Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#220
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#266
Pace68.3#217
Improvement+0.6#137

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#190
First Shot-0.4#189
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#199
Layup/Dunks-2.6#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#88
Freethrows-1.3#252
Improvement+0.8#119

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#263
First Shot+0.5#153
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#333
Layups/Dunks-3.9#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#24
Freethrows-2.6#316
Improvement-0.2#208
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 7.4% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 22.6% 42.5% 19.1%
.500 or above in Conference 65.8% 75.4% 64.1%
Conference Champion 6.5% 10.8% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.8% 1.9%
First Four0.8% 0.4% 0.9%
First Round5.0% 7.3% 4.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 63 - 13
Quad 410 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 127 @Miami (OH) L 72-87 19%     0 - 1 -9.4 -3.3 -5.1
  Tue, Nov 11 231 Norfolk St. W 60-57 63%     1 - 1 -4.1 -2.6 -1.0
  Sat, Nov 15 62 @George Washington L 73-96 8%     1 - 2 -10.9 -1.2 -8.6
  Tue, Nov 18 77 @Xavier L 69-99 10%     1 - 3 -19.6 -2.5 -15.2
  Fri, Nov 21 359 Morgan St. W 88-56 89%     2 - 3 +14.8 +10.9 +5.5
  Sun, Nov 23 256 @Drexel L 71-75 45%     2 - 4 -6.4 +2.0 -8.6
  Tue, Nov 25 39 @Villanova L 75-89 5%     2 - 5 +1.0 +12.7 -12.4
  Sun, Nov 30 118 @William & Mary L 75-88 18%     2 - 6 -6.8 -3.0 -2.3
  Sat, Dec 6 104 @Richmond L 69-80 15%    
  Sat, Dec 13 66 @George Mason L 64-79 8%    
  Wed, Dec 17 169 James Madison W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Dec 20 260 Coastal Carolina W 76-71 68%    
  Sun, Dec 28 86 @Maryland L 68-81 12%    
  Wed, Dec 31 283 Appalachian St. W 71-65 71%    
  Sat, Jan 3 226 Georgia Southern W 79-76 63%    
  Thu, Jan 8 260 @Coastal Carolina L 73-74 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 169 @James Madison L 71-77 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 226 @Georgia Southern L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Jan 17 283 @Appalachian St. W 68-67 50%    
  Wed, Jan 21 146 Troy L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 318 Louisiana W 72-64 77%    
  Wed, Jan 28 155 @Arkansas St. L 75-82 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 232 @Texas St. L 69-71 41%    
  Wed, Feb 4 357 Louisiana Monroe W 82-68 89%    
  Wed, Feb 11 170 Marshall W 77-76 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 334 Georgia St. W 78-68 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 219 @Southern Miss L 73-76 39%    
  Tue, Feb 24 170 @Marshall L 73-79 31%    
  Fri, Feb 27 334 @Georgia St. W 75-71 64%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.2 2.1 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.4 2.1 0.4 0.1 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 4.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.4 4.2 4.3 0.6 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.0 1.3 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 5.5 2.6 0.2 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.9 0.3 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 3.9 1.8 0.1 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.9 0.2 6.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.4 6.2 9.7 12.0 13.6 13.7 12.9 10.6 7.2 4.6 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 93.5% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 81.0% 1.8    1.2 0.5 0.0
14-4 45.6% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 17.4% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.3 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 25.4% 25.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 28.8% 28.8% 14.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.2% 23.7% 23.7% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.7
14-4 4.6% 23.0% 23.0% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 3.5
13-5 7.2% 16.3% 16.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 6.0
12-6 10.6% 8.5% 8.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.4 9.7
11-7 12.9% 6.5% 6.5% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 12.1
10-8 13.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 13.3
9-9 13.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.5
8-10 12.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.0
7-11 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
5-13 3.4% 3.4
4-14 1.8% 1.8
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.4 1.9 94.6 0.0%