IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

UAB
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.0	#101
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.8	#225

Pace	70.8	#135
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.2	#52

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.2	#173

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.3%	10.8%	6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.6%	2.5%	0.7%
Average Seed	10.9	10.6	11.4

.500 or above	79.0%	88.5%	70.6%
.500 or above in Conference	62.8%	69.4%	56.9%
Conference Champion	7.2%	9.4%	5.4%
Last Place in Conference	3.5%	2.4%	4.5%

First Four	0.7%	1.0%	0.4%
First Round	8.0%	10.4%	5.9%
Second Round	2.5%	3.5%	1.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.7%	1.1%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 46.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	1 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 4	3 - 7
Quad 3	7 - 4	10 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 1	18 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	139	Vermont	L	62-67	74%	0 - 1			-6.7	-2.9	-4.4
Nov 07, 2024	231	Southern Miss	W	98-84	85%	1 - 1			+7.7	+10.8	-4.8
Nov 10, 2024	276	SE Louisiana	W	82-72	90%	2 - 1			+1.0	+3.9	-3.1
Nov 15, 2024	125	@ High Point	L	79-80	47%
Nov 22, 2024	167	Longwood	W	77-72	69%
Dec 01, 2024	129	Middle Tennessee	W	75-69	71%
Dec 06, 2024	345	Prairie View	W	88-68	97%
Dec 15, 2024	115	Arkansas St.	W	79-75	65%
Dec 18, 2024	340	Alabama A&M	W	86-67	95%
Dec 22, 2024	352	Alcorn St.	W	84-63	97%
Dec 31, 2024	73	@ North Texas	L	64-70	31%
Jan 04, 2025	142	Tulsa	W	84-77	72%
Jan 07, 2025	145	Tulane	W	85-78	73%
Jan 12, 2025	74	@ Florida Atlantic	L	81-87	30%
Jan 15, 2025	120	@ South Florida	L	75-76	46%
Jan 21, 2025	238	Texas San Antonio	W	86-75	84%
Jan 26, 2025	34	@ Memphis	L	76-85	21%
Jan 29, 2025	142	@ Tulsa	W	81-80	53%
Feb 01, 2025	133	Charlotte	W	74-68	70%
Feb 03, 2025	73	North Texas	W	67-66	50%
Feb 11, 2025	154	@ East Carolina	W	73-72	54%
Feb 16, 2025	120	South Florida	W	78-73	66%
Feb 19, 2025	191	@ Rice	W	75-71	63%
Feb 23, 2025	112	Temple	W	77-73	63%
Feb 27, 2025	86	@ Wichita St.	L	74-79	35%
Mar 02, 2025	34	Memphis	L	79-82	39%
Mar 06, 2025	74	Florida Atlantic	W	85-84	50%
Mar 09, 2025	145	@ Tulane	W	82-81	53%
Projected Record						17 - 11	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.1	2.0	2.2	1.2	0.4	0.1		7.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.2	3.5	2.4	0.7	0.1				9.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.5	4.6	2.2	0.4	0.0					10.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.5	5.1	2.5	0.3							10.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.9	5.1	3.1	0.4	0.0							10.6	5th
6th								0.0	1.2	4.5	3.6	0.5	0.0								9.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	3.8	4.1	0.8	0.0									9.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.3	2.8	4.3	1.3	0.0										8.6	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	1.9	3.8	1.7	0.1	0.0										7.7	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	1.1	3.0	1.8	0.2	0.0											6.3	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.8	2.1	1.8	0.3	0.0												5.1	11th
12th		0.0	0.2	0.6	1.4	1.1	0.3	0.0													3.5	12th
13th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.1															1.7	13th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.2	2.8	4.6	7.2	9.4	11.3	12.2	12.4	11.7	9.9	7.1	4.9	2.9	1.3	0.4	0.1			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	94.7%	1.2		1.1	0.2	0.0
15-3	75.3%	2.2		1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0
14-4	42.0%	2.0		0.7	1.0	0.3	0.0
13-5	15.7%	1.1		0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	7.2%	7.2		3.9	2.4	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		90.5%	61.9%	28.6%	4.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0				0.0					0.0		75.0%
17-1	0.4%		84.6%	32.5%	52.1%	7.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		77.2%
16-2	1.3%		66.8%	35.2%	31.6%	8.6				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0					0.4		48.8%
15-3	2.9%		41.6%	25.1%	16.6%	10.2						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.1					1.7		22.1%
14-4	4.9%		26.9%	21.7%	5.2%	10.7						0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.3	0.0				3.6		6.6%
13-5	7.1%		17.1%	16.2%	0.9%	11.4										0.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.0				5.9		1.1%
12-6	9.9%		11.6%	11.5%	0.2%	11.8											0.0	0.3	0.7	0.1	0.0			8.8		0.2%
11-7	11.7%		8.0%	8.0%	0.1%	12.0											0.0	0.2	0.6	0.2	0.0			10.8		0.1%
10-8	12.4%		4.7%	4.7%		12.2												0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0			11.8
9-9	12.2%		2.6%	2.6%		12.3												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			11.8
8-10	11.3%		1.4%	1.4%		12.9													0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		11.1
7-11	9.4%		1.0%	1.0%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		9.3
6-12	7.2%		0.8%	0.8%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.1
5-13	4.6%		0.6%	0.6%		15.6																0.0	0.0	4.6
4-14	2.8%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		2.8
3-15	1.2%																							1.2
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		8.3%	6.9%	1.5%	10.9		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.8	2.6	2.8	0.7	0.1	0.1	0.0	91.7		1.6%