IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Tulsa
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.2	#142
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.8	#138

Pace	74.8	#56
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.2	#113

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.0	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.6%	3.6%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.7	11.5	12.0

.500 or above	61.4%	74.2%	48.4%
.500 or above in Conference	42.8%	50.4%	35.2%
Conference Champion	2.4%	3.4%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	10.1%	7.3%	13.0%

First Four	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
First Round	2.5%	3.5%	1.4%
Second Round	0.6%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	361	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	103-80	95%	1 - 0			+5.2	+11.8	-8.3
Nov 13, 2024	245	Oral Roberts	W	85-76	79%	2 - 0			+1.9	+8.3	-6.3
Nov 16, 2024	195	@ Missouri St.	W	75-74	50%
Nov 20, 2024	279	Arkansas Little Rock	W	83-73	83%
Nov 23, 2024	108	@ Loyola Chicago	L	73-79	29%
Nov 26, 2024	341	Detroit Mercy	W	82-70	87%
Nov 27, 2024	223	Georgia St.	W	79-75	66%
Dec 04, 2024	87	Oklahoma St.	L	76-78	42%
Dec 07, 2024	273	Southern	W	80-70	82%
Dec 14, 2024	66	Central Florida	L	73-80	26%
Dec 21, 2024	364	Mississippi Valley	W	83-59	98%
Jan 01, 2025	191	Rice	W	76-70	70%
Jan 04, 2025	101	@ UAB	L	77-84	28%
Jan 07, 2025	238	@ Texas San Antonio	W	83-81	56%
Jan 11, 2025	133	Charlotte	W	73-71	58%
Jan 18, 2025	120	@ South Florida	L	74-79	34%
Jan 21, 2025	154	East Carolina	W	74-71	62%
Jan 26, 2025	86	Wichita St.	L	77-79	42%
Jan 29, 2025	101	UAB	L	80-81	47%
Feb 02, 2025	145	@ Tulane	L	82-85	41%
Feb 05, 2025	34	@ Memphis	L	75-88	13%
Feb 08, 2025	74	Florida Atlantic	L	84-88	38%
Feb 12, 2025	112	@ Temple	L	73-79	31%
Feb 15, 2025	238	Texas San Antonio	W	86-78	74%
Feb 19, 2025	73	@ North Texas	L	62-72	21%
Feb 22, 2025	191	@ Rice	L	73-74	50%
Mar 01, 2025	145	Tulane	W	85-82	61%
Mar 04, 2025	112	Temple	W	76-75	51%
Mar 09, 2025	86	@ Wichita St.	L	74-82	24%
Projected Record						16 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.3	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.1				4.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.8	2.6	1.4	0.2	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.9	3.5	1.7	0.2	0.0						7.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.7	4.2	2.1	0.2	0.0							8.3	5th
6th								0.0	1.2	4.2	2.9	0.5	0.0								8.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	3.9	4.0	0.8	0.0									9.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	3.4	4.8	1.3	0.0										9.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	2.5	5.0	2.1	0.1											10.1	9th
10th					0.2	1.8	4.8	2.8	0.3												9.9	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	1.7	3.8	2.7	0.4	0.0												8.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.3	1.5	3.1	2.4	0.4	0.0													7.8	12th
13th	0.1	0.7	1.6	2.1	1.2	0.3	0.0														6.0	13th

Total	0.1	0.7	1.9	3.9	6.2	8.6	10.9	12.4	12.5	11.5	10.0	8.1	5.9	3.7	2.1	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	84.1%	0.3		0.3	0.0
15-3	64.0%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	40.4%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.5%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0								0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.2	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%										0.0		0.0
17-1	0.1%		73.3%	33.3%	40.0%	7.8			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		60.0%
16-2	0.4%		45.1%	25.7%	19.5%	9.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.2		26.2%
15-3	1.0%		25.6%	17.8%	7.7%	10.7							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1					0.7		9.4%
14-4	2.1%		16.6%	14.4%	2.2%	11.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.8		2.6%
13-5	3.7%		9.2%	8.5%	0.6%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0				3.4		0.7%
12-6	5.9%		7.9%	7.9%	0.1%	12.1											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		5.4		0.1%
11-7	8.1%		4.1%	4.1%		12.2											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			7.8
10-8	10.0%		2.5%	2.5%		12.7												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.8
9-9	11.5%		1.3%	1.3%		12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			11.4
8-10	12.5%		0.5%	0.5%		12.9													0.0	0.0	0.0			12.4
7-11	12.4%		0.5%	0.5%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.3
6-12	10.9%		0.2%	0.2%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.9
5-13	8.6%		0.1%	0.1%		15.7																0.0	0.0	8.6
4-14	6.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
3-15	3.9%																							3.9
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.7%																							0.7
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.6%	2.3%	0.3%	11.7			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	97.4		0.3%