Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +8.5 63
Expected Predictive Rating +7.7 74
Pace 70.8 116
Improvement -4.5 338

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B #70 B- B B C+ C+
Defense B- #80 B- C A- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 227 60% 117 -0.1 178
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 247 48% 11 +0.5 144
Three Pointers 46% 80 34% 161 +2.8 84
1st FG Attempt 1.08 90 +3.2 88
Second Chance 32.0% 140 1.20 21 0.39 49
Turnovers 14.6% 45
Freethrows 0.31 181 76% 48 0.24 129
Total Offense +5.0 70

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 287 57% 144 +2.5 96
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 295 36% 101 +1.8 48
Three Pointers 48% 21 31% 57 -1.5 253
1st FG Attempt 0.96 86 +2.8 86
Second Chance 30.0% 159 1.02 164 0.31 158
Turnovers 20.6% 23
Freethrows 0.31 201 74% 290 0.23 227
Total Defense +3.5 80

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.3 150 +0.2 210
Shot Type Accuracy +2.8 84 -3.0 67
Possession Length 16.0 60 18.1 307
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 111 0.13 52
Improvement +0.1 #173 -4.6 #352

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2% 3% 0%
Average Seed 10.8 10.8 11.1
.500 or above 52% 64% 31%
.500 or above in Conference 6% 9% 1%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 2% 0% 4%
First Four1% 2% 0%
First Round1% 2% 0%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Stanford (Home) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 11
Quad 26 - 56 - 16
Quad 33 - 19 - 16
Quad 47 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 258 American W 88 - 74 93% +9  94% 1 - 0 B- +5 C+ +2 D- A A- C+ +2 C+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 292 Morehead St. W 81 - 65 95% +8  76% 2 - 0 B- +5 F -11 F B+ F A+ +14 A+ B- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84 - 85 OT 6% -2  33% 2 - 1 A+ +25 B +6 D A+ A- A+ +19 A+ A- A
 Sun, Nov 16 318 Umass Lowell W 109 - 75 97% +15  93% 3 - 1 A +21 A+ +19 B+ A+ A- C -0 D+ A- C-
 Thu, Nov 20 16 Texas Tech L 83 - 84 18% -2  37% 3 - 2 A- +17 A- +10 B+ A A+ B+ +7 B+ C A-
 Fri, Nov 21 86 Memphis W 69 - 68 58% -5  9% 4 - 2 B- +7 B- +4 D A+ C B- +4 D B+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 192 Campbell W 99 - 51 89% +26  98% 5 - 2 A+ +43 A+ +16 A- A+ A+ A+ +25 A+ A C+
 Fri, Nov 28 269 Northeastern W 86 - 73 94% +7  95% 6 - 2 C+ +4 C -0 A B+ F B- +4 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 54 Oklahoma L 68 - 86 55% -4  20% 6 - 3 D -11 F+ -9 F F+ C C -1 D D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 56 West Virginia W 75 - 66 44% +6  80% 7 - 3 A +19 A+ +19 A+ B C C+ +2 B D- A+
 Sun, Dec 14 218 Queens W 111 - 73 91% +19  94% 8 - 3 A+ +32 A+ +25 A+ B+ C+ B+ +6 C B+ B
 Wed, Dec 17 261 Longwood W 71 - 68 94% +2  63% 9 - 3 D+ -6 F -10 F F+ A B +5 A D D
