Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.0 #268
Expected Predictive Rating -9.0 #312
Pace 66.9 #237
Improvement +2.6 #65

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #221 C C- D- C- B+
Defense #299 C C F C- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #165 1.12 #228 -0.7 #201
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #336 0.77 #149 -3.2 #330
Three Pointers 49% #33 0.98 #235 +3.4 #77
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #191 -0.4 #191
Freethrows 17.7 #187 68% #303 12.1 #224
Second Chance 32.7% #124 0.92 #330 0.30 #216
Turnovers 18.8% #319
Total Offense -1.9 #221

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #252 1.02 #33 +3.8 #61
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #138 0.84 #307 -1.3 #287
Three Pointers 42% #139 1.14 #331 -3.4 #314
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #204 -0.9 #205
Freethrows 17.0 #153 79% #362 13.5 #239
Second Chance 31.7% #236 1.02 #159 0.32 #202
Turnovers 11.9% #359
Total Defense -4.1 #299

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.3% #44 -0.6% #114
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.0% #224 2.4% #223
Possession Length 18.1 #255 17.6 #240
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #245 0.18 #221
Improvement -0.7 #224 +3.3 #27

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 73.7% 57.2% 80.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Home) - 29.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 62 - 10
Quad 32 - 104 - 20
Quad 44 - 58 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 316 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 73% +2  1 - 0 -9 +6 C- F A+ -16 D+ F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 306 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 69% -7  1 - 1 -19 -8 D F F -11 F C- B-
 Sun, Nov 9 127 North Texas L 62 - 64 22% -4  1 - 2 +0 -1 F C- B +1 B- A+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 103 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 11% -14  1 - 3 -13 +10 A+ F D+ -25 D+ F F
 Sun, Nov 16 96 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 21% -12  1 - 4 -11 +2 A+ F F -15 C+ F F
 Fri, Nov 21 318 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 74% -9  1 - 5 -30 -10 D+ F F -22 F F F
 Tue, Nov 25 110 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 18% -18  1 - 6 -17 -8 F B+ C -12 D+ C F
 Wed, Nov 26 238 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 43% -1  1 - 7 -16 -15 C- C- F -3 C+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 322 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 75% +2  2 - 7 -2 +8 D B A -10 F C- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 214 Princeton W 73 - 68 51% -1  3 - 7 -1 +5 B A+ C -6 B- C+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 357 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 85% -6  3 - 8 -26 -8 F A+ F -18 F C- F
 Wed, Dec 17 101 San Francisco L 71 - 85 16% -12  3 - 9 -9 +11 D+ A A+ -23 F A- F
 Sat, Dec 20 54 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 7% +1  4 - 9 +12 +14 A+ F A+ -2 A+ D F
 Wed, Dec 31 122 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 14% +7  5 - 9 1 - 0 +10 -3 A+ B F +13 A+ C+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 73 Dayton L 68 - 70 16% +6  5 - 10 1 - 1 +3 +3 A- C C -0 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 137 Davidson L 64 - 79 33% -10  5 - 11 1 - 2 -16 -5 F A D+ -12 D- D+ D
 Sat, Jan 10 72 @George Washington L 66 - 101 7% -20  5 - 12 1 - 3 -24 -10 C+ F F -11 D- A+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 86 George Mason L 74 - 82 17% +3  5 - 13 1 - 4 -4 +10 A+ A B -15 C F F
 Fri, Jan 16 73 @Dayton L 51 - 78 7% -6  5 - 14 1 - 5 -16 -13 F D F -4 D A+ C
 Tue, Jan 20 136 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 16% +3  5 - 15 1 - 6 -9 -1 A F F -9 B A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 118 Duquesne L 75 - 81 30%
 Tue, Jan 27 159 Saint Joseph's L 70 - 73 39%
 Fri, Jan 30 55 @Virginia Commonwealth L 68 - 87 4%
 Tue, Feb 3 197 La Salle L 71 - 72 49%
 Fri, Feb 6 137 @Davidson L 65 - 76 16%
 Fri, Feb 13 28 Saint Louis L 69 - 87 5%
 Wed, Feb 18 193 @Fordham L 66 - 73 26%
 Sat, Feb 21 159 @Saint Joseph's L 67 - 76 20%
 Sat, Feb 28 120 Richmond L 72 - 78 29%
 Wed, Mar 4 28 @Saint Louis L 66 - 90 2%
 Sat, Mar 7 72 George Washington L 74 - 85 16%
Totals 7 - 24 3 - 15 -6 -2 C C- D- -4 C C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.0 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.5 2.5 10th
11th 0.3 2.6 2.2 0.1 5.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.9 0.9 0.0 11.0 12th
13th 0.0 1.5 7.7 11.7 3.6 0.2 24.7 13th
14th 8.0 20.1 19.3 6.8 0.4 0.0 54.5 14th
Total 8.0 21.6 27.5 22.5 12.8 5.5 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8
9-9 0.1% 0.1
8-10 0.3% 0.3
7-11 1.7% 1.7
6-12 5.5% 5.5
5-13 12.8% 12.8
4-14 22.5% 22.5
3-15 27.5% 27.5
2-16 21.6% 21.6
1-17 8.0% 8.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.3%