Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +11.2 49
Results Rating +11.7 49
Consistency 0.10 2
Pace 72.4 75
Improvement -2.3 266

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 46 B B B- A B+
Defense B- 71 B B- C C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 105 C+ 59% 133 +2.2 104
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 334 B 44% 42 -2.4 296
Three Pointers 46% 74 B- 36% 91 +4.3 46
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.2 34 B- +2.6 92
1st FG Attempt B 1.10 69
Second Chance B 34.6% 65 B- 1.11 73 B 0.38 50
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 129
Other Turnovers B 6.2% 58
Turnovers B- 15.1% 81
Freethrows A 0.38 7 C+ 74% 128 A 0.28 10
Total Offense B+ +7.1 46

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 228 C+ 10.1% 125
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 299 C 5.1% 189
Three Pointers C+ 85% 165 C+ 0.6% 121
Total C+ 57% 153 C+ 5.1% 122


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 29 B+ 51% 27 +0.4 197
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 142 C 38% 156 +0.2 212
Three Pointers 34% 348 C+ 33% 111 -4.3 23
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 233 B -3.9 41
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 58
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 134 B- 0.98 104 B- 0.29 102
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.7% 89
Other Turnovers D+ 6.4% 297
Turnovers C 17.1% 153
Freethrows C+ 0.29 155 C+ 72% 133 C+ 0.21 144
Total Defense B- +4.1 71

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 96 B- 13.6% 79
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 220 C- 3.8% 239
Three Pointers A- 75% 11 A+ 3.1% 4
Total B 49% 51 B+ 7.9% 33

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.8 39 17.8 266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 81 0.15 92
Consistency 0.10 45 0.12 139
Improvement -0.4 202 -1.9 280

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status On The Bubble
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 56 50 44
Results Rating Rank 59 50 35
Conference Record 14 - 4 15 - 3 15 - 3
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 10
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44% 52% 36%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26% 34% 18%
Average Seed 10.8 10.7 11.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 11% 22% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four17% 21% 13%
First Round35% 41% 29%
Second Round11% 14% 9%
Sweet Sixteen2% 3% 2%
Elite Eight1% 1% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 51.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 6
Quad 25 - 26 - 8
Quad 310 - 015 - 8
Quad 410 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 317 Wagner W 103 - 74 98% +12  95% 1 - 0 A- +16 A +13 B- A+ C+ C+ +1 B- B C+
