Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.9 249
Results Rating -3.7 230
Consistency 0.13 82
Pace 70.5 123
Improvement +1.3 136

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense C- 242 D+ D+ C+ D C+
Defense C- 240 D- D- A- D- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 226 C- 56% 241 -1.8 245
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 245 D 33% 327 -2.4 293
Three Pointers 46% 69 C- 33% 237 +1.9 118
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 128 D+ -2.6 271
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.98 246
Second Chance D 25.8% 307 C- 1.01 221 D+ 0.26 297
Opponents' Steals B 8.2% 63
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 289
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 151
Freethrows D+ 0.28 258 F 65% 358 D 0.18 325
Total Offense C- -2.7 242

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 41% 297 C- 11.5% 215
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 12% 347 C 5.4% 218
Three Pointers D+ 81% 262 C 1.0% 212
Total D+ 52% 267 C 5.6% 191


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 89 D- 65% 341 +5.1 340
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 317 D+ 40% 261 -1.3 78
Three Pointers 41% 150 C- 35% 240 +1.0 238
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 325 D +3.8 324
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 332
Second Chance D 34.4% 323 D+ 1.10 283 D- 0.38 326
Turnovers from Steals A 13.3% 9
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 158
Turnovers A- 20.7% 18
Freethrows D 0.34 298 F 78% 362 D- 0.27 336
Total Defense C- -2.2 240

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 318 D+ 8.4% 280
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 246 C- 3.8% 237
Three Pointers D+ 86% 253 C 1.0% 130
Total D 61% 302 D+ 4.6% 254

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 173 16.8 98
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 90 0.20 303
Consistency 0.14 317 0.13 268
Improvement +0.2 176 +1.1 125

