George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +7.6 78
Results Rating +2.4 124
Consistency 0.17 295
Pace 72.4 76
Improvement -2.9 288

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 54 B+ B+ C- C+ A
Defense C+ 138 C C+ B- B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 58 B 63% 75 +4.8 31
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 359 B 43% 43 -4.8 359
Three Pointers 50% 25 C+ 35% 124 +5.4 29
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.0 7 B- +3.2 81
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.13 45
Second Chance B+ 36.8% 28 B- 1.09 93 B+ 0.40 34
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 308
Other Turnovers C+ 6.7% 117
Turnovers C- 17.6% 237
Freethrows C+ 0.32 137 C+ 73% 175 C+ 0.23 126
Total Offense B +6.5 54

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 163 B- 9.6% 103
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 214 C 5.0% 186
Three Pointers D+ 79% 294 B- 0.5% 87
Total C+ 58% 121 B- 4.8% 84


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 206 C- 60% 232 +0.4 194
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 181 A- 32% 15 -1.3 86
Three Pointers 42% 141 C- 35% 215 +0.8 225
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 159 C -0.1 173
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 172
Second Chance B- 28.3% 102 C- 1.05 230 C+ 0.30 145
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.4% 108
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 126
Turnovers B- 18.1% 98
Freethrows C+ 0.28 116 C+ 71% 118 B- 0.20 103
Total Defense C+ +1.1 138

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 300 C+ 12.3% 117
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 260 C+ 5.8% 113
Three Pointers D 88% 306 C 1.0% 138
Total D 62% 314 C+ 6.3% 127

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.0 47 17.6 247
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 138 0.18 219
Consistency 0.15 334 0.13 228
Improvement -2.9 314 +0.0 194

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 88 78 67
Results Rating Rank 135 121 104
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 8 7 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 5% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.8 12.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 86% 100% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round5% 5% 3%
Second Round1% 1% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 85.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 38 - 39 - 12
Quad 49 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 346 Maine W 67 - 47 98% +7  89% 1 - 0 C+ +4 F+ -8 D B+ F A+ +13 A+ A B
 Sat, Nov 8 54 South Florida W 99 - 95 39% +1  53% 2 - 0 B+ +14 A- +11 A+ B F B- +2 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 12 254 American W 107 - 67 92% +20  97% 3 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +20 A+ A+ C+ A +9 C A- A
 Sat, Nov 15 248 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 92% +11  79% 4 - 0 A- +15 A +12 C+ A A+ B- +3 B- D+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 193 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 88% +24  97% 5 - 0 A+ +32 A- +10 A+ D- D A+ +21 A+ B+ A-
 Sun, Nov 23 82 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 52% -6  19% 5 - 1 C +1 A- +10 C A+ F F+ -9 C- F D
 Mon, Nov 24 163 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 78% +10  95% 6 - 1 B+ +13 A +14 A+ D- B+ C- -2 C- F B+
 Tue, Nov 25 124 Murray St. L 95 - 96 68% -1  30% 6 - 2 C +2 A+ +15 B+ C+ A+ F -13 D- F D+