 Fri, Nov 7 41 Utah St. L 77 - 80 43% -8  9% 1 - 1 B +10 C -0 B+ D+ F+ A +11 A F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 229 St. Peter's W 78 - 61 94% +10  89% 2 - 1 B +10 C+ +3 A+ F F A- +8 A+ C+ B
 Mon, Nov 17 34 @North Carolina St. L 79 - 85 28% -4  0% 2 - 2 B +11 B +6 C+ B A- B+ +6 A- D- A+
 Sat, Nov 22 363 Coppin St. W 101 - 58 99% +23  97% 3 - 2 A +22 A- +11 A- F A+ A- +8 C A C+
 Wed, Nov 26 54 South Florida W 78 - 66 53% +3  61% 4 - 2 A +22 B- +5 D+ C+ A A+ +17 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Nov 27 17 Vanderbilt L 74 - 89 25% -10  1% 4 - 3 C+ +3 C +1 D- B+ B B- +3 F A A+
 Fri, Nov 28 56 Virginia Tech W 86 - 68 55% +10  92% 5 - 3 A+ +28 A +14 A+ F D+ A+ +13 A B+ A-
 Fri, Dec 5 191 Samford W 83 - 57 93% +7  53% 6 - 3 A +21 C+ +3 B B+ F+ A+ +17 A+ A C
 Wed, Dec 10 50 New Mexico L 78 - 81 62% +1  53% 6 - 4 B- +5 B +7 D+ A B C- -2 F A+ A
 Mon, Dec 15 333 Niagara W 84 - 58 98% +8  91% 7 - 4 B+ +11 A- +11 A+ C- C- B- +3 A- C+ D-
 Thu, Dec 18 255 American W 105 - 83 95% +12  94% 8 - 4 B+ +14 A+ +25 A- A+ A F -12 D+ C F+
 Mon, Dec 22 356 Rider W 100 - 79 99% +11  83% 9 - 4 C+ +3 A +13 A- A+ B F -11 D F D+
 Wed, Dec 31 138 St. Bonaventure W 89 - 82 88% +0  40% 10 - 4 1 - 0 B- +5 A +13 B- B+ A+ D- -7 C- C- D
 Sat, Jan 3 120 @Duquesne W 93 - 80 69% +7  92% 11 - 4 2 - 0 A +19 A+ +19 A- A+ C+ C -0 F A+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 24 Saint Louis L 62 - 71 44% -6  1% 11 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +4 F -13 F+ F C A+ +17 A+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 105 @George Mason L 80 - 86 65% -1  44% 11 - 6 2 - 2 C +1 A +12 B+ A- A- F -11 D+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 135 @Rhode Island W 84 - 75 74% +8  97% 12 - 6 3 - 2 B+ +14 A+ +17 B+ A- A+ C- -3 F A+ C
 Mon, Jan 19 116 Saint Joseph's W 79 - 72 85% +0  45% 13 - 6 4 - 2 B- +7 B- +5 B- B+ B- B- +2 F A A+
 Sat, Jan 24 111 @Davidson W 75 - 69 67% +0  46% 14 - 6 5 - 2 B+ +13 A +14 A A+ D+ C -1 C- B+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 136 Richmond W 77 - 69 88% +8  99% 15 - 6 6 - 2 B- +7 A +12 B+ C+ A+ D+ -4 B+ F C+
 Fri, Jan 30 279 Loyola Chicago W 89 - 75 96% +0  50% 16 - 6 7 - 2 C+ +4 A +12 B- B B D- -7 C F C
 Tue, Feb 3 159 @Fordham W 63 - 59 78% +8  98% 17 - 6 8 - 2 B- +7 C- -2 C+ A F A +9 A+ C+ F+
 Fri, Feb 6 75 Dayton W 99 - 73 73% +17  94% 18 - 6 9 - 2 A+ +31 A +13 C A+ A+ A+ +14 A+ C B
 Wed, Feb 11 210 @La Salle W 77 - 68 85% +5  84% 19 - 6 10 - 2 B +9 B+ +9 B B D C+ +1 A+ D- F
 Sat, Feb 14 136 @Richmond W 78 - 67 74% +10  99% 20 - 6 11 - 2 A- +16 B- +4 B- D B- A+ +11 A+ B+ D
 Tue, Feb 17 78 George Washington W 89 - 75 74% +4  71% 21 - 6 12 - 2 A +19 A+ +15 B+ B A+ B +4 A- B D+
 Fri, Feb 20 24 @Saint Louis L 75 - 88 23% +4  73% 21 - 7 12 - 3 B- +6 C +1 F+ A+ F B+ +6 C C+ A-
 Sat, Feb 28 159 Fordham W 82 - 63 90% +10  93% 22 - 7 13 - 3 A- +16 A- +11 A B+ B- B+ +6 A A D-
 Tue, Mar 3 105 George Mason W 70 - 65 83% +1  64% 23 - 7 14 - 3 B- +6 B- +5 C+ B- A+ C+ +2 B D C+
 Fri, Mar 6 75 @Dayton W 76 - 75 52%
