Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#170
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#182
Pace65.7#291
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#165
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#199
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.8% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.0
.500 or above 65.3% 74.4% 51.1%
.500 or above in Conference 70.8% 75.4% 63.5%
Conference Champion 7.8% 9.5% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.4% 2.7%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round7.4% 8.7% 5.2%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Neutral) - 61.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 413 - 418 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 305   @ Boston University W 80-72 65%     1 - 0 +3.6 +11.1 -6.9
  Nov 10, 2024 107   Princeton L 76-79 43%     1 - 1 -1.6 +0.8 -2.3
  Nov 13, 2024 236   Harvard W 78-56 72%     2 - 1 +15.6 +2.4 +13.0
  Nov 16, 2024 235   Central Connecticut St. W 69-66 61%    
  Nov 22, 2024 267   Florida International W 77-72 67%    
  Nov 23, 2024 239   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 67-66 50%    
  Nov 24, 2024 261   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-65 66%    
  Nov 30, 2024 139   @ Vermont L 61-66 33%    
  Dec 03, 2024 127   La Salle L 69-70 50%    
  Dec 08, 2024 172   Colgate W 69-66 61%    
  Dec 15, 2024 289   @ Old Dominion W 75-72 61%    
  Dec 18, 2024 109   @ Massachusetts L 68-76 24%    
  Dec 29, 2024 50   @ Northwestern L 61-74 12%    
  Jan 02, 2025 204   Delaware W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 04, 2025 131   Hofstra W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 09, 2025 134   @ Towson L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 287   @ Stony Brook W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 16, 2025 156   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 18, 2025 100   @ College of Charleston L 74-83 23%    
  Jan 23, 2025 137   Drexel W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 27, 2025 134   Towson W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 323   @ Hampton W 74-68 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 272   @ Elon W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 06, 2025 131   @ Hofstra L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 08, 2025 323   Hampton W 77-65 84%    
  Feb 13, 2025 304   Campbell W 74-64 80%    
  Feb 15, 2025 287   Stony Brook W 75-66 78%    
  Feb 20, 2025 100   College of Charleston L 77-80 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 285   @ Monmouth W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 27, 2025 300   N.C. A&T W 79-69 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 244   @ William & Mary W 72-71 52%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.1 7.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.2 3.2 1.1 0.1 9.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.3 1.0 0.1 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.6 4.7 1.3 0.1 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.2 1.6 0.1 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.8 2.0 0.2 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.0 2.4 0.3 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 3.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 2.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.4 5.3 7.7 10.1 12.1 13.4 12.6 11.4 8.7 6.4 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.6 0.0
16-2 92.5% 1.6    1.3 0.3 0.0
15-3 67.6% 2.4    1.4 0.9 0.1 0.0
14-4 33.0% 2.1    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
13-5 8.7% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 4.3 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 52.8% 52.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.7% 39.1% 37.6% 1.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.4%
16-2 1.8% 29.9% 29.8% 0.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 0.3%
15-3 3.6% 25.5% 25.5% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.7
14-4 6.4% 20.1% 20.1% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.1
13-5 8.7% 14.6% 14.6% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.4
12-6 11.4% 11.4% 11.4% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 10.1
11-7 12.6% 6.6% 6.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 11.8
10-8 13.4% 4.0% 4.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 12.9
9-9 12.1% 2.0% 2.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.9
8-10 10.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.9
7-11 7.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 7.6
6-12 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.3
5-13 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 1.6% 1.6
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.3 1.4 0.4 92.6 0.0%