 Tue, Dec 2 341 @Army W 84 - 70 93% +5  82% 7 - 2 C+ +5 B +7 F+ A+ D+ C- -2 F A D+
 Sat, Dec 6 139 William & Mary W 99 - 86 81% +4  72% 8 - 2 B +11 A +12 B+ A A C- -2 C- D- C
 Wed, Dec 10 275 Delaware L 58 - 70 93% -6  0% 8 - 3 F -21 F -21 F F F+ C -0 F+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 3 Florida L 70 - 80 6% -8  6% 8 - 4 A- +16 B +6 B+ A- C+ A +10 C- A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 135 @Richmond W 99 - 85 62% +10  96% 9 - 4 1 - 0 A +19 A+ +32 A+ A+ B F -13 F C D+
 Sat, Jan 3 209 La Salle W 77 - 55 89% +6  86% 10 - 4 2 - 0 A- +16 B +6 B- A+ C A+ +12 B A+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 76 @Dayton L 72 - 79 38% +1  57% 10 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +4 B- +5 A A F C -1 A F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 279 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 93% +20  98% 11 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +26 A +13 A C- B A +10 C- A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 113 Davidson L 79 - 84 76% -9  11% 11 - 6 3 - 2 C- -5 B+ +9 D+ B+ A+ F -14 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 105 @George Mason L 64 - 69 51% -1  35% 11 - 7 3 - 3 C+ +2 D -6 D+ C D A- +8 D+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 24 135 Richmond W 85 - 69 80% +16  99% 12 - 7 4 - 3 B+ +15 A +12 B+ A+ C+ B- +3 B B- B
 Tue, Jan 27 25 @Saint Louis L 76 - 79 15% +5  83% 12 - 8 4 - 4 A- +16 B- +4 B C D- A+ +12 A B- B
 Sat, Jan 31 161 Fordham L 65 - 79 84% -4  15% 12 - 9 4 - 5 F+ -17 D- -7 D- B- D- F -10 D- F C
 Wed, Feb 4 112 @Saint Joseph's L 73 - 76 55% -4  17% 12 - 10 4 - 6 C+ +3 B- +5 C A F C -1 F A A-
 Sat, Feb 7 127 @Duquesne L 86 - 88 58% +0  38% 12 - 11 4 - 7 C+ +3 A+ +16 A A F F -13 D B- F
 Tue, Feb 10 130 Rhode Island W 75 - 70 79% +7  95% 13 - 11 5 - 7 C+ +4 B- +4 A+ C C- C -0 C+ B- C
 Fri, Feb 13 105 George Mason W 72 - 53 73% +7  93% 14 - 11 6 - 7 A +20 A- +10 A B C A+ +13 A B+ B
 Tue, Feb 17 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 89 26% -4  25% 14 - 12 6 - 8 C +0 B +7 B- B C+ D- -7 D+ C+ D-
 Tue, Feb 24 209 @La Salle W 104 - 77 76% +14  94% 15 - 12 7 - 8 A+ +27 A+ +27 A+ A+ C- C -0 C- D B-
 Fri, Feb 27 76 Dayton L 66 - 68 61% -4  13% 15 - 13 7 - 9 C+ +3 C- -2 A B F B +4 F+ A+ A+
 Wed, Mar 4 138 St. Bonaventure W 91 - 82 OT 81% +2  65% 16 - 13 8 - 9 B- +7 C +1 D+ A B- B +5 A+ F B+
 Sat, Mar 7 279 @Loyola Chicago W 82 - 71 86%
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 9 +8 B +6 D- B- A C+ +1 C+ C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B B C+ B- 43% 14% 50% A B+ B+ B- B+ C- C+ C+ C+ C+ C- A- C- C 38% 20% 42% C C B- C- C+ B- C+ C+ B-
1.18 63% 43% 35% +3 +2 1.13 37% 1.1 .40 18% .32 73% .23 1.07 60% 32% 35% 0 0 1.02 28% 1.1 .30 18% .28 71% .23
Nov
3		 Maine F+ A D F F+ 54% 7% 39% A+ D A D+ B+ F B- D- C A+ A+ F A+ A+ 38% 17% 46% D+ A+ B A+ A B A F C+
1.00 72% 33% 11% -6 +3 0.96 47% 1.0 .47 24% .33 65% .22 0.70 33% 50% 23% -15 0 0.73 14% 0.4 .06 22% .23 83% .19
Nov
8		 South Florida A- B A+ B+ A 53% 4% 43% A+ A+ B C+ B F A+ B A+ B- D B- A+ A+ 46% 5% 49% C- A+ B- F F D+ F C+ F
1.16 62% 100% 38% +7 +3 1.22 34% 1.0 .34 25% .64 73% .47 1.12 62% 33% 14% -13 +2 0.81 36% 1.6 .57 14% .51 73% .37
Nov
12		 American A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 46% 6% 48% A A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A A+ A F C A+ C- 34% 19% 47% B C A+ D A- A A+ A+ A+
1.41 58% 67% 52% +15 +2 1.37 45% 1.4 .62 17% .53 79% .41 0.88 75% 36% 26% 0 0 1.02 13% 1.0 .13 21% .13 50% .07
Nov
