Tulsa
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#247
Expected Predictive Rating-10.2#322
Pace70.0#149
Improvement-0.3#209

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#243
First Shot-1.8#224
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#232
Layup/Dunks-3.1#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#146
Freethrows+1.0#115
Improvement-1.1#274

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#240
First Shot+1.6#122
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#354
Layups/Dunks+0.1#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#54
Freethrows-0.2#203
Improvement+0.7#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 n/a
.500 or above 3.0% 3.1% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 11.4% 11.6% 5.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.7% 33.2% 47.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 96.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 32 - 83 - 15
Quad 47 - 610 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 103-80 92%     1 - 0 +2.8 +9.2 -8.2
  Nov 13, 2024 293   Oral Roberts W 85-76 69%     2 - 0 -0.9 +7.1 -7.9
  Nov 16, 2024 191   @ Missouri St. L 106-111 3OT 27%     2 - 1 -3.5 +0.3 -2.2
  Nov 20, 2024 244   Arkansas Little Rock L 57-71 61%     2 - 2 -21.6 -10.7 -12.5
  Nov 23, 2024 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 53-89 12%     2 - 3 -28.2 -16.0 -11.0
  Nov 26, 2024 320   Detroit Mercy W 63-44 65%     3 - 3 +10.2 -7.9 +19.8
  Nov 27, 2024 253   Georgia St. L 71-74 52%     3 - 4 -8.2 -4.1 -4.1
  Dec 04, 2024 85   Oklahoma St. L 55-76 22%     3 - 5 -17.6 -18.9 +2.3
  Dec 07, 2024 223   Southern L 66-70 56%     3 - 6 -10.2 -2.7 -7.8
  Dec 14, 2024 82   Central Florida L 75-88 14%     3 - 7 -6.3 +8.2 -14.9
  Dec 21, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 76-57 97%    
  Jan 01, 2025 197   Rice L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 137   @ UAB L 74-83 20%    
  Jan 07, 2025 234   @ Texas San Antonio L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 11, 2025 170   Charlotte L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 145   @ South Florida L 69-77 22%    
  Jan 21, 2025 164   East Carolina L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 26, 2025 100   Wichita St. L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 29, 2025 137   UAB L 77-80 39%    
  Feb 02, 2025 203   @ Tulane L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 34   @ Memphis L 68-88 3%    
  Feb 08, 2025 84   Florida Atlantic L 76-84 22%    
  Feb 12, 2025 118   @ Temple L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 15, 2025 234   Texas San Antonio W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 19, 2025 72   @ North Texas L 56-71 8%    
  Feb 22, 2025 197   @ Rice L 67-73 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 203   Tulane W 73-72 51%    
  Mar 04, 2025 118   Temple L 71-76 34%    
  Mar 09, 2025 100   @ Wichita St. L 68-81 13%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.0 0.3 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.4 5.0 0.9 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.3 2.9 6.4 2.3 0.1 0.0 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.0 3.9 0.4 0.0 14.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.7 7.4 5.2 0.8 0.0 17.9 12th
13th 0.7 2.9 6.1 7.2 4.4 0.9 0.0 22.1 13th
Total 0.7 2.9 6.8 11.2 14.7 16.2 15.0 12.2 8.9 5.6 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 57.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 28.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 2.2% 2.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 3.6% 3.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 2.6% 2.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.6% 0.9% 0.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
10-8 3.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
9-9 5.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 5.6
8-10 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 8.8
7-11 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.2
6-12 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.2
4-14 14.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.7
3-15 11.2% 11.2
2-16 6.8% 6.8
1-17 2.9% 2.9
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%