Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#85
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.5#198
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#63
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#116
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 12.8% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.0% 3.2% 0.8%
Average Seed 10.2 10.2 11.1
.500 or above 84.5% 86.0% 61.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 74.2% 56.4%
Conference Champion 12.2% 12.6% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.7% 5.6%
First Four1.4% 1.4% 0.5%
First Round11.7% 12.1% 5.2%
Second Round3.9% 4.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 93.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 411 - 11
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 290   Maine W 75-59 94%    
  Nov 08, 2025 106   South Florida W 74-72 57%    
  Nov 12, 2025 303   American W 75-58 94%    
  Nov 15, 2025 200   Old Dominion W 76-65 85%    
  Nov 19, 2025 304   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-69 94%    
  Nov 23, 2025 96   McNeese St. W 69-68 53%    
  Nov 24, 2025 147   Middle Tennessee W 75-69 69%    
  Nov 25, 2025 127   Murray St. W 71-67 64%    
  Dec 02, 2025 353   @ Army W 80-64 91%    
  Dec 06, 2025 229   William & Mary W 85-72 87%    
  Dec 10, 2025 242   Delaware W 84-70 88%    
  Dec 13, 2025 5   Florida L 68-83 11%    
  Dec 31, 2025 137   @ Richmond W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 03, 2026 196   La Salle W 79-68 83%    
  Jan 06, 2026 65   @ Dayton L 67-73 31%    
  Jan 10, 2026 103   Loyola Chicago W 73-68 65%    
  Jan 14, 2026 144   Davidson W 74-66 76%    
  Jan 19, 2026 99   @ George Mason L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 24, 2026 137   Richmond W 72-64 73%    
  Jan 27, 2026 72   @ Saint Louis L 70-75 35%    
  Jan 31, 2026 164   Fordham W 81-71 80%    
  Feb 04, 2026 111   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 07, 2026 115   @ Duquesne L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 10, 2026 146   Rhode Island W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 13, 2026 99   George Mason W 69-65 63%    
  Feb 17, 2026 58   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 24, 2026 196   @ La Salle W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 27, 2026 65   Dayton W 71-70 51%    
  Mar 04, 2026 120   St. Bonaventure W 71-64 71%    
  Mar 07, 2026 103   @ Loyola Chicago L 70-71 46%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 3.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 12.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.8 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 3.1 0.8 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 5.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 4.5 2.8 0.5 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.5 0.9 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 3.4 1.4 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.6 0.2 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.3 4.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.2 4.9 6.7 9.0 10.8 11.7 11.8 12.0 9.8 7.6 5.0 2.9 1.2 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 98.6% 1.1    1.1 0.0
16-2 90.7% 2.7    2.2 0.5 0.0
15-3 69.4% 3.5    2.2 1.1 0.1
14-4 37.9% 2.9    1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0
13-5 14.5% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 7.2 3.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 94.2% 59.4% 34.8% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.8%
17-1 1.2% 78.8% 44.7% 34.1% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 61.6%
16-2 2.9% 65.0% 37.8% 27.2% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 43.7%
15-3 5.0% 44.4% 29.0% 15.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.0 2.8 21.6%
14-4 7.6% 26.6% 20.7% 5.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.6 7.4%
13-5 9.8% 18.3% 16.8% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 8.0 1.8%
12-6 12.0% 12.3% 11.7% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 10.5 0.7%
11-7 11.8% 6.6% 6.4% 0.1% 11.6 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.0 0.1%
10-8 11.7% 4.4% 4.4% 11.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.2
9-9 10.8% 2.3% 2.3% 12.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6
8-10 9.0% 1.4% 1.4% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9
7-11 6.7% 1.0% 1.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6
6-12 4.9% 0.6% 0.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.3% 9.6% 2.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.1 5.4 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 87.7 3.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.5 24.8 0.6 74.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 49.4 50.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 3.5 50.0 50.0