4.5% 100.0% 22.2% 77.8% 3.8 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 8.5% 99.6% 17.8% 81.7% 5.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.0 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
16-4 12.5% 97.9% 14.6% 83.3% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.2 2.8 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.3 97.6%
15-5 15.2% 93.5% 11.4% 82.0% 7.7 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.0 3.4 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 92.6%
14-6 15.7% 84.5% 8.3% 76.2% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.8 3.7 2.9 1.3 0.0 2.4 83.1%
13-7 13.9% 70.5% 5.1% 65.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.4 3.1 2.3 0.1 4.1 68.9%
12-8 10.9% 52.5% 3.2% 49.3% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 2.2 0.1 0.0 5.2 51.0%
11-9 7.7% 35.0% 2.2% 32.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.1 5.0 33.5%
10-10 4.8% 21.5% 1.6% 19.9% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.1 3.8 20.2%
9-11 2.6% 8.0% 0.9% 7.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.4 7.2%
8-12 1.2% 1.8% 0.5% 1.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.3%
7-13 0.5% 0.5
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 73.9% 9.2% 64.7% 7.6 0.6 1.4 3.0 5.2 6.4 7.7 8.9 10.1 11.0 10.8 8.5 0.4 0.0 26.1 71.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 1.7 46.2 41.0 12.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.9 42.4 30.3 24.2 3.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 2.0 28.6 50.0 14.3 7.1