Totals 24 - 7 15 - 3 +11 B+ +7 A B- B+ B- +4 B- C+ A



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C+ B B- B- 41% 23% 46% B+ B B B- B B- A C+ A B- B+ C C+ B 45% 21% 34% C- B C+ B- B- C C+ C+ C+
1.19 59% 44% 36% +3 +1 1.10 35% 1.1 .38 15% .38 74% .28 1.03 51% 38% 33% -4 0 0.95 29% 1.0 .29 17% .29 72% .27
Nov
3		 Wagner A B- F C+ C+ 47% 2% 51% A B- A A+ A+ C+ A+ D- A- C+ A+ B- F B 48% 21% 31% D- B- C- A B C+ F C F
1.35 62% 0% 36% +2 +3 1.13 41% 1.5 .62 13% .47 68% .32 0.97 36% 36% 44% -6 +1 0.90 33% 0.9 .29 20% .39 71% .28
Nov
7		 Utah St. C C- B+ B B+ 31% 14% 55% B- B+ B+ F D+ F+ A+ F A- A A+ A+ F A+ 64% 13% 23% F+ A D F F A+ F B- F
1.01 53% 43% 37% +2 0 1.06 38% 0.7 .27 25% .49 57% .28 1.05 47% 17% 45% -6 +3 0.96 39% 1.4 .56 24% .45 69% .31
Nov
12		 St. Peter's C+ B- B- A+ A+ 44% 12% 44% B A+ B- F F F A+ C A+ A- A+ F A+ A+ 33% 22% 44% C+ A+ D- B+ C+ B D F F
1.14 61% 40% 44% +8 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51 0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31
Nov
17		 North Carolina St. B B F C C+ 23% 7% 70% C+ C+ C+ A- B A- C- D+ C- B+ A+ F C- A- 36% 22% 42% A- A- F A- D- A+ F F+ F
1.07 62% 25% 33% -1 +1 1.02 28% 1.2 .33 16% .29 67% .19 1.15 44% 50% 37% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.1 .45 23% .58 82% .48
Nov
22		 Coppin St. A- A A+ C+ B 54% 6% 41% A A- D F F A+ A+ B- A+ A- B C B C 40% 27% 33% C- C B A+ A C+ A+ A A+
1.36 72% 67% 36% +11 +3 1.30 31% 0.9 .28 11% .48 78% .38 0.78 48% 36% 29% -7 -1 0.87 25% 0.7 .18 23% .17 60% .10
Nov
26		 South Florida B- D- A D- D+ 37% 25% 38% C D+ A D- C+ A A+ B- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 64% 11% 25% D A+ A+ A+ A+ D- B+ A+ A+
1.08 47% 46% 30% -4 -1 0.92 38% 0.8 .31 15% .52 72% .37 0.91 50% 0% 14% -17 +3 0.75 30% 0.9 .27 12% .32 60% .19
Nov
27		 Vanderbilt C F A+ F F 35% 10% 55% A D- D A+ B+ B A+ B- A+ B- B F F F 43% 18% 39% C- F C A+ A A+ F A- F
0.98 44% 60% 21% -13 +1 0.78 21% 1.6 .33 17% .56 77% .43 1.18 58% 50% 53% +13 +1 1.30 33% 0.8 .27 23% .57 73% .41
Nov
28		 Virginia Tech A A- C- A+ A+ 41% 22% 37% C+ A+ B- F F D+ A+ D A+ A+ B+ B+ C- A 45% 27% 29% C+ A A+ D- B+ A- F A+ C+
1.22 67% 36% 58% +17 0 1.35 33% 0.5 .17 20% .39 68% .26 0.96 55% 31% 36% -3 0 0.96 24% 1.3 .29 18% .40 57% .23
Dec
5		 Samford C+ F+ B- A+ B- 40% 13% 46% A B A+ F B+ F+ A F C+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 38% 25% 37% C+ A+ B A+ A C B C B-
1.18 48% 43% 46% +5 +1 1.13 40% 0.9 .38 17% .38 59% .22 0.81 65% 23% 11% -14 -1 0.73 20% 0.7 .14 14% .32 68% .22
Dec
10		 New Mexico B F A+ D D- 39% 12% 49% A- D+ A+ C- A B A+ A+ A+ C- B- F F F+ 57% 9% 35% F+ F C A+ A+ A F F F
1.12 37% 67% 29% -8 +1 0.88 41% 0.9 .39 17% .48 82% .40 1.16 54% 75% 50% +9 +3 1.26 31% 0.4 .14 20% .39 86% .34
Dec
15		 Niagara A- F+ C A+ A+ 27% 11% 62% C+ A+ B- F+ C- C- A+ F B B- A A- C+ A 54% 19% 28% D+ A- F A+ C+ D- A F B
1.34 50% 40% 54% +16 0 1.36 37% 0.9 .33 16% .40 67% .26 0.92 45% 30% 33% -9 +1 0.87 38% 0.4 .17 16% .15 88% .13
