George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#62
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#91
Pace74.4#66
Improvement-2.5#328

Offense
Total Offense+8.6#24
First Shot+7.4#22
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#122
Layup/Dunks+3.6#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#47
Freethrows+2.4#68
Improvement+0.5#144

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#152
First Shot+1.0#139
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#220
Layups/Dunks-1.9#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#175
Freethrows+1.6#97
Improvement-3.0#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.8% 21.3% 13.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.3% 7.1% 3.4%
Average Seed 10.4 10.3 10.8
.500 or above 99.1% 99.6% 97.3%
.500 or above in Conference 93.6% 94.3% 90.4%
Conference Champion 19.3% 20.3% 14.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four3.0% 3.3% 2.0%
First Round18.3% 19.7% 12.5%
Second Round7.0% 7.7% 4.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.7% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 80.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 24 - 35 - 7
Quad 37 - 312 - 9
Quad 410 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 326 Maine W 67-47 97%     1 - 0 +7.7 -4.6 +13.3
  Sat, Nov 8 79 South Florida W 99-95 57%     2 - 0 +11.3 +12.0 -1.5
  Wed, Nov 12 250 American W 107-67 93%     3 - 0 +32.1 +23.3 +5.8
  Sat, Nov 15 220 Old Dominion W 96-73 92%     4 - 0 +16.4 +14.4 +0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 272 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-52 95%     5 - 0 +27.9 +9.1 +18.2
  Sun, Nov 23 78 McNeese St. L 86-92 57%     5 - 1 +1.3 +12.9 -11.3
  Mon, Nov 24 138 Middle Tennessee W 92-79 76%     6 - 1 +14.6 +17.3 -3.0
  Tue, Nov 25 113 Murray St. L 95-96 70%     6 - 2 +2.7 +19.2 -16.5
  Tue, Dec 2 342 @Army W 84-70 94%     7 - 2 +5.7 +9.8 -3.5
  Sat, Dec 6 118 William & Mary W 92-83 80%    
  Wed, Dec 10 287 Delaware W 88-69 96%    
  Sat, Dec 13 15 Florida L 78-87 21%    
  Wed, Dec 31 104 @Richmond W 82-80 55%    
  Sat, Jan 3 229 La Salle W 85-69 93%    
  Tue, Jan 6 67 @Dayton L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 259 Loyola Chicago W 87-69 95%    
  Wed, Jan 14 137 Davidson W 83-73 83%    
  Mon, Jan 19 66 @George Mason L 76-78 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 104 Richmond W 85-77 75%    
  Tue, Jan 27 46 @Saint Louis L 82-87 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 211 Fordham W 83-68 92%    
  Wed, Feb 4 184 @Saint Joseph's W 84-76 75%    
  Sat, Feb 7 135 @Duquesne W 87-83 66%    
  Tue, Feb 10 110 Rhode Island W 84-76 77%    
  Fri, Feb 13 66 George Mason W 79-75 63%    
  Tue, Feb 17 43 @Virginia Commonwealth L 78-83 31%    
  Tue, Feb 24 229 @La Salle W 82-72 82%    
  Fri, Feb 27 67 Dayton W 82-78 62%    
  Wed, Mar 4 111 St. Bonaventure W 81-73 77%    
  Sat, Mar 7 259 @Loyola Chicago W 84-72 85%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 4.3 6.8 4.7 2.0 0.3 19.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 6.2 7.4 3.1 0.6 0.0 19.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 1.1 6.1 7.0 2.1 0.2 16.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.3 6.4 2.1 0.1 13.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 5.4 1.9 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.0 2.0 0.2 7.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 2.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.5 6.3 9.6 13.2 16.3 16.5 13.9 10.1 5.3 2.0 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 98.8% 2.0    1.9 0.1
16-2 88.6% 4.7    3.6 1.1 0.0
15-3 67.2% 6.8    3.6 2.7 0.5 0.0
14-4 30.9% 4.3    1.2 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 6.7% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.3% 19.3 10.6 6.2 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 95.5% 34.8% 60.7% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.1%
17-1 2.0% 79.6% 36.2% 43.3% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 68.0%
16-2 5.3% 59.1% 31.3% 27.8% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.0 2.2 40.4%
15-3 10.1% 38.8% 25.4% 13.5% 10.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.9 0.1 6.2 18.1%
14-4 13.9% 28.1% 22.0% 6.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 0.2 10.0 7.8%
13-5 16.5% 19.0% 16.2% 2.9% 11.0 0.1 0.3 2.4 0.4 13.4 3.4%
12-6 16.3% 12.2% 11.1% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.6 0.0 14.3 1.2%
11-7 13.2% 7.6% 7.5% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 12.2 0.2%
10-8 9.6% 5.3% 5.1% 0.1% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 9.1 0.1%
9-9 6.3% 3.8% 3.8% 12.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.1
8-10 3.5% 2.7% 2.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
7-11 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 1.8
6-12 0.8% 0.8
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 19.8% 14.4% 5.4% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.5 3.6 10.1 2.3 0.1 0.0 80.2 6.3%