 Sun, Dec 21 14 Vanderbilt L 67 - 98 24% -19  0% 9 - 4 F+ -15 D -5 D+ C+ F+ D- -9 F A+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 27 @North Carolina St. L 57 - 70 18% -7  16% 9 - 5 0 - 1 B- +5 F -12 D- F D+ A+ +18 A A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 55 Virginia Tech W 81 - 78 56% +4  77% 10 - 5 1 - 1 B +10 B- +5 C- A+ A- B +5 C B+ A+
 Wed, Jan 7 41 Miami (FL) L 77 - 81 44% +1  53% 10 - 6 1 - 2 B- +6 B+ +8 A+ C B C- -2 A F B
 Sat, Jan 10 26 @North Carolina L 84 - 87 18% -8  0% 10 - 7 1 - 3 A- +15 A+ +14 A+ A- F+ C+ +1 C F A+
 Sat, Jan 17 93 @Florida St. W 69 - 68 51% -3  16% 11 - 7 2 - 3 B +9 C+ +2 C- C+ A+ B+ +7 A- D- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 37 SMU L 79 - 91 40% -8  6% 11 - 8 2 - 4 C -1 C -0 B- C- A- C +0 D+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 24 3 @Duke L 69 - 90 6% -9  31% 11 - 9 2 - 5 B- +6 A +13 A B- A+ D- -9 B- D- D
 Tue, Jan 27 99 @Pittsburgh L 76 - 80 OT 51% +3  83% 11 - 10 2 - 6 C+ +4 C+ +2 C C+ C- C+ +2 A F+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 27 North Carolina St. L 78 - 96 35% -11  1% 11 - 11 2 - 7 D+ -6 B+ +7 B- B A+ F -13 F+ C C-
 Sat, Feb 7 11 Louisville L 80 - 88 22% -7  0% 11 - 12 2 - 8 B +9 A- +10 B B+ A+ C -1 C C C
 Wed, Feb 11 131 @Georgia Tech W 83 - 67 64% +8  85% 12 - 12 3 - 8 A +21 A+ +17 A+ B B B +5 A- B- F
 Sat, Feb 14 74 Stanford W 78 - 74 65%
 Wed, Feb 18 38 Clemson L 69 - 72 42%
 Sat, Feb 21 55 @Virginia Tech L 74 - 79 33%
 Tue, Feb 24 129 @Boston College W 72 - 68 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 67 Syracuse W 79 - 76 63%
 Tue, Mar 3 23 @Virginia L 68 - 79 16%
 Sat, Mar 7 73 California W 78 - 74 64%
Totals 15 - 16 6 - 12 +8 B +5 B- B B B- +3 B- C A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B C+ A C+ B- 37% 17% 46% C+ B- C+ A- B B C B C+ B- C+ B- B B- 35% 17% 48% C- B- C C C A- C D+ C-
1.16 60% 48% 34% +3 0 1.08 32% 1.2 .39 15% .31 76% .24 1.04 57% 36% 31% -3 0 0.96 30% 1.0 .31 21% .31 74% .23
Nov
3		 American C+ A- F F F+ 53% 12% 35% A- D- C+ A+ A A- C- A C+ C+ F B- A+ B- 38% 6% 56% D- C+ C F F A+ D- F F
1.17 70% 14% 20% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 15% .37 79% .29 0.98 68% 33% 25% -4 +2 0.98 26% 1.3 .34 24% .31 89% .28
Nov
7		 Morehead St. F F+ C F F 54% 10% 36% A- F A+ D+ B+ F A+ F A A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 33% 10% 57% F A+ A D B- A+ C+ F C-
1.02 48% 40% 28% -8 +2 0.90 50% 0.9 .43 24% .49 60% .30 0.82 53% 20% 21% -15 +1 0.75 27% 1.0 .27 24% .28 82% .23
Nov
11		 Michigan B F F+ D D 30% 28% 42% B- D A- A+ A+ A- A- B A- A+ B- F A+ A+ 50% 6% 44% D+ A+ B+ B- A- A F A- F
0.97 30% 26% 29% -15 -2 0.69 33% 1.3 .44 15% .29 76% .22 0.99 60% 67% 14% -11 +3 0.86 34% 1.3 .45 20% .53 68% .36
Nov
16		 Umass Lowell A+ B- A+ B+ B+ 41% 14% 45% C+ B+ C A+ A+ A- A- A A C D+ F B+ C- 45% 15% 40% D- D+ A- B+ A- C- C+ F C-
1.43 63% 63% 38% +8 +1 1.21 32% 2.0 .65 9% .35 83% .29 0.99 58% 50% 29% -1 +1 1.02 25% 0.9 .22 20% .30 72% .21
Nov
20		 Texas Tech A- D- B- A+ B+ 39% 30% 30% B- B+ C+ A+ A A+ B+ F C+ B+ C+ C D+ B 19% 26% 55% A B+ F+ A- C A- F+ D F
