Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#200
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#185
Pace69.3#162
Improvement-5.3#349

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#215
First Shot-2.5#245
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#122
Layup/Dunks+5.7#20
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#319
Freethrows-2.1#305
Improvement-1.2#258

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#189
First Shot+0.3#171
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#242
Layups/Dunks-1.7#243
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement-4.1#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.7% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.7 14.9
.500 or above 79.9% 88.1% 67.8%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 68.6% 40.1%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 1.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round4.8% 5.6% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 59.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 84 - 10
Quad 414 - 518 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 282   @ Boston University W 80-72 59%     1 - 0 +3.8 +12.4 -8.0
  Nov 10, 2024 122   Princeton L 76-79 43%     1 - 1 -3.1 +0.7 -3.7
  Nov 13, 2024 215   Harvard W 78-56 65%     2 - 1 +16.3 +3.1 +13.0
  Nov 16, 2024 230   Central Connecticut St. W 80-62 58%     3 - 1 +14.1 +9.6 +4.7
  Nov 22, 2024 241   Florida International W 60-58 60%     4 - 1 -2.4 -7.5 +5.3
  Nov 23, 2024 168   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 59-55 34%     5 - 1 +6.4 -5.8 +12.6
  Nov 24, 2024 234   Cal St. Bakersfield L 60-68 59%     5 - 2 -12.1 -8.5 -4.5
  Nov 30, 2024 211   @ Vermont L 64-68 43%     5 - 3 -3.9 -3.2 -0.9
  Dec 03, 2024 191   La Salle W 82-68 59%     6 - 3 +9.9 -0.7 +9.2
  Dec 08, 2024 198   Colgate W 78-75 60%     7 - 3 -1.4 +3.0 -4.4
  Dec 15, 2024 283   @ Old Dominion W 75-71 60%     8 - 3 -0.3 -0.6 +0.2
  Dec 18, 2024 171   @ Massachusetts L 72-77 34%     8 - 4 -2.7 -6.5 +4.4
  Dec 29, 2024 55   @ Northwestern L 60-85 9%     8 - 5 -12.2 +1.7 -16.6
  Jan 02, 2025 196   Delaware W 80-77 60%     9 - 5 1 - 0 -1.3 +2.0 -3.3
  Jan 04, 2025 174   Hofstra L 37-55 55%     9 - 6 1 - 1 -21.2 -29.5 +6.9
  Jan 09, 2025 176   @ Towson L 73-80 35%     9 - 7 1 - 2 -4.9 +12.2 -18.0
  Jan 11, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 70-66 67%     10 - 7 2 - 2 -2.5 -5.3 +2.9
  Jan 16, 2025 141   @ UNC Wilmington L 72-80 28%     10 - 8 2 - 3 -3.7 +4.3 -8.6
  Jan 18, 2025 127   @ College of Charleston L 85-87 25%     10 - 9 2 - 4 +3.1 +12.5 -9.3
  Jan 23, 2025 193   Drexel W 68-66 60%    
  Jan 27, 2025 176   Towson W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 30, 2025 256   @ Hampton W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 01, 2025 158   @ Elon L 68-73 31%    
  Feb 06, 2025 174   @ Hofstra L 62-66 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 256   Hampton W 72-66 73%    
  Feb 13, 2025 252   Campbell W 72-66 72%    
  Feb 15, 2025 320   Stony Brook W 76-66 83%    
  Feb 20, 2025 127   College of Charleston L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 267   @ Monmouth W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 27, 2025 323   N.C. A&T W 82-72 83%    
  Mar 01, 2025 189   @ William & Mary L 77-80 37%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 1st
2nd 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 2.6 0.3 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.0 1.3 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 0.5 4.6 3.8 0.2 9.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 7.0 1.3 11.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 8.4 3.8 0.1 13.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 5.7 7.2 0.6 14.0 8th
9th 0.2 3.1 7.9 2.0 13.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.6 3.6 0.2 10.6 10th
11th 0.7 3.4 3.3 0.5 7.8 11th
12th 0.3 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.7 6.9 13.1 19.0 21.3 17.4 11.1 5.4 1.8 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 85.7% 0.1    0.1 0.1
13-5 30.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 1.8% 18.3% 18.3% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.4
12-6 5.4% 12.1% 12.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.7
11-7 11.1% 10.4% 10.4% 14.6 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 10.0
10-8 17.4% 6.3% 6.3% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 16.3
9-9 21.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 20.5
8-10 19.0% 2.9% 2.9% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 18.5
7-11 13.1% 1.6% 1.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.9
6-12 6.9% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 6.9
5-13 2.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.5 0.7 95.1 0.0%