Dec
18		 American A+ A+ B- B A- 43% 13% 44% B A- A+ A+ A+ A F A+ C+ F B+ A+ F D 37% 11% 52% C- D+ D+ B C F+ F F F
1.49 74% 43% 38% +10 +1 1.24 50% 1.5 .77 14% .30 94% .28 1.18 50% 17% 43% +2 +1 1.07 28% 0.8 .23 13% .36 86% .31
Dec
22		 Rider A A C A A- 54% 9% 38% B A- C+ A+ A+ B B+ A A F C- D- A+ D 42% 40% 19% C+ D F+ F F D+ F D+ F
1.39 70% 40% 43% +12 +3 1.30 34% 1.5 .52 12% .35 77% .27 1.09 55% 43% 20% -4 -2 0.91 36% 1.4 .49 15% .41 72% .29
Dec
31		 St. Bonaventure A A+ D F B- 48% 13% 40% A- B- F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- D+ A- F C- 49% 34% 17% C+ C- C- C C- D C F D-
1.31 78% 33% 26% +4 +2 1.15 20% 2.0 .40 10% .46 93% .43 1.21 62% 33% 56% +6 -1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 15% .26 93% .24
Jan
3		 Duquesne A+ A D C+ B+ 42% 13% 44% A- A- B+ A+ A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ C F F B- F 50% 4% 46% F+ F A+ A A+ C+ F A D+
1.30 68% 33% 35% +4 +1 1.13 34% 1.8 .62 17% .52 77% .40 1.12 79% 50% 32% +10 +3 1.27 21% 0.8 .17 18% .43 64% .27
Jan
7		 Saint Louis F F F F+ F 50% 11% 39% A+ F+ D F F C B+ A+ A A+ A- C A+ A+ 59% 8% 32% D A+ A+ A+ A+ C- B+ B+ A-
0.81 39% 0% 27% -17 +2 0.71 20% 0.3 .07 16% .37 83% .31 0.92 51% 40% 26% -8 +3 0.93 15% 0.8 .13 16% .25 69% .17
Jan
10		 George Mason A A+ A D+ A- 31% 23% 46% C- B+ B A- A- A- A+ B+ A+ F F F A+ D 41% 31% 29% B+ D+ A F D- F D F F
1.20 73% 45% 32% +5 -1 1.10 32% 1.1 .35 12% .43 76% .32 1.29 75% 53% 21% +6 -1 1.12 23% 1.7 .38 11% .40 88% .35
Jan
14		 Rhode Island A+ B- F B+ B 42% 4% 54% A- B+ D A+ A- A+ A F+ B+ C- D+ F C- F 39% 14% 47% C- F A- A+ A+ C F A+ C-
1.25 60% 0% 38% +3 +2 1.13 26% 1.6 .42 7% .45 64% .29 1.11 63% 71% 35% +7 +1 1.18 27% 0.5 .13 19% .44 63% .28
Jan
19		 Saint Joseph's B- D- F B+ C 40% 9% 51% A+ B- D+ A+ B+ B- A+ C A B- A- F F F 55% 9% 36% F F A B+ A A+ F A+ D+
1.09 48% 20% 37% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.4 .38 14% .32 70% .22 0.99 50% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 25% 0.9 .22 25% .35 63% .22
Jan
24		 Davidson A A+ A+ F A+ 34% 37% 29% F+ A A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B A C C- F+ D D- 20% 37% 43% A+ C- C+ A- B+ F B- A+ A
1.22 71% 60% 25% +9 -2 1.15 44% 1.3 .56 19% .40 70% .28 1.12 60% 50% 38% +7 -3 1.10 29% 0.9 .26 11% .26 50% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Richmond A F A+ A+ B- 37% 10% 54% A B+ A F C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A- D- B+ B 30% 43% 28% A+ B+ F F F C+ A- B+ A-
1.27 47% 50% 41% +3 +1 1.10 39% 0.9 .35 12% .50 81% .41 1.14 50% 45% 31% -1 -3 0.94 38% 1.4 .53 15% .27 71% .19
Jan
30		 Loyola Chicago A A- F C+ B- 38% 13% 48% B B- B- B B B A+ B+ A+ D- B A+ F+ C+ 48% 12% 40% D+ C F F F C B- C- C+
1.31 65% 29% 36% +3 +1 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 10% .47 83% .39 1.10 52% 17% 38% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 19% .29 69% .20
Feb
