Elon
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#184
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#204
Pace69.0#196
Improvement+3.0#21

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#102
First Shot+1.7#132
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#105
Layup/Dunks+1.5#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#57
Freethrows-0.4#201
Improvement-0.1#195

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#331
First Shot-4.7#325
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#189
Layups/Dunks-0.7#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#343
Freethrows-0.7#233
Improvement+3.2#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 5.4% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 48.1% 51.7% 26.7%
.500 or above in Conference 54.2% 56.2% 42.0%
Conference Champion 4.6% 4.9% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 4.9% 9.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round5.0% 5.3% 3.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Home) - 85.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 75 - 12
Quad 410 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 281 @UNC Greensboro W 92-90 OT 57%     1 - 0 -1.5 +10.7 -12.4
  Wed, Nov 12 172 @Marshall L 89-96 36%     1 - 1 -5.1 +9.5 -14.0
  Sat, Nov 15 359 Gardner-Webb W 95-84 92%     2 - 1 -6.2 +6.6 -13.6
  Thu, Nov 20 32 @Miami (FL) L 72-99 6%     2 - 2 -10.6 +5.2 -14.6
  Mon, Nov 24 282 @Appalachian St. W 88-53 57%     3 - 2 +31.5 +27.2 +9.4
  Sat, Nov 29 194 Mercer L 84-91 63%     3 - 3 -12.1 -0.1 -11.4
  Wed, Dec 3 148 Furman L 88-97 53%     3 - 4 -11.4 +10.8 -21.9
  Sat, Dec 6 247 @Wofford W 73-52 50%     4 - 4 +19.3 +10.0 +12.4
  Sat, Dec 13 333 Northern Illinois W 85-73 86%    
  Wed, Dec 17 105 Richmond L 77-80 39%    
  Sat, Dec 20 67 @Virginia Tech L 72-85 11%    
  Mon, Dec 29 228 Northeastern W 79-74 68%    
  Wed, Dec 31 175 College of Charleston W 78-75 60%    
  Thu, Jan 8 299 @N.C. A&T W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 217 Campbell W 82-77 67%    
  Thu, Jan 15 228 @Northeastern L 76-77 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 139 @Hofstra L 71-77 29%    
  Thu, Jan 22 125 Towson L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 175 @College of Charleston L 75-78 38%    
  Thu, Jan 29 119 William & Mary L 83-85 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 221 Stony Brook W 78-73 68%    
  Thu, Feb 5 208 @Hampton L 74-76 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 267 Drexel W 76-69 73%    
  Thu, Feb 12 109 @UNC Wilmington L 70-79 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 119 @William & Mary L 80-88 25%    
  Sat, Feb 21 299 N.C. A&T W 82-73 79%    
  Thu, Feb 26 125 @Towson L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 207 @Monmouth L 75-77 43%    
  Tue, Mar 3 109 UNC Wilmington L 73-76 41%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.5 1.4 0.2 9.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 5.2 2.2 0.2 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.8 3.0 0.3 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.8 4.0 0.6 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.4 3.4 4.9 1.0 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.9 4.5 1.8 0.1 8.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 3.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.4 6.0 9.2 11.5 13.5 13.9 12.5 10.7 7.8 4.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.2% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 85.4% 1.1    0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 54.1% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 25.2% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 28.6% 28.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.2% 23.2% 23.2% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.6% 19.4% 19.4% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.9% 15.9% 15.9% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 4.1
12-6 7.8% 12.2% 12.2% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 6.9
11-7 10.7% 8.5% 8.5% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 9.8
10-8 12.5% 5.0% 5.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.9
9-9 13.9% 3.0% 3.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.5
8-10 13.5% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 13.2
7-11 11.5% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 9.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.1
5-13 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.0
4-14 3.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 1.3 0.5 94.9 0.0%