Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#228
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#229
Pace71.5#135
Improvement-3.0#341

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#267
First Shot-0.6#192
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#340
Layup/Dunks+4.6#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#282
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#296
Freethrows+0.4#156
Improvement-0.3#203

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#169
First Shot+0.0#173
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#206
Layups/Dunks-5.2#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#29
Freethrows-2.1#298
Improvement-2.7#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.5% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 19.9% 25.8% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 31.3% 35.2% 24.5%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 14.2% 12.1% 17.8%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round1.9% 2.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Home) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 35 - 76 - 11
Quad 46 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 253 Boston University L 75-76 OT 66%     0 - 1 -9.1 -10.2 +1.2
  Fri, Nov 7 179 @Colgate W 68-65 30%     1 - 1 +4.6 -1.5 +6.2
  Tue, Nov 11 202 @Harvard W 77-60 34%     2 - 1 +17.4 +8.4 +9.8
  Sat, Nov 15 185 Vermont L 74-85 53%     2 - 2 -15.7 -3.7 -12.0
  Thu, Nov 20 250 @Princeton L 57-70 42%     2 - 3 -14.9 -12.5 -3.0
  Sat, Nov 22 133 Duquesne W 93-86 29%     3 - 3 +8.8 +4.9 +2.8
  Fri, Nov 28 50 @Wake Forest L 73-86 6%     3 - 4 +0.5 +3.5 -2.4
  Wed, Dec 3 286 @Holy Cross L 59-76 50%     3 - 5 -21.1 -13.0 -8.9
  Sun, Dec 7 243 Central Connecticut St. W 71-67 63%    
  Sat, Dec 20 60 @Syracuse L 64-80 7%    
  Mon, Dec 29 184 @Elon L 74-79 32%    
  Wed, Dec 31 299 @N.C. A&T W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 217 @Campbell L 74-77 38%    
  Thu, Jan 8 109 UNC Wilmington L 68-73 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 125 Towson L 67-70 38%    
  Thu, Jan 15 184 Elon W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 267 @Drexel L 68-69 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 207 @Monmouth L 70-74 36%    
  Thu, Jan 22 221 Stony Brook W 72-69 60%    
  Sat, Jan 31 175 College of Charleston W 73-72 51%    
  Thu, Feb 5 139 @Hofstra L 65-74 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 221 @Stony Brook L 69-72 39%    
  Thu, Feb 12 119 William & Mary L 77-81 36%    
  Thu, Feb 19 267 Drexel W 71-66 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 139 Hofstra L 68-71 41%    
  Thu, Feb 26 119 @William & Mary L 74-84 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 208 @Hampton L 69-73 38%    
  Tue, Mar 3 207 Monmouth W 73-71 57%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.5 2.0 0.1 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.6 3.4 0.4 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.9 1.0 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.8 1.9 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.6 2.9 0.2 11.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 2.0 4.0 3.4 0.9 0.0 10.7 12th
13th 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.7 1.9 0.6 0.0 8.0 13th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.2 5.0 8.1 11.3 13.5 14.3 13.3 11.4 8.5 5.6 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 86.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 49.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 22.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.3% 15.4% 15.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.6% 18.2% 18.2% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.6% 14.6% 14.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4
12-6 3.2% 9.7% 9.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.9
11-7 5.6% 7.0% 7.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.2
10-8 8.5% 3.2% 3.2% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.2
9-9 11.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.1
8-10 13.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.1
7-11 14.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 13.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.4
5-13 11.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.3
4-14 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.1
3-15 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.9
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 98.0 0.0%