SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#248
Expected Predictive Rating-5.5#246
Pace67.5#238
Improvement+1.9#49

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#317
First Shot-2.5#246
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#331
Layup/Dunks-2.3#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#307
Freethrows+2.8#53
Improvement+1.4#68

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#147
First Shot-0.9#204
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#88
Layups/Dunks+3.1#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#111
Freethrows-4.0#346
Improvement+0.4#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.4% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 14.9
.500 or above 18.6% 22.8% 8.4%
.500 or above in Conference 41.8% 48.6% 25.0%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.9% 6.3% 18.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round1.9% 2.3% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 71.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 63 - 12
Quad 410 - 612 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 58 @Mississippi L 58-88 6%     0 - 1 -17.6 -6.9 -12.3
  Fri, Nov 7 318 @Louisiana L 52-58 54%     0 - 2 -11.9 -10.5 -2.5
  Mon, Nov 10 134 @Georgia Tech L 60-70 18%     0 - 3 -5.2 -12.0 +7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 81 @Mississippi St. L 68-75 9%     0 - 4 +3.2 -3.8 +7.4
  Wed, Nov 26 109 @UNC Wilmington L 57-70 14%     0 - 5 -5.9 -6.9 -0.6
  Fri, Nov 28 360 Gardner-Webb W 76-68 82%     1 - 5 -6.4 -5.1 -1.5
  Sat, Nov 29 198 Navy W 69-65 41%     2 - 5 +1.6 +1.5 +0.5
  Sun, Dec 7 302 Northwestern St. W 71-65 71%    
  Sat, Dec 13 282 @Houston Christian L 67-68 46%    
  Mon, Dec 15 300 East Texas A&M W 70-64 71%    
  Fri, Dec 19 29 @LSU L 60-82 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 171 @Incarnate Word L 65-72 27%    
  Sat, Jan 3 144 Stephen F. Austin L 65-68 39%    
  Mon, Jan 5 195 Lamar W 64-63 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 78 @McNeese St. L 59-74 8%    
  Mon, Jan 12 216 New Orleans W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 237 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 66-69 38%    
  Mon, Jan 19 213 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-75 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 265 Nicholls St. W 70-66 64%    
  Mon, Jan 26 78 McNeese St. L 62-71 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 144 @Stephen F. Austin L 62-71 21%    
  Mon, Feb 2 195 @Lamar L 61-66 31%    
  Sat, Feb 7 282 Houston Christian W 70-65 66%    
  Mon, Feb 9 171 Incarnate Word L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 302 @Northwestern St. W 68-67 50%    
  Mon, Feb 16 300 @East Texas A&M W 67-66 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 213 UT Rio Grande Valley W 73-72 55%    
  Mon, Feb 23 237 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69-66 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 265 @Nicholls St. L 67-69 43%    
  Mon, Mar 2 216 @New Orleans L 69-73 35%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.5 10th
11th 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.6 4.5 6.8 9.1 10.0 11.9 11.6 11.3 9.3 7.4 5.6 3.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-3 89.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-4 61.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1
17-5 45.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
16-6 16.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 43.1% 43.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.5% 19.7% 19.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-5 1.2% 20.6% 20.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9
16-6 2.3% 12.5% 12.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.0
15-7 3.9% 11.0% 11.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.5
14-8 5.6% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.4
13-9 7.4% 2.7% 2.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.2
12-10 9.3% 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.1
11-11 11.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.2
10-12 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.5
9-13 11.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.9
8-14 10.0% 10.0
7-15 9.1% 9.1
6-16 6.8% 6.8
5-17 4.5% 4.5
4-18 2.6% 2.6
3-19 1.2% 1.2
2-20 0.4% 0.4
1-21 0.2% 0.2
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.4 98.0 0.0%