Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#318
Expected Predictive Rating-14.1#345
Pace62.6#341
Improvement-0.9#254

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#347
First Shot-6.1#332
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#233
Layup/Dunks-1.8#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#294
Freethrows-2.7#318
Improvement-1.8#315

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#227
First Shot-2.6#262
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#127
Layups/Dunks-3.2#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#30
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#97
Freethrows-4.0#347
Improvement+0.9#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 1.1% 3.0% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 18.5% 25.7% 17.1%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 14.5% 10.7% 15.3%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 16.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 92 - 13
Quad 47 - 98 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 316 @Ball St. L 64-75 37%     0 - 1 -16.5 -4.9 -12.5
  Fri, Nov 7 248 SE Louisiana W 58-52 46%     1 - 1 -1.8 -3.9 +3.4
  Tue, Nov 11 172 Tulane L 62-66 32%     1 - 2 -8.1 -10.1 +1.6
  Fri, Nov 14 78 @McNeese St. L 62-88 5%     1 - 3 -15.7 -2.1 -14.9
  Tue, Nov 18 84 @Stanford L 66-93 5%     1 - 4 -17.4 -3.1 -13.8
  Fri, Nov 21 55 @Santa Clara L 43-80 3%     1 - 5 -24.4 -22.1 -4.3
  Mon, Nov 24 168 @UC Davis L 56-77 15%     1 - 6 -18.9 -9.9 -10.6
  Fri, Nov 28 312 Jackson St. L 45-51 60%     1 - 7 -17.4 -25.3 +7.1
  Wed, Dec 3 195 @Lamar L 55-65 18%     1 - 8 -9.4 -6.3 -4.5
  Sat, Dec 6 109 UNC Wilmington L 60-70 17%    
  Sat, Dec 13 188 @Louisiana Tech L 57-67 18%    
  Thu, Dec 18 219 @Southern Miss L 64-72 22%    
  Sat, Dec 20 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 69-67 58%    
  Sun, Dec 28 231 Norfolk St. L 62-64 43%    
  Wed, Dec 31 165 South Alabama L 62-67 32%    
  Sat, Jan 3 219 Southern Miss L 67-69 41%    
  Thu, Jan 8 357 Louisiana Monroe W 72-64 77%    
  Sat, Jan 10 146 Troy L 63-70 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 232 @Texas St. L 60-68 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 165 @South Alabama L 59-70 15%    
  Thu, Jan 22 283 @Appalachian St. L 59-64 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 220 @Old Dominion L 64-72 23%    
  Thu, Jan 29 334 Georgia St. W 69-64 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 226 Georgia Southern L 69-71 42%    
  Wed, Feb 4 169 @James Madison L 62-73 17%    
  Thu, Feb 12 260 Coastal Carolina L 66-67 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 155 Arkansas St. L 68-74 30%    
  Sat, Feb 21 232 Texas St. L 63-65 45%    
  Tue, Feb 24 146 @Troy L 60-73 13%    
  Fri, Feb 27 155 @Arkansas St. L 65-77 15%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.9 0.9 0.0 5.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.8 2.3 0.1 7.2 8th
9th 0.7 3.7 4.1 0.7 0.0 9.2 9th
10th 0.4 3.7 6.0 1.9 0.1 12.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.7 7.1 3.4 0.3 15.3 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 4.6 7.3 3.9 0.6 0.0 17.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.4 2.9 0.5 0.0 13.7 13th
14th 0.3 1.2 2.7 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.2 14th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.7 7.4 11.9 14.6 15.9 14.7 11.7 8.1 5.3 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 88.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 48.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 25.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.4% 7.4% 7.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3
11-7 2.9% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.8
10-8 5.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.2
9-9 8.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.0
8-10 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.7
7-11 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.7
6-12 15.9% 15.9
5-13 14.6% 14.6
4-14 11.9% 11.9
3-15 7.4% 7.4
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%