IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#300
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.7	#286

Pace	76.1	#38
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#283

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.5	#287

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	1.4%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.9	15.3

.500 or above	12.9%	21.8%	7.5%
.500 or above in Conference	28.3%	36.6%	23.2%
Conference Champion	0.8%	1.4%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	15.4%	10.7%	18.2%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	0.8%	1.3%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Away) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 7
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 8	11 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2024	62	@ Wake Forest	L	64-80	5%	0 - 1			-4.4	-11.8	+9.5
Nov 12, 2024	153	@ George Washington	L	80-85	16%	0 - 2			-1.2	+1.7	-2.6
Nov 17, 2024	292	@ The Citadel	L	69-72	38%
Nov 20, 2024	338	Morgan St.	W	83-76	74%
Nov 25, 2024	315	@ Buffalo	L	78-80	44%
Nov 29, 2024	154	@ East Carolina	L	66-77	16%
Dec 03, 2024	323	@ Hampton	L	76-77	47%
Dec 07, 2024	174	UNC Greensboro	L	70-73	38%
Dec 12, 2024	82	@ Virginia Tech	L	66-83	6%
Dec 14, 2024	104	@ Liberty	L	64-79	9%
Dec 17, 2024	268	Coastal Carolina	W	74-72	55%
Dec 21, 2024	19	@ Arkansas	L	65-89	2%
Dec 28, 2024	283	NC Central	W	76-74	58%
Jan 02, 2025	272	Elon	W	77-75	56%
Jan 04, 2025	137	Drexel	L	68-73	32%
Jan 09, 2025	204	Delaware	L	76-78	44%
Jan 11, 2025	244	@ William & Mary	L	73-79	31%
Jan 16, 2025	285	Monmouth	W	78-76	58%
Jan 20, 2025	323	Hampton	W	79-74	67%
Jan 23, 2025	134	@ Towson	L	65-77	16%
Jan 25, 2025	287	@ Stony Brook	L	74-77	38%
Jan 30, 2025	156	UNC Wilmington	L	73-78	35%
Feb 06, 2025	100	@ College of Charleston	L	77-92	10%
Feb 08, 2025	304	@ Campbell	L	72-75	41%
Feb 13, 2025	272	@ Elon	L	74-78	36%
Feb 15, 2025	100	College of Charleston	L	80-89	22%
Feb 20, 2025	304	Campbell	W	75-72	60%
Feb 22, 2025	287	Stony Brook	W	77-74	59%
Feb 27, 2025	170	@ Northeastern	L	69-79	21%
Mar 01, 2025	131	@ Hofstra	L	66-78	16%
Projected Record						10 - 20	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0				1.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	1.2	0.8	0.1	0.0					2.7	3rd
4th										0.1	0.6	1.9	1.2	0.3	0.0						4.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	2.2	1.9	0.3	0.0							5.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	2.5	2.8	0.7	0.0								6.5	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	2.5	3.8	1.3	0.1									7.9	7th
8th							0.2	2.0	4.6	2.1	0.2	0.0									9.1	8th
9th						0.1	1.4	4.9	3.1	0.4	0.0										10.0	9th
10th					0.0	1.0	4.8	4.2	0.8	0.0											10.9	10th
11th				0.0	0.7	3.9	4.9	1.3	0.1												10.8	11th
12th			0.0	0.7	3.3	4.9	1.9	0.1													10.8	12th
13th		0.1	0.7	3.0	4.3	2.0	0.2	0.0													10.4	13th
14th	0.4	1.6	2.8	3.0	1.3	0.2	0.0														9.3	14th

Total	0.4	1.7	3.6	6.7	9.5	12.0	13.4	12.8	11.5	9.6	7.2	5.1	3.2	1.9	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	85.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	68.5%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	33.5%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	7.6%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%																		0.0					0.0
16-2	0.1%		20.6%	20.6%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-3	0.4%		11.3%	11.3%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4
14-4	0.8%		12.5%	12.5%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
13-5	1.9%		6.3%	6.3%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.7
12-6	3.2%		5.1%	5.1%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	3.1
11-7	5.1%		2.4%	2.4%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	5.0
10-8	7.2%		1.5%	1.5%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	7.1
9-9	9.6%		0.9%	0.9%		15.8																0.0	0.1	9.5
8-10	11.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
7-11	12.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
6-12	13.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.4
5-13	12.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
4-14	9.5%																							9.5
3-15	6.7%																							6.7
2-16	3.6%																							3.6
1-17	1.7%																							1.7
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	15.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	99.1		0.0%