Preseason Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.6#67
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.5#196
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#74
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#59
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 4.6% 4.8% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.7% 24.2% 8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.6% 23.1% 7.9%
Average Seed 8.4 8.4 8.7
.500 or above 62.7% 63.8% 28.5%
.500 or above in Conference 44.3% 45.0% 22.4%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.5% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 7.1% 16.1%
First Four5.4% 5.5% 1.9%
First Round20.8% 21.2% 7.1%
Second Round10.8% 11.1% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen3.1% 3.2% 1.0%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Home) - 96.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 8
Quad 25 - 47 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 14
Quad 46 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 303   American W 75-55 97%    
  Nov 07, 2025 293   Morehead St. W 75-56 96%    
  Nov 11, 2025 6   Michigan L 68-79 16%    
  Nov 16, 2025 295   Umass Lowell W 83-64 96%    
  Nov 20, 2025 12   Texas Tech L 66-75 21%    
  Nov 25, 2025 203   Campbell W 75-61 89%    
  Nov 28, 2025 226   Northeastern W 78-63 90%    
  Dec 02, 2025 47   Oklahoma W 73-72 50%    
  Dec 06, 2025 61   West Virginia L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 14, 2025 245   Queens W 81-65 92%    
  Dec 17, 2025 204   Longwood W 80-66 89%    
  Dec 21, 2025 41   Vanderbilt L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 31, 2025 31   @ North Carolina St. L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 03, 2026 76   Virginia Tech W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 07, 2026 56   Miami (FL) W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 10, 2026 25   @ North Carolina L 70-80 21%    
  Jan 17, 2026 78   @ Florida St. L 72-74 45%    
  Jan 20, 2026 44   SMU L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 24, 2026 3   @ Duke L 62-78 9%    
  Jan 27, 2026 77   @ Pittsburgh L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 31, 2026 31   North Carolina St. L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 07, 2026 11   Louisville L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 11, 2026 83   @ Georgia Tech L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 14, 2026 95   Stanford W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 18, 2026 42   Clemson L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 21, 2026 76   @ Virginia Tech L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 24, 2026 100   @ Boston College W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 28, 2026 64   Syracuse W 74-72 59%    
  Mar 03, 2026 46   @ Virginia L 61-67 30%    
  Mar 07, 2026 91   California W 74-68 68%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.8 0.1 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.3 1.1 0.1 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.5 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 3.7 1.2 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.1 1.8 0.1 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 3.0 3.2 0.4 6.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 4.1 1.1 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.3 2.6 0.2 6.7 13th
14th 0.2 2.1 3.5 0.8 0.0 6.5 14th
15th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.6 0.1 6.0 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.0 0.3 5.8 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.1 17th
18th 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.0 18th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.1 4.1 6.3 8.2 10.5 11.6 11.7 11.5 10.0 8.3 6.0 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 87.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 68.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 41.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 15.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 49.8% 50.2% 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 21.9% 78.1% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.6% 99.3% 9.2% 90.1% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
15-3 1.1% 99.3% 15.0% 84.2% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1%
14-4 2.6% 96.7% 10.3% 86.4% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.3%
13-5 4.0% 89.3% 7.0% 82.3% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 88.5%
12-6 6.0% 78.0% 4.5% 73.5% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.3 76.9%
11-7 8.3% 56.7% 2.2% 54.5% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.0 3.6 55.7%
10-8 10.0% 35.4% 0.7% 34.8% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.0 6.5 35.0%
9-9 11.5% 18.0% 0.5% 17.5% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.0 9.5 17.6%
8-10 11.7% 5.2% 0.2% 5.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.1 5.1%
7-11 11.6% 1.2% 0.1% 1.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.4 1.1%
6-12 10.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 10.5 0.0%
5-13 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 8.2
4-14 6.3% 6.3
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 23.7% 1.4% 22.3% 8.4 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.4 4.1 5.7 3.4 0.1 76.3 22.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 100.0