15		 Old Dominion A B- A+ F C 51% 10% 39% A C+ B- A+ A A+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ A F B 35% 24% 41% D+ B- F A+ D+ A+ F B+ D-
1.31 65% 60% 25% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.3 .45 8% .58 72% .41 0.99 35% 25% 45% -4 -1 0.92 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 68% .26
Nov
19		 Maryland Baltimore Co. A- A- F A+ A+ 47% 7% 47% A A+ D+ F D- D D D D A+ D A+ A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% D+ A+ A C B+ A- D A+ C+
1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13 0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19
Nov
23		 McNeese St. A- D- A+ D- C 29% 7% 64% B- C A+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ F+ D- A+ D D+ 49% 25% 25% C+ C- F+ F F D F F F
1.17 50% 100% 30% -2 +1 1.00 55% 1.4 .79 33% .60 80% .48 1.25 67% 21% 36% +1 0 1.04 39% 1.2 .47 11% .43 82% .35
Nov
24		 Middle Tennessee A A- F A+ A+ 51% 8% 42% A A+ F A- D- B+ A- B- A C- F+ B+ C+ C- 40% 24% 36% D+ C- A+ F F B+ F F F
1.28 67% 25% 50% +13 +3 1.34 15% 1.3 .19 13% .38 79% .30 1.10 70% 33% 33% +3 0 1.08 19% 2.2 .41 20% .40 78% .31
Nov
25		 Murray St. A+ C+ C+ B+ B 56% 10% 35% A+ B+ D+ A- C+ A+ A+ A- A+ F C F D- F 37% 27% 36% A- D- F B- F D+ B- C+ B-
1.31 59% 40% 39% +3 +3 1.13 29% 1.2 .35 10% .50 79% .40 1.33 59% 63% 38% +9 -1 1.19 44% 1.1 .47 14% .30 74% .22
Dec
2		 Army B C F D- F 28% 9% 63% B- F+ B A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C- C+ B+ F F 25% 8% 68% C+ F A+ D+ A D+ A+ B+ A+
1.24 62% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.6 .58 16% .57 84% .48 1.04 54% 25% 42% +6 +1 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 16% .11 67% .07
Dec
6		 William & Mary A A A+ F B 56% 3% 41% A+ B+ A B A A A A A+ C- D A+ B C 52% 9% 40% D- C- C- F D- C B+ D B
1.27 73% 100% 25% +5 +3 1.19 40% 1.1 .46 14% .36 79% .28 1.11 67% 20% 30% +1 +2 1.09 27% 1.3 .36 17% .29 79% .23
Dec
10		 Delaware F F F F+ F 37% 14% 49% B+ F B+ F F F+ A+ F B- C B F F F+ 40% 17% 43% D F+ C+ F F A+ C F D+
0.85 44% 14% 29% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.4 .15 18% .39 64% .25 1.02 53% 63% 45% +9 +1 1.21 18% 1.5 .27 26% .26 85% .22
Dec
13		 Florida B B F+ C B 35% 20% 44% B B+ A A- A- C+ B+ F F A F F A+ D 35% 12% 53% B+ C- A+ A+ A+ B F A+ F
0.97 58% 27% 33% -3 0 0.96 30% 0.8 .25 17% .32 37% .12 1.11 94% 67% 23% +7 +1 1.18 35% 0.8 .26 18% .56 61% .34
Dec
31		 Richmond A+ B A+ A+ A+ 34% 8% 58% A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B D+ A+ B+ F F+ C+ F F 32% 22% 46% D F F A+ C D+ D+ D- D-
1.51 65% 100% 48% +20 +1 1.44 36% 1.9 .68 15% .27 93% .25 1.30 69% 36% 48% +13 -1 1.26 33% 0.8 .27 12% .36 81% .30
Jan
3		 La Salle B D A+ B- C 45% 6% 49% A B- A+ A A+ C D+ C- D+ A+ B- A+ B+ B+ 46% 20% 34% D- B A+ B+ A+ D A- A+ A+
1.19 52% 67% 36% 0 +2 1.08 41% 1.4 .56 17% .22 67% .15 0.85 52% 20% 29% -9 +1 0.86 18% 0.9 .16 15% .27 53% .15
Jan
6		 Dayton B- A+ D- B- A 24% 24% 52% D+ A A+ D+ A F A+ F B+ C F A+ A A 36% 26% 38% A+ A F F+ F D+ F F F
1.04 90% 30% 36% +8 -1 1.14 45% 0.9 .42 32% .42 60% .25 1.14 76% 0% 28% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.4 .47 16% .51 90% .46
Jan
10		 Loyola Chicago A B- A+ A A- 40% 5% 55% A A B F C- B C- A+ B+ A F B+ A D+ 32% 11% 57% B- C- D+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
1.32 60% 67% 41% +8 +2 1.23 34% 0.8 .29 10% .28 95% .26 0.86 82% 33% 27% +1 +1 1.06 33% 0.4 .14 26% .21 50% .11
Jan
14		 Davidson B+ D+ A F D- 46% 11% 43% A+ D+ A+ D+ B+ A+ B F C- F B+ A+ F F 48% 10% 43% F F F D F C F A+ F
1.19 54% 50% 25% -6 +2 0.93 41% 0.9 .39 8% .34 57% .20 1.27 50% 0% 67% +14 +2 1.33 39% 1.2 .45 17% .49 52% .25
Jan