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 261 250 228
Results Rating Rank 247 229 204
Conference Record 12 - 10 12 - 10 12 - 10
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 33 - 44 - 13
Quad 49 - 613 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 22 @Kentucky L 51 - 77 2% -15  0% 0 - 1 D+ -7 F -16 F F+ B- A- +8 C- A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 7 321 @Eastern Illinois L 57 - 65 59% -5  18% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -18 F F B+ B- +3 B F A
 Wed, Nov 12 156 @Valparaiso L 63 - 68 22% -3  8% 0 - 3 C- -2 D+ -3 C- A- F C+ +1 D+ B+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 124 @Murray St. L 79 - 99 16% -11  1% 0 - 4 D- -14 D+ -3 D- A F+ F -10 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 63 @Oklahoma St. L 81 - 95 7% -12  0% 0 - 5 C- -2 C- -2 C- B- D B- +2 D- A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 184 @Tulane L 72 - 82 28% -7  9% 0 - 6 D -9 C- -1 A F B- D- -8 F B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 67 @Creighton L 76 - 96 7% -15  3% 0 - 7 D -8 B +7 A F A+ F -16 F F+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 262 Incarnate Word W 74 - 67 65% +3  76% 1 - 7 1 - 0 C- -2 D+ -3 C- F A- C+ +1 A+ F B-
 Wed, Dec 17 288 Houston Christian W 79 - 64 70% +11  97% 2 - 7 2 - 0 C+ +5 C -0 D+ D A+ B +5 D- C A+
 Sun, Dec 21 126 @Pacific L 82 - 95 16% -7  0% 2 - 8 D+ -7 B+ +8 A+ F F F -15 F F A
 Mon, Dec 29 188 @TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76 - 71 28% +3  63% 3 - 8 3 - 0 B- +6 A +12 B+ A+ C+ D -5 F F+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 143 @UT Rio Grande Valley W 71 - 69 20% +2  65% 4 - 8 4 - 0 B- +6 C- -2 C- B F A- +8 B F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 306 East Texas A&M W 80 - 58 74% +12  99% 5 - 8 5 - 0 B +10 D+ -3 C- D+ D A+ +12 B- C- A+
 Mon, Jan 5 277 Northwestern St. W 74 - 72 67% +2  54% 6 - 8 6 - 0 D+ -7 D -4 C+ F B+ D+ -3 D F C
 Sat, Jan 10 196 @New Orleans W 90 - 77 29% +7  81% 7 - 8 7 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +25 A+ A- A- F+ -9 F F A
 Mon, Jan 12 82 @McNeese St. L 68 - 94 9% -15  8% 7 - 9 7 - 1 F+ -16 D -6 B- F C- F+ -9 F D B-
 Sat, Jan 17 245 Lamar L 80 - 90 61% -5  15% 7 - 10 7 - 2 F+ -18 B- +5 C B D+ F -23 F F A
 Mon, Jan 19 101 Stephen F. Austin L 62 - 79 26% -16  0% 7 - 11 7 - 3 F+ -15 D- -8 F C B- F+ -8 F A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 287 @SE Louisiana L 61 - 67 48% -2  45% 7 - 12 7 - 4 D -10 F -14 F F C- B +4 D+ B A+
 Tue, Jan 27 196 New Orleans L 62 - 80 51% -9  8% 7 - 13 7 - 5 F -23 F -20 F F+ F C- -3 C F A
 Sat, Jan 31 306 @East Texas A&M W 72 - 68 53% +6  92% 8 - 13 8 - 5 C -2 D+ -3 D D+ C+ C+ +2 C- A- B
 Mon, Feb 2 277 @Northwestern St. W 61 - 58 44% +9  89% 9 - 13 9 - 5 C -0 F+ -8 F C- D A- +8 A+ F A-
 Sat, Feb 7 188 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 76 - 83 50% -2  22% 9 - 14 9 - 6 D- -12 C+ +3 C B A F -15 F F+ B-
 Mon, Feb 9 143 UT Rio Grande Valley L 72 - 92 39% -14  1% 9 - 15 9 - 7 F -22 D+ -3 C- D+ A- F -19 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 262 @Incarnate Word W 91 - 83 42% +9  97% 10 - 15 10 - 7 B- +5 A+ +18 A+ F A+ F -12 D+ F F
 Mon, Feb 16 288 @Houston Christian L 68 - 72 48% -5  16% 10 - 16 10 - 8 D -8 D- -7 F C B+ C- -2 B F F
 Sat, Feb 21 101 @Stephen F. Austin L 78 - 81 12% -4  11% 10 - 17 10 - 9 C+ +5 A- +11 A+ F+ D- D- -7 C F B
 Mon, Feb 23 245 @Lamar W 53 - 52 38% -3  13% 11 - 17 11 - 9 C -1 F -17 F B- F A+ +16 A B- A
 Sat, Feb 28 287 SE Louisiana W 68 - 60 70% -2  31% 12 - 17 12 - 9 C- -2 D -5 F C A- B- +3 D C A
