St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#111
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#41
Pace65.3#292
Improvement+0.2#173

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#136
First Shot+0.0#175
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#127
Layup/Dunks+1.0#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#224
Freethrows-1.6#266
Improvement-2.4#349

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#92
First Shot+3.6#70
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#246
Layups/Dunks+4.1#55
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#166
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement+2.6#17
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.0% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 11.3
.500 or above 93.4% 96.3% 88.0%
.500 or above in Conference 62.6% 66.3% 55.7%
Conference Champion 2.9% 3.5% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.2% 1.9%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round3.0% 3.6% 2.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Away) - 65.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 22 - 33 - 7
Quad 38 - 311 - 10
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 124 Bradley W 69-63 54%     1 - 0 +8.9 +2.6 +6.7
  Sat, Nov 8 353 Canisius W 89-70 96%     2 - 0 +3.0 +18.3 -13.4
  Wed, Nov 12 161 Siena W 75-66 75%     3 - 0 +5.7 +8.1 -1.6
  Sat, Nov 15 178 Youngstown St. W 84-80 78%     4 - 0 -0.4 +10.3 -10.6
  Thu, Nov 20 183 Robert Morris W 75-61 79%     5 - 0 +9.3 +1.2 +8.4
  Tue, Nov 25 21 North Carolina L 70-85 15%     5 - 1 +0.1 +3.2 -2.8
  Thu, Nov 27 245 East Carolina W 67-58 79%     6 - 1 +4.3 -7.2 +11.4
  Sun, Nov 30 126 @Florida Atlantic W 70-65 43%     7 - 1 +10.7 +3.4 +7.6
  Sat, Dec 6 215 @Buffalo W 73-69 66%    
  Wed, Dec 10 176 Colgate W 74-66 77%    
  Sat, Dec 13 194 Ohio W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Dec 20 321 Le Moyne W 83-67 93%    
  Wed, Dec 31 43 @Virginia Commonwealth L 65-76 16%    
  Wed, Jan 7 104 Richmond W 72-70 58%    
  Sat, Jan 10 211 Fordham W 72-62 82%    
  Wed, Jan 14 184 @Saint Joseph's W 71-69 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 229 @La Salle W 70-65 67%    
  Tue, Jan 20 259 Loyola Chicago W 75-63 87%    
  Fri, Jan 23 46 Saint Louis L 72-76 35%    
  Wed, Jan 28 135 @Duquesne L 74-75 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 66 George Mason L 67-69 44%    
  Tue, Feb 3 67 @Dayton L 66-74 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 211 @Fordham W 69-65 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 135 Duquesne W 77-72 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 184 Saint Joseph's W 74-66 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 104 @Richmond L 69-73 36%    
  Wed, Feb 25 110 Rhode Island W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 66 @George Mason L 64-72 24%    
  Wed, Mar 4 62 @George Washington L 73-81 23%    
  Sat, Mar 7 137 Davidson W 71-66 68%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.2 2.6 0.6 0.1 7.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.6 3.6 4.0 0.9 0.1 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.3 1.5 0.1 10.8 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 5.9 2.6 0.2 12.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.9 3.4 0.3 12.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.0 4.1 0.6 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.1 0.8 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.6 1.0 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.3 1.7 2.7 0.9 0.1 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 3.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.3 6.9 10.2 12.7 14.4 14.1 12.6 9.7 6.3 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 63.4% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1
14-4 29.4% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0
13-5 7.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 86.2% 6.9% 79.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.2%
16-2 0.4% 43.5% 18.5% 25.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 30.7%
15-3 1.5% 26.7% 9.9% 16.8% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 18.7%
14-4 3.5% 15.1% 10.1% 5.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 3.0 5.6%
13-5 6.3% 10.4% 8.9% 1.5% 11.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 1.6%
12-6 9.7% 4.6% 4.4% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 9.2 0.2%
11-7 12.6% 3.4% 3.4% 11.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.2
10-8 14.1% 2.5% 2.5% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 13.7
9-9 14.4% 1.4% 1.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.2
8-10 12.7% 0.5% 0.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
7-11 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 6.9
5-13 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 4.3
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 3.4% 2.7% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 96.6 0.8%