19		 George Mason D D F D F+ 50% 4% 46% A+ D+ D- A+ C D D C+ D+ A- D+ F C C- 37% 17% 46% C- D+ A+ F C B+ C A B-
0.95 52% 0% 30% -7 +3 0.94 20% 1.3 .26 18% .20 73% .14 1.02 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 14% 2.3 .31 19% .37 65% .24
Jan
24		 Richmond A C F A B 37% 7% 56% A+ B+ B A+ A+ C+ D+ A+ C B- A C+ D- B+ 41% 26% 33% D- B F A+ B- B A F C
1.27 60% 0% 40% +3 +2 1.11 34% 1.5 .53 16% .27 80% .21 1.03 50% 36% 39% -1 -1 0.98 32% 0.7 .22 16% .25 100% .25
Jan
27		 Saint Louis B- B+ A+ F B- 43% 7% 50% A+ B B- D- C D- B- F+ C A+ B+ B+ C+ A+ 46% 6% 48% C A B- B- B- B D- A+ B+
1.00 61% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 29% 0.8 .22 18% .34 67% .23 1.04 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 50% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Fordham D- F+ F+ D F+ 32% 19% 49% B- D- C- A B- D- D F F+ F F A+ B+ F+ 38% 25% 38% B- D- F D F C F+ D- F+
0.96 47% 30% 31% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 19% .22 58% .13 1.16 89% 17% 28% +3 -1 1.06 47% 1.1 .50 18% .30 76% .23
Feb
4		 Saint Joseph's B- F A+ C- C- 25% 7% 67% A- C A+ C A F B- C+ B- C D- F+ F+ F 35% 18% 47% B F B A+ A A- B- F C
1.04 43% 50% 32% -5 +1 0.95 45% 0.9 .43 20% .25 71% .18 1.09 67% 44% 38% +7 0 1.16 29% 0.8 .21 21% .24 85% .20
Feb
7		 Duquesne A+ A- F A A 37% 8% 55% A- A A+ F A F B- A+ A+ F D B- D- D- 51% 18% 31% C+ D D A B- F F D- F
1.26 67% 25% 41% +8 +1 1.20 54% 0.8 .43 23% .36 89% .33 1.29 65% 33% 38% +5 +1 1.14 34% 0.8 .28 6% .47 77% .36
Feb
10		 Rhode Island B- A+ F C- A 43% 9% 48% B+ A+ A+ F C C- B- C C+ C F B- B+ C- 27% 29% 44% A+ C+ C B B- C B A+ A
1.11 79% 25% 33% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.7 .31 22% .38 70% .27 1.03 77% 36% 29% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.8 .27 19% .31 59% .18
Feb
13		 George Mason A- C+ A+ C+ A- 43% 7% 50% A+ A B- B- B C B A+ A A+ B+ A+ C A 33% 15% 52% C- A A C B+ B A+ B+ A+
1.23 60% 100% 35% +5 +2 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 15% .28 86% .24 0.90 53% 14% 33% -6 0 0.91 23% 1.0 .23 19% .13 67% .08
Feb
17		 Virginia Commonwealth B C+ F C+ C+ 34% 6% 60% B+ B- B C+ B C+ C F D+ D- C- F D D 38% 17% 45% B D+ A+ F C+ D- F C F
1.10 56% 0% 34% -3 +2 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 16% .30 65% .19 1.30 61% 50% 38% +6 0 1.15 25% 1.4 .36 12% .58 74% .43
Feb
24		 La Salle A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 57% 6% 38% A+ A+ B- A+ A+ C- A A+ A+ C A+ A F C 38% 14% 48% D- C- B F D B- F+ C- F+
1.44 80% 67% 45% +20 +3 1.49 32% 1.6 .50 18% .34 80% .27 1.06 37% 29% 42% -4 +1 0.96 31% 1.3 .38 19% .41 75% .31
Feb
27		 Dayton C- A F C+ B+ 50% 5% 45% A+ A A+ D- B F A+ F A+ B B- A+ F F+ 40% 3% 58% F+ F+ A+ F A+ A+ C D- D+
0.99 68% 0% 35% +4 +3 1.16 41% 0.9 .35 30% .62 55% .34 1.02 56% 0% 43% +6 +2 1.20 9% 1.5 .13 25% .42 81% .34
Mar
4		 St. Bonaventure C C- F C+ D 45% 16% 39% B D+ B- A+ A B- A+ F A+ B A A+ B A+ 35% 31% 35% B+ A+ D F F B+ F D+ F
1.15 56% 22% 36% -2 +1 1.00 32% 1.5 .46 15% .48 69% .33 1.04 47% 29% 32% -8 -2 0.84 39% 1.2 .46 20% .36 78% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 45.3 45.3 6th
7th 5.1 40.2 45.3 7th
8th 9.4 9.4 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 14.5 85.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 85.5% 4.9% 4.9% 11.8 1.0 3.0 0.2 81.4
8-10 14.5% 2.9% 2.9% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 14.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 11.8 95.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.2% 100.0% 11.8 24.9 71.2 3.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.5%
Lose Out 4.2%