3		 Fordham C- B- D+ B- B- 33% 31% 36% D+ C+ A- A- A F A+ F+ A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% D+ A+ B C- C+ F+ C- F D+
0.98 62% 33% 36% +1 -2 1.00 35% 1.2 .42 23% .57 61% .35 0.92 48% 27% 18% -15 +1 0.74 31% 1.0 .31 14% .25 79% .20
Feb
6		 Dayton A D- A+ F D+ 51% 12% 37% A+ C C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B C- A+ 56% 13% 31% D- A+ C B- C B D A+ B+
1.20 48% 71% 29% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.6 .46 15% .54 82% .44 0.88 35% 29% 35% -13 +2 0.80 28% 1.2 .33 19% .45 60% .27
Feb
11		 La Salle B+ C+ C A B 47% 17% 36% B- B A+ F B D A+ F B C+ A- B+ A+ A+ 43% 25% 31% C A+ B+ F D- F C- D D+
1.17 59% 38% 41% +4 +1 1.13 42% 0.9 .39 20% .36 58% .21 1.03 45% 31% 19% -14 0 0.73 29% 1.4 .39 9% .35 76% .27
Feb
14		 Richmond B- F+ A+ C+ B 15% 23% 62% D+ B- C- D- D B- A- A+ A A+ B A+ A+ A+ 38% 21% 42% F+ A+ A+ D- B+ D F F F
1.12 50% 58% 34% +4 -2 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 16% .36 81% .29 0.96 55% 18% 23% -12 0 0.77 16% 1.2 .19 11% .44 89% .39
Feb
17		 George Washington A+ C+ A+ B+ B+ 38% 17% 45% C+ B+ D+ A+ B A+ A+ B A+ B B A+ C A 34% 6% 60% B- A- B- B B D+ C+ A B+
1.30 61% 50% 38% +6 0 1.15 25% 1.4 .36 12% .58 74% .43 1.10 56% 0% 34% -3 +2 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 16% .30 65% .19
Feb
20		 Saint Louis C F F D- F 43% 4% 53% A+ F+ A+ A- A+ F A+ C+ A+ B+ C- F D C+ 58% 7% 35% D C D+ B+ C+ A- C- A+ A-
0.97 30% 0% 29% -18 +3 0.72 38% 1.1 .40 21% .52 75% .39 1.13 64% 50% 40% +7 +3 1.23 35% 0.9 .32 21% .31 53% .16
Feb
28		 Fordham A- B+ B- B- B+ 40% 10% 50% A+ A B B+ B+ B- A+ C- A+ B+ A+ C+ B A+ 50% 10% 40% F A A B+ A D- F D- F
1.20 65% 40% 36% +4 +1 1.14 31% 1.2 .37 15% .40 65% .26 0.92 38% 40% 29% -13 +2 0.81 27% 0.8 .23 15% .34 75% .26
Mar
3		 George Mason B- D F+ A- C 46% 15% 39% A- C+ B C- B- A+ A+ B A+ C+ A C- C A 49% 11% 40% F B C+ F D C+ A- C- B+
1.15 52% 29% 39% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.9 .29 10% .36 75% .27 1.07 50% 40% 33% -4 +2 0.98 29% 1.2 .35 16% .30 73% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 11.3 11.5 1st
2nd 48.0 40.5 88.5 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 48.1 51.9 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 21.9% 11.3    0.1 11.2
14-4 0.3% 0.1    0.1
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 11.5% 11.5 0.1 11.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 51.9% 52.0% 27.1% 24.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 6.0 18.4 0.8 24.9 34.1%
14-4 48.1% 35.9% 22.1% 13.8% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 14.3 1.2 0.0 30.9 17.7%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 44.2% 24.7% 19.5% 10.8 55.8 25.9%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.1% 100.0% 10.4 0.0 0.3 2.1 9.2 31.2 55.7 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 17.4% 40.9% 10.9 0.1 0.3 5.4 33.4 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.3% 28.7% 10.9 0.2 3.6 23.5 1.4
Lose Out 11.0% 11.9% 11.0 0.5 10.6 0.9