1.10 50% 41% 41% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.4 .37 11% .33 59% .19 1.12 60% 43% 38% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.9 .36 19% .34 76% .26
Nov
21		 Memphis B- B F+ F D+ 22% 22% 55% D D A A+ A+ C B- B- B B- F+ A+ D- D 30% 14% 56% D+ D F+ A+ B+ A D- A+ C-
1.03 64% 27% 26% -8 -1 0.84 42% 1.3 .53 21% .36 74% .26 1.01 69% 17% 38% +3 0 1.09 43% 0.8 .35 25% .36 61% .22
Nov
25		 Campbell A+ A B A- A- 41% 13% 46% B A- B A+ A+ A+ B A+ A A+ A A+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% B A+ A B+ A C+ D- A+ B-
1.38 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.26 36% 1.6 .57 11% .34 86% .30 0.71 44% 13% 15% -22 0 0.58 26% 0.9 .24 19% .45 58% .26
Nov
28		 Northeastern C A+ A+ C+ A 45% 14% 41% B- A A C B+ F C+ C+ C+ B- B- B F F 48% 13% 39% D F A- A+ A+ A+ C D- D+
1.17 82% 57% 35% +14 +1 1.33 43% 1.0 .43 23% .36 75% .27 1.00 55% 33% 56% +10 +2 1.26 21% 0.7 .14 30% .29 73% .21
Dec
2		 Oklahoma F+ F C F F 27% 22% 51% C F F+ D- F+ C A+ A A+ C F F+ C+ D 43% 13% 45% D D F+ B D+ B+ F C F
0.94 43% 36% 27% -10 -1 0.80 22% 0.9 .20 17% .45 81% .37 1.19 70% 50% 33% +6 +1 1.17 40% 1.2 .48 17% .58 74% .43
Dec
6		 West Virginia A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 8% 48% A A+ A+ F B C C- F D C+ D+ F A+ A- 42% 3% 55% F B F A+ D- A+ F F F
1.23 57% 50% 43% +8 +2 1.21 45% 0.7 .32 18% .22 64% .14 1.09 63% 100% 24% -5 +3 0.97 58% 0.8 .45 30% .56 75% .42
Dec
14		 Queens A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 25% 14% 61% D+ A+ C+ A B+ C+ B A+ A+ B+ F A+ B C 25% 10% 65% C+ C A+ F B+ B B C+ B
1.55 69% 100% 52% +28 0 1.57 35% 1.3 .45 14% .39 92% .36 1.02 85% 20% 30% +2 0 1.06 19% 1.3 .25 18% .26 73% .19
Dec
17		 Longwood F C- A+ F F 38% 17% 45% C- F F D+ F+ A A+ B- A+ B B+ A+ A A+ 35% 12% 54% D- A B+ F D D D+ D+ D+
0.97 61% 63% 19% -5 0 0.94 17% 0.8 .14 14% .48 73% .35 0.93 50% 17% 25% -12 +1 0.79 28% 1.3 .35 18% .35 76% .27
Dec
21		 Vanderbilt D D A- F D 36% 20% 43% B- D+ A F C+ F+ A+ B A+ D- F A+ F F 37% 8% 56% D- F A+ C+ A+ B+ A- B A-
0.92 50% 44% 21% -10 0 0.82 36% 0.8 .28 23% .57 78% .45 1.34 84% 25% 52% +23 +2 1.52 22% 1.2 .26 16% .26 75% .20
Dec
31		 North Carolina St. F F A+ F+ F+ 37% 8% 55% B D- C F F D+ F+ C+ D- A+ D A+ A+ A+ 46% 15% 38% D+ A C+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F+ C
0.80 42% 50% 29% -9 +2 0.86 25% 0.4 .10 22% .23 69% .16 0.98 67% 25% 25% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.6 .17 21% .30 82% .25
Jan
3		 Virginia Tech B- A C- F C 35% 33% 32% D- C- B- A+ A+ A- C+ A+ B+ B D+ F B- C- 19% 21% 60% A- C A- C B+ A+ F B- F
1.09 70% 37% 17% -4 -2 0.89 34% 1.5 .50 15% .25 88% .22 1.05 67% 60% 32% +5 -1 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 26% .45 72% .33
Jan
7		 Miami (FL) B+ F A+ A+ A+ 27% 31% 41% D- A+ F A+ C B C- B C C- F+ D+ A+ A+ 49% 16% 36% C- A F F F B F F F
1.12 36% 63% 52% +13 -2 1.24 14% 1.8 .25 18% .25 71% .18 1.18 73% 43% 13% -3 +1 0.98 45% 1.3 .59 19% .54 77% .41
Jan
