Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.6#62
Expected Predictive Rating+18.1#13
Pace71.9#106
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#59
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#71
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 1.8% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 4.8% 8.4% 3.1%
Top 6 Seed 12.7% 20.5% 9.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.3% 59.8% 38.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 43.9% 58.4% 37.2%
Average Seed 8.0 7.6 8.3
.500 or above 74.1% 86.8% 68.1%
.500 or above in Conference 52.4% 61.2% 48.3%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.4% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 2.3% 4.5%
First Four7.0% 7.2% 6.9%
First Round41.2% 55.5% 34.6%
Second Round20.7% 30.0% 16.4%
Sweet Sixteen6.7% 10.8% 4.8%
Elite Eight2.3% 3.9% 1.6%
Final Four0.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 31.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 8
Quad 24 - 48 - 12
Quad 34 - 112 - 13
Quad 46 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 64-49 99%     1 - 0 -6.2 -15.8 +9.3
  Nov 07, 2024 300   N.C. A&T W 80-64 95%     2 - 0 +6.0 -8.3 +12.1
  Nov 10, 2024 25   Michigan W 72-70 34%     3 - 0 +14.8 +6.2 +8.6
  Nov 13, 2024 316   South Carolina Upstate W 85-80 96%     4 - 0 -6.5 +3.4 -10.1
  Nov 16, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 77-82 32%    
  Nov 19, 2024 263   Western Carolina W 79-62 95%    
  Nov 23, 2024 341   Detroit Mercy W 85-62 98%    
  Nov 28, 2024 21   Florida L 79-83 34%    
  Dec 03, 2024 28   @ Texas A&M L 69-76 26%    
  Dec 07, 2024 144   Boston College W 77-66 83%    
  Dec 17, 2024 126   James Madison W 81-72 79%    
  Dec 21, 2024 44   @ Clemson L 70-75 34%    
  Dec 31, 2024 89   @ Syracuse L 78-79 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 59   North Carolina St. W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 11, 2025 33   @ Miami (FL) L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 15, 2025 70   Stanford W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 18, 2025 82   @ Virginia Tech L 72-74 45%    
  Jan 21, 2025 10   North Carolina L 76-81 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 6   Duke L 72-79 29%    
  Jan 30, 2025 49   @ Louisville L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 35   Pittsburgh W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 05, 2025 70   @ Stanford L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 119   @ California W 78-75 58%    
  Feb 12, 2025 80   Florida St. W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 63   @ SMU L 78-81 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 59   @ North Carolina St. L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 78   Virginia W 65-61 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 81   Notre Dame W 73-69 64%    
  Mar 03, 2025 6   @ Duke L 69-82 14%    
  Mar 08, 2025 96   Georgia Tech W 83-77 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.3 1.1 0.2 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.1 0.7 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 3.8 1.4 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 4.0 0.8 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.9 1.9 0.1 6.9 10th
11th 0.3 2.8 3.3 0.5 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.4 0.0 6.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.4 0.3 6.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.8 0.7 0.0 5.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.4 1.2 0.1 5.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.4 16th
17th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.3 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.6 6.8 8.9 10.8 11.9 12.1 11.2 9.6 7.6 5.4 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 97.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 87.5% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 73.4% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 34.4% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 14.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 23.5% 76.5% 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 27.9% 72.1% 2.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.0% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 3.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.8% 100.0% 14.0% 86.0% 4.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.3% 99.5% 12.3% 87.2% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
14-6 5.4% 98.0% 9.4% 88.5% 6.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.7%
13-7 7.6% 95.8% 5.2% 90.6% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 95.6%
12-8 9.6% 88.8% 3.4% 85.4% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.1 88.4%
11-9 11.2% 72.3% 1.3% 70.9% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.8 2.1 1.8 0.2 3.1 71.9%
10-10 12.1% 51.3% 0.7% 50.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.9 50.9%
9-11 11.9% 22.3% 0.4% 21.9% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 9.3 22.0%
8-12 10.8% 6.4% 0.2% 6.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 10.1 6.2%
7-13 8.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9 0.7%
6-14 6.8% 6.8
5-15 4.6% 4.6
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 45.3% 2.5% 42.8% 8.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.3 3.3 4.5 5.1 5.7 6.8 6.6 7.2 1.3 0.0 0.0 54.7 43.9%