Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.2#60
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#48
Pace69.7#179
Improvement-0.1#195

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#91
First Shot+1.4#139
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#70
Layup/Dunks+4.3#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#185
Freethrows-1.7#284
Improvement-0.8#246

Defense
Total Defense+5.9#38
First Shot+9.0#10
After Offensive Rebounds-3.1#333
Layups/Dunks+3.5#63
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#51
Freethrows-0.7#232
Improvement+0.7#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.7% 2.9% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.5% 26.8% 13.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.8% 26.1% 12.6%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 9.5
.500 or above 81.7% 83.9% 62.3%
.500 or above in Conference 47.6% 48.9% 35.7%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.8% 5.3%
First Four6.9% 7.2% 4.3%
First Round21.9% 23.1% 10.8%
Second Round10.1% 10.7% 4.4%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 2.4% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Home) - 90.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 14
Quad 48 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 354 Binghamton W 85-47 98%     1 - 0 +21.8 +5.6 +16.8
  Sat, Nov 8 351 Delaware St. W 83-43 98%     2 - 0 +24.2 +4.6 +18.7
  Sat, Nov 15 267 Drexel W 80-50 91%     3 - 0 +24.4 +12.0 +14.9
  Tue, Nov 18 207 Monmouth W 78-73 91%     4 - 0 -0.8 +1.4 -2.3
  Mon, Nov 24 8 Houston L 74-78 OT 16%     4 - 1 +15.7 +6.7 +9.2
  Tue, Nov 25 18 Kansas L 60-71 25%     4 - 2 +5.1 +1.2 +3.1
  Wed, Nov 26 2 Iowa St. L 64-95 11%     4 - 3 -8.2 +0.8 -8.1
  Tue, Dec 2 17 Tennessee W 62-60 35%     5 - 3 +15.2 -3.0 +18.2
  Thu, Dec 11 178 Saint Joseph's W 78-64 90%    
  Sat, Dec 13 139 Hofstra W 75-64 84%    
  Wed, Dec 17 324 Mercyhurst W 79-57 98%    
  Sat, Dec 20 228 Northeastern W 80-64 93%    
  Mon, Dec 22 339 Stonehill W 80-57 98%    
  Wed, Dec 31 33 Clemson L 70-71 46%    
  Tue, Jan 6 135 @Georgia Tech W 73-69 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 95 @Pittsburgh W 70-69 53%    
  Tue, Jan 13 101 Florida St. W 81-74 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 145 @Boston College W 71-66 68%    
  Wed, Jan 21 67 Virginia Tech W 76-72 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 32 Miami (FL) L 73-74 46%    
  Tue, Jan 27 36 @North Carolina St. L 74-81 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 58 Notre Dame W 71-68 60%    
  Mon, Feb 2 22 @North Carolina L 71-80 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 23 @Virginia L 68-77 22%    
  Wed, Feb 11 76 California W 75-70 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 40 SMU W 77-76 51%    
  Mon, Feb 16 3 @Duke L 63-79 7%    
  Sat, Feb 21 22 North Carolina L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Feb 28 50 @Wake Forest L 73-77 35%    
  Tue, Mar 3 13 @Louisville L 72-84 14%    
  Sat, Mar 7 95 Pittsburgh W 73-66 73%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 3.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.2 0.7 0.1 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 4.3 1.5 0.0 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.2 3.4 0.3 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 5.2 1.1 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 4.9 2.8 0.1 8.9 10th
11th 0.3 3.5 4.5 0.7 0.0 9.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.8 1.9 0.0 8.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.1 0.3 7.5 13th
14th 0.2 2.1 3.3 0.8 0.0 6.4 14th
15th 0.1 1.1 2.7 1.2 0.1 5.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.6 0.2 4.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.0 7.3 10.1 13.4 14.7 14.6 12.2 9.2 5.8 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 74.1% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 43.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 17.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.6% 100.0% 9.2% 90.8% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.6% 97.7% 7.7% 90.0% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.5%
13-5 3.3% 94.0% 5.0% 89.0% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 93.7%
12-6 5.8% 84.4% 3.2% 81.2% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.9 83.9%
11-7 9.2% 65.5% 1.7% 63.9% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 1.2 0.0 3.2 65.0%
10-8 12.2% 42.0% 0.8% 41.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 2.0 0.1 7.1 41.5%
9-9 14.6% 20.6% 0.3% 20.3% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 0.1 11.6 20.4%
8-10 14.7% 5.4% 0.2% 5.2% 10.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 14.0 5.2%
7-11 13.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.3 0.8%
6-12 10.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1 0.1%
5-13 7.3% 7.3
4-14 4.0% 4.0
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.5% 0.9% 24.6% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.4 4.6 6.2 6.0 0.3 74.5 24.8%