IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

South Alabama
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.9	#190
Expected Predictive Rating	+1.5	#149

Pace	63.8	#322
Improvement	-0.9	#246

Offense
Total Offense	-1.8	#216

First Shot	-1.9	#224
After Offensive Rebound	+0.1	#170

Layup/Dunks	+5.9	#21
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.3	#154
3 Pt Jumpshots	-7.7	#353
Freethrows	-0.3	#205

Improvement	-1.2	#269

Defense
Total Defense	-0.2	#169

First Shot	+3.0	#84
After Offensive Rebounds	-3.2	#347

Layups/Dunks	+7.6	#14
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.1	#4
3 Pt Jumpshots	-11.8	#365
Freethrows	+4.2	#6

Improvement	+0.3	#162

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.4%	9.0%	4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	14.1	14.4

.500 or above	91.8%	95.8%	84.5%
.500 or above in Conference	75.5%	84.1%	60.1%
Conference Champion	6.8%	9.1%	2.6%
Last Place in Conference	0.4%	0.1%	0.8%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	7.4%	9.0%	4.5%
Second Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Away) - 64.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	5 - 6	5 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 4	18 - 12

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	170 @Toledo	W	76-74	34%	1 - 0			+4.3	+8.1	-3.5
Thu, Nov 6	337 Alcorn St.	W	76-70	87%	2 - 0			-8.0	-5.1	-3.0
Thu, Nov 13	323 Central Michigan	W	66-64	77%	3 - 0			-7.8	-3.8	-3.8
Sat, Nov 15	364 Coppin St.	W	72-62	94%	4 - 0			-9.2	-5.5	-3.2
Wed, Nov 19	236 @Jacksonville St.	W	71-65	48%	5 - 0			+4.5	+3.2	+1.6
Fri, Nov 21	107 @UAB	L	72-80	19%	5 - 1			-0.8	+9.0	-10.6
Sun, Nov 30	287 @Texas San Antonio	W	82-58	57%	6 - 1			+20.3	+8.6	+11.4
Tue, Dec 2	127 New Mexico St.	W	77-75	34%	7 - 1			+4.2	+9.7	-5.4
Fri, Dec 5	141 @East Tennessee St.	L	65-91	27%	7 - 2			-21.7	-5.5	-16.7
Sun, Dec 14	146 North Texas	L	57-58	50%	7 - 3			-3.0	-7.1	+4.1
Wed, Dec 17	359 @Louisiana Monroe	W	96-92 2OT	83%	8 - 3	1 - 0		-7.9	-2.3	-6.4
Sat, Dec 20	255 @Texas St.	L	65-67	51%	8 - 4	1 - 1		-4.2	-2.8	-1.6
Wed, Dec 31	314 @Louisiana	W	65-61	64%
Sat, Jan 3	139 @Troy	L	66-72	27%
Sat, Jan 10	213 Georgia Southern	W	77-73	66%
Thu, Jan 15	136 Arkansas St.	L	75-76	48%
Sat, Jan 17	314 Louisiana	W	68-58	82%
Thu, Jan 22	198 @James Madison	L	69-72	41%
Sat, Jan 24	161 @Marshall	L	68-73	33%
Thu, Jan 29	230 Coastal Carolina	W	71-66	69%
Sat, Jan 31	330 Georgia St.	W	75-64	85%
Wed, Feb 4	228 @Appalachian St.	L	63-64	47%
Thu, Feb 12	207 @Southern Miss	L	69-71	43%
Sat, Feb 14	136 @Arkansas St.	L	72-79	27%
Thu, Feb 19	255 Texas St.	W	70-64	72%
Sat, Feb 21	139 Troy	L	69-70	48%
Wed, Feb 25	359 Louisiana Monroe	W	80-64	93%
Fri, Feb 27	207 Southern Miss	W	72-68	65%
Projected Record					17 - 11	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.8	2.5	1.6	0.4	0.1			6.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	3.1	4.3	1.8	0.2	0.0				10.0	2nd
3rd											0.3	3.3	5.4	2.0	0.2						11.2	3rd
4th										0.0	2.1	6.9	2.8	0.2	0.0						12.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.8	6.2	4.6	0.5	0.0							12.0	5th
6th									0.2	3.6	5.9	1.0	0.0								10.6	6th
7th								0.0	1.5	6.0	2.2	0.1									9.8	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	3.8	3.6	0.2										8.1	8th
9th						0.0	0.2	2.0	3.9	0.7	0.0										6.8	9th
10th						0.0	0.8	3.0	1.4	0.1											5.3	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	1.7	1.6	0.2												3.8	11th
12th				0.0	0.2	0.9	1.1	0.3	0.0												2.4	12th
13th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2														1.0	13th
14th			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															0.1	14th

Total			0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7	3.9	7.4	10.9	14.9	16.9	16.2	12.2	8.5	4.4	1.8	0.5	0.1				Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	98.5%	0.4		0.4	0.0
15-3	86.7%	1.6		1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0
14-4	55.4%	2.5		1.1	1.1	0.3	0.0
13-5	21.7%	1.8		0.3	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.8%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.8%	6.8		3.0	2.4	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.1%		36.0%	36.0%		12.3													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-2	0.5%		34.1%	34.1%		13.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			0.3
15-3	1.8%		35.1%	35.1%		13.5													0.0	0.3	0.3	0.0		1.2
14-4	4.4%		28.2%	28.2%		13.7													0.0	0.4	0.7	0.1	0.0	3.2
13-5	8.5%		22.6%	22.6%		14.1													0.0	0.3	1.0	0.6	0.0	6.6
12-6	12.2%		12.4%	12.4%		14.4														0.2	0.7	0.6	0.0	10.7
11-7	16.2%		6.8%	6.8%		14.5														0.1	0.5	0.5	0.0	15.1
10-8	16.9%		2.9%	2.9%		14.7														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.0	16.4
9-9	14.9%		1.5%	1.5%		14.9															0.0	0.1	0.0	14.6
8-10	10.9%		0.7%	0.7%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.8
7-11	7.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
6-12	3.9%																							3.9
5-13	1.7%																							1.7
4-14	0.5%																							0.5
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17
0-18

Total	100%		7.4%	7.4%	0.0%	14.2												0.0	0.1	1.3	3.5	2.4	0.2	92.6		0.0%