George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#77
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#117
Pace73.9#64
Improvement-4.2#356

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#49
First Shot+5.1#56
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#85
Layup/Dunks+3.4#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#62
Freethrows+1.4#97
Improvement-2.9#351

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#140
First Shot+0.6#151
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#180
Layups/Dunks-3.1#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#149
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#135
Freethrows+1.9#65
Improvement-1.4#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 12.1% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.2 11.0 11.4
.500 or above 97.2% 99.1% 95.4%
.500 or above in Conference 89.8% 95.4% 84.4%
Conference Champion 11.1% 16.8% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
First Round9.5% 11.7% 7.4%
Second Round2.4% 3.3% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 48.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 311 - 10
Quad 49 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 342 Maine W 67-47 97%     1 - 0 +5.5 -5.8 +12.2
  Sat, Nov 8 79 South Florida W 99-95 51%     2 - 0 +10.9 +11.4 -1.1
  Wed, Nov 12 268 American W 107-67 93%     3 - 0 +31.1 +21.7 +6.4
  Sat, Nov 15 217 Old Dominion W 96-73 90%     4 - 0 +16.5 +15.3 +0.0
  Wed, Nov 19 292 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-52 94%     5 - 0 +26.9 +8.9 +17.5
  Sun, Nov 23 70 McNeese St. L 86-92 48%     5 - 1 +1.9 +13.1 -11.0
  Mon, Nov 24 158 Middle Tennessee W 92-79 75%     6 - 1 +13.2 +17.9 -5.0
  Tue, Nov 25 100 Murray St. L 95-96 57%     6 - 2 +4.3 +18.8 -14.5
  Tue, Dec 2 331 @Army W 84-70 91%     7 - 2 +6.7 +10.9 -3.7
  Sat, Dec 6 118 William & Mary W 99-86 75%     8 - 2 +13.1 +16.6 -4.8
  Wed, Dec 10 284 Delaware L 58-70 93%     8 - 3 -21.6 -17.4 -4.5
  Sat, Dec 13 12 Florida L 70-80 16%     8 - 4 +8.0 +4.9 +3.3
  Wed, Dec 31 104 @Richmond L 79-80 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 233 La Salle W 83-68 92%    
  Tue, Jan 6 68 @Dayton L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 270 Loyola Chicago W 87-71 93%    
  Wed, Jan 14 140 Davidson W 81-72 80%    
  Mon, Jan 19 88 @George Mason L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 104 Richmond W 83-77 70%    
  Tue, Jan 27 37 @Saint Louis L 80-89 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 193 Fordham W 79-67 87%    
  Wed, Feb 4 188 @Saint Joseph's W 80-74 71%    
  Sat, Feb 7 121 @Duquesne W 86-84 57%    
  Tue, Feb 10 119 Rhode Island W 81-74 75%    
  Fri, Feb 13 88 George Mason W 78-74 64%    
  Tue, Feb 17 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 78-85 27%    
  Tue, Feb 24 233 @La Salle W 80-71 78%    
  Fri, Feb 27 68 Dayton W 79-77 58%    
  Wed, Mar 4 116 St. Bonaventure W 81-74 74%    
  Sat, Mar 7 270 @Loyola Chicago W 84-74 82%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 11.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 6.0 6.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 7.0 6.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 17.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.1 5.9 1.5 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.6 1.5 0.1 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.9 1.9 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.5 2.1 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.5 8.7 12.8 15.7 16.6 15.0 10.9 6.5 2.8 0.7 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.1% 0.7    0.6 0.1
16-2 84.9% 2.4    1.7 0.6 0.0
15-3 60.2% 3.9    2.0 1.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 27.1% 2.9    0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.3% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 5.4 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 85.7% 40.0% 45.7% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 76.2%
17-1 0.7% 51.9% 30.4% 21.5% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 30.9%
16-2 2.8% 34.0% 24.2% 9.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 1.9 12.9%
15-3 6.5% 21.4% 19.2% 2.2% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.1 5.1 2.7%
14-4 10.9% 17.5% 16.7% 0.8% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.4 9.0 1.0%
13-5 15.0% 12.9% 12.7% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 1.2 0.7 0.0 13.1 0.2%
12-6 16.6% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 11.6 0.7 0.7 0.1 15.2 0.0%
11-7 15.7% 6.0% 6.0% 11.8 0.3 0.6 0.1 14.8
10-8 12.8% 3.9% 3.9% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.3
9-9 8.7% 2.1% 2.1% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.5
8-10 5.5% 1.3% 1.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.4
7-11 2.8% 1.3% 1.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8
6-12 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.4% 0.4
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.8% 9.1% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 5.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 90.2 0.8%