La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.5 #197
Expected Predictive Rating -1.9 #202
Pace 64.1 #307
Improvement +3.4 #41

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #208 D+ C+ D B D+
Defense #211 C- C- C A C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #116 1.08 #275 -0.3 #187
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #72 0.77 #156 +2.4 #68
Three Pointers 33% #332 0.99 #221 -4.7 #321
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #250 -2.5 #251
Freethrows 20.2 #63 73% #163 14.8 #67
Second Chance 34.2% #80 1.00 #240 0.34 #122
Turnovers 18.1% #286
Total Offense -1.5 #208

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #163 1.12 #127 +0.2 #165
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #254 0.83 #289 +0.2 #174
Three Pointers 42% #140 1.07 #249 -1.8 #265
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #214 -1.3 #215
Freethrows 13.8 #24 67% #20 9.3 #14
Second Chance 31.6% #232 1.07 #223 0.34 #236
Turnovers 16.7% #171
Total Defense -1.1 #211

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #263 0.8% #239
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.9% #238 1.7% #212
Possession Length 18.5 #297 17.5 #219
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #246 0.18 #206
Improvement +3.3 #32 +0.1 #177

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.0% 25.5% 6.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 1.9% 9.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 38.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 72 - 11
Quad 34 - 95 - 20
Quad 45 - 210 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 59 96% +22  1 - 0 +5 -1 C F F +5 A+ B- C
 Sat, Nov 8 202 Monmouth W 73 - 60 62% +3  2 - 0 +7 +4 C- C+ C +4 C D+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 140 @Temple L 63 - 90 26% -16  2 - 1 -23 -5 F C C- -19 F F D
 Sat, Nov 15 116 Penn St. L 69 - 83 29% -11  2 - 2 -11 +2 C- A F -15 F B D-
 Wed, Nov 19 33 Villanova L 55 - 70 11% -11  2 - 3 -4 -3 C+ F F -3 F A A+
 Fri, Nov 28 126 Hofstra L 58 - 63 32% -3  2 - 4 -3 -12 F C+ F +9 C+ A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 29 182 @Penn L 71 - 73 35% +3  2 - 5 -0 +5 F A+ D+ -5 D- F C+
 Sun, Nov 30 208 Merrimack L 60 - 66 52% -4  2 - 6 -9 -7 C- C F -3 C D C-
 Sat, Dec 6 203 Drexel W 69 - 64 51% +8  3 - 6 +2 +1 C+ C C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Sat, Dec 13 222 @LIU Brooklyn L 60 - 70 43% -5  3 - 7 -11 -9 F B+ F -2 B+ F B+
 Fri, Dec 19 98 @High Point L 72 - 84 16% -8  3 - 8 -4 +5 D D+ B -9 F D D+
 Sun, Dec 21 1 @Michigan L 50 - 102 1% -24  3 - 9 -24 -12 F C+ F -9 F A+ C
 Wed, Dec 31 86 George Mason L 75 - 80 26% +5  3 - 10 0 - 1 -1 +12 C B- A+ -13 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 72 @George Washington L 55 - 77 11% -6  3 - 11 0 - 2 -11 -11 F F B -2 B- F C
 Wed, Jan 7 122 @Rhode Island W 79 - 72 22% +2  4 - 11 1 - 2 +13 +18 A+ A+ C+ -5 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 10 28 Saint Louis L 72 - 84 10% -12  4 - 12 1 - 3 -0 +8 C C+ A+ -9 F B+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 120 @Richmond L 53 - 74 22% -8  4 - 13 1 - 4 -15 -14 F F A- -2 C B F
 Sat, Jan 17 136 St. Bonaventure W 78 - 74 46% +2  5 - 13 2 - 4 +3 +11 A+ A+ F -8 F A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 21 73 Dayton W 67 - 64 24% +9  6 - 13 3 - 4 +8 +5 C C+ C +3 A F A+
 Wed, Jan 28 193 @Fordham L 65 - 68 38%
 Sat, Jan 31 159 Saint Joseph's W 69 - 68 52%
 Tue, Feb 3 268 @Loyola Chicago W 72 - 71 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 28 @Saint Louis L 65 - 85 3%
 Wed, Feb 11 55 Virginia Commonwealth L 70 - 80 18%
 Wed, Feb 18 118 @Duquesne L 71 - 79 22%
 Sat, Feb 21 122 Rhode Island L 67 - 69 42%
 Tue, Feb 24 72 George Washington L 73 - 80 25%
 Sun, Mar 1 137 @Davidson L 64 - 71 26%
 Wed, Mar 4 193 Fordham W 68 - 65 60%
 Sat, Mar 7 159 @Saint Joseph's L 66 - 72 31%
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 11 -3 -1 D+ C+ D -1 C- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.2 1.4 0.1 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.2 3.6 0.4 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 3.2 6.9 1.2 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 1.8 8.7 3.8 0.1 14.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 6.8 7.4 0.7 15.4 10th
11th 0.3 4.9 9.8 2.4 0.1 17.5 11th
12th 0.1 2.6 7.8 3.3 0.2 13.9 12th
13th 0.7 4.0 2.5 0.3 7.5 13th
14th 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.9 14th
Total 1.6 7.9 15.9 22.0 22.3 16.4 9.0 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 14.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 3.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 3.7
9-9 9.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 9.0
8-10 16.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.4
7-11 22.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.2
6-12 22.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.0
5-13 15.9% 15.9
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.4 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%