10		 North Carolina A+ A- A+ A- A+ 29% 15% 56% A- A+ B+ A A- F+ C- B- C C+ F A+ B C+ 40% 11% 49% D C F F F A+ F B- F
1.18 63% 63% 39% +9 0 1.20 31% 1.1 .34 18% .19 73% .14 1.22 78% 20% 32% +4 +1 1.13 43% 1.6 .70 20% .52 67% .35
Jan
17		 Florida St. C+ D+ A+ F C 23% 23% 54% D C- D- A+ C+ A+ F B- F+ B+ D- F+ A+ B+ 21% 21% 58% A+ A- F B+ D- A+ F F F
1.05 54% 62% 27% -1 -1 0.96 24% 1.3 .32 8% .20 75% .15 1.03 67% 44% 24% -5 -1 0.88 46% 1.0 .46 24% .38 89% .34
Jan
20		 SMU C D+ B- C+ C+ 38% 17% 45% B+ B- F+ A- C- A- C+ B- C+ C A- F F D 27% 25% 47% B D+ C+ D+ C B+ C B C+
1.05 55% 40% 35% 0 0 1.02 22% 1.1 .24 15% .28 72% .20 1.20 53% 57% 46% +12 -1 1.24 35% 1.1 .39 19% .29 72% .21
Jan
24		 Duke A B F A+ A 24% 14% 62% B A D+ A+ B- A+ B- A+ B+ D- D A+ C- B- 50% 7% 43% D+ B- F B D- D F F F
1.07 58% 0% 42% +2 0 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 14% .23 85% .20 1.39 70% 0% 35% +4 +3 1.15 50% 1.1 .56 14% .43 88% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Pittsburgh C+ A- A+ F C+ 34% 26% 40% D C C B- C+ C- B B- B C+ A B B+ A+ 36% 10% 53% D A C F F+ F F C- F
1.06 67% 50% 24% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 18% .32 79% .25 1.11 48% 33% 29% -8 +1 0.88 36% 1.3 .45 11% .39 68% .27
Jan
31		 North Carolina St. B+ D A+ C+ B 37% 22% 41% D+ B- F+ A+ B A+ A A+ A+ F A+ F F F+ 38% 13% 49% C- F+ B+ F C C- B- C- B-
1.12 50% 55% 35% +1 0 1.04 18% 1.8 .32 13% .40 88% .35 1.38 43% 57% 56% +13 +1 1.29 24% 1.6 .38 12% .29 78% .23
Feb
7		 Louisville A- A D C B+ 28% 32% 40% D+ B B- A B+ A+ A+ C+ A C C F D C 41% 13% 46% B- C A+ F C C F C F
1.13 67% 29% 33% -1 -2 0.96 28% 1.2 .33 8% .39 72% .28 1.24 63% 67% 38% +9 +1 1.22 21% 1.7 .36 16% .52 77% .40
Feb
11		 Georgia Tech A+ B A+ A+ A+ 28% 13% 60% B A+ D+ A+ B B A F+ B+ B A+ A+ F A 38% 27% 35% B- A- B- C+ B- F A+ A+ A+
1.27 62% 50% 46% +14 0 1.30 26% 1.4 .37 14% .39 64% .25 1.03 33% 20% 53% -5 -1 0.91 30% 1.1 .33 12% .16 56% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 0.3 1.5 8th
9th 0.2 3.7 3.3 0.1 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 3.0 7.1 0.7 10.8 10th
11th 1.2 10.4 4.1 0.1 15.7 11th
12th 0.1 6.7 10.6 0.4 17.7 12th
13th 0.0 2.1 12.3 3.2 0.0 17.7 13th
14th 0.6 8.9 6.9 0.4 16.6 14th
15th 0.1 2.5 5.6 0.5 8.7 15th
16th 0.2 2.0 0.4 2.6 16th
17th 0.4 0.5 0.9 17th
18th 0.2 0.2 18th
Total 0.9 5.6 17.1 27.6 27.7 15.4 5.2 0.6 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.6% 50.0% 50.0% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 50.0%
9-9 5.2% 16.5% 0.6% 16.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.0 4.3 16.1%
8-10 15.4% 3.8% 0.2% 3.6% 11.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 14.8 3.6%
7-11 27.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 11.2 0.1 0.0 27.6 0.3%
6-12 27.6% 27.6
5-13 17.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 17.1
4-14 5.6% 5.6
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 0.1% 1.8% 10.8 98.1 1.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%