 Mon, Mar 2 82 McNeese St. L 65 - 75 20% -6  1% 12 - 18 12 - 10 D+ -6 D -5 D+ D D C -1 B- A+ C
 Sun, Mar 8 277 Northwestern St. W 72 - 70 56%
Totals 13 - 18 12 - 10 -5 C- -3 A- D+ C+ C- -2 C- F D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- D C- D+ 37% 32% 46% C+ D+ D C- D+ C+ D+ F D C- D- D+ C- D 42% 16% 41% D D- D D+ D- A- D F D-
1.05 56% 33% 33% -3 0 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 16% .28 65% .18 1.12 65% 40% 35% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .38 21% .34 78% .22
Nov
4
Kentucky F A+ F F F 20% 31% 49% D- F F C F+ B- A D B+ A- F A+ A+ C 45% 12% 43% F+ C- C- A+ A+ A- D A+ B
0.73 70% 20% 17% -16 -3 0.65 12% 0.8 .10 16% .37 68% .25 1.10 83% 17% 27% +4 +2 1.14 38% 0.5 .20 19% .39 55% .21
Nov
7
Eastern Illinois F C+ F F F 33% 24% 43% F+ F C- F F B+ A+ F B+ B- B+ A- A B+ 40% 26% 35% D- B F+ F F A F C- F
0.82 63% 8% 19% -15 -1 0.69 33% 0.4 .13 16% .46 63% .29 0.93 47% 27% 27% -11 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .38 23% .54 76% .41
Nov
12
Valparaiso D+ D F B- C 25% 18% 57% D+ C- D- A+ A- F D F F C+ B+ B- F D 27% 40% 33% A D+ D+ A+ B+ C- F+ D+ F
1.00 55% 25% 36% -2 -1 0.98 25% 1.6 .41 24% .27 54% .15 1.08 50% 33% 47% +2 -3 1.00 33% 0.8 .27 14% .43 74% .31
Nov
15
Murray St. D+ F C- D F 47% 14% 39% A- D- B+ B+ A F+ F A+ D F D+ D+ F F 36% 16% 48% C F F F F A+ F F F
1.04 44% 38% 32% -8 +1 0.89 40% 1.2 .47 20% .21 85% .18 1.31 63% 43% 57% +19 0 1.41 52% 1.3 .70 26% .54 83% .45
Nov
22
Oklahoma St. C- A+ F F C+ 22% 24% 54% F C- C+ B+ B- D C- F+ D+ B- F A+ F F+ 52% 16% 32% C+ D- A+ A A+ A- D- F F
0.99 92% 29% 25% -2 -2 0.95 29% 1.3 .36 20% .26 65% .17 1.17 76% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.21 19% 0.8 .15 18% .41 93% .38
Nov
28
Tulane C- F+ A+ A+ A 40% 19% 42% C+ A F F F B- A+ F D D- F D- F+ F 42% 15% 44% D F D+ A+ B- B F+ A C-
1.04 47% 67% 45% +8 0 1.19 24% 0.8 .18 16% .45 42% .19 1.19 70% 43% 38% +8 +1 1.21 24% 0.9 .21 17% .44 68% .30
Dec
2
Creighton B A+ F A+ A 45% 25% 30% B- A F F F A+ B+ C- B F F F F F 27% 13% 60% C F B- F F+ B+ A+ F A
1.11 72% 0% 53% +5 0 1.13 17% 0.3 .06 9% .26 69% .18 1.40 80% 57% 48% +21 0 1.45 26% 1.5 .39 18% .12 100% .12
Dec
6
Incarnate Word D+ F F A+ D+ 49% 10% 41% B+ C- F B F A- A+ C- A+ C+ C+ A A+ A+ 42% 31% 27% B- A+ F F F B- F D+ F
1.14 45% 0% 53% +2 +2 1.10 19% 1.2 .22 12% .66 71% .47 1.03 53% 29% 8% -16 -1 0.69 44% 1.2 .51 17% .55 73% .41
Dec
17
Houston Christian C B+ A- F+ C- 39% 19% 42% D+ D+ F+ B D A+ F C F B D+ D- A+ D+ 62% 17% 21% F D- A+ F C A+ F B+ F
1.14 68% 45% 29% +2 0 1.07 26% 1.2 .31 10% .18 73% .13 0.93 62% 43% 22% -1 +2 1.05 19% 1.4 .27 26% .49 64% .31
Dec
21
Pacific B+ A+ F A+ A+ 46% 8% 46% A+ A+ C- F F F A- F D+ F F F F F 43% 35% 23% A F C F F A F D- F
1.14 77% 25% 45% +16 +2 1.38 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 52% .21 1.32 82% 64% 44% +23 -2 1.45 35% 1.6 .55 25% .67 81% .54
Dec
29
TX A&M Corpus Christi A F+ A+ A+ B- 50% 7% 43% A B+ C- A+ A+ C+ F A+ C D D D- F F 45% 16% 39% D F D+ F F+ A+ A- F C+
1.20 50% 67% 42% +3 +3 1.14 28% 1.7 .48 19% .33 88% .29 1.12 60% 43% 47% +9 +1 1.23 32% 1.1 .36 24% .27 77% .21
Dec
31
UT Rio Grande Valley C- D+ C D+ D+ 35% 17% 48% C+ C- D+ A+ B F A+ C A A- A+ C- D B 41% 16% 43% D+ B F C+ F+ A+ D- D+ D-
1.02 56% 38% 32% -2 0 0.98 29% 1.1 .32 23% .45 71% .32 0.99 45% 38% 38% -3 +1 0.98 38% 1.0 .38 27% .28 79% .22
Jan
3
East Texas A&M D+ C- F B D+ 38% 8% 55% B- C- B+ F D+ D B+ F C+ A+ F B- A+ B+ 47% 6% 47% F B- F+ B+ C- A+ C+ B- B-
1.08 55% 0% 38% -1 +2 1.04 39% 0.8 .32 19% .37 64% .23 0.79 73% 33% 14% -8 +2 0.91 30% 0.8 .24 33% .22 64% .14
Jan
5
Northwestern St. D A C F C 51% 10% 39% A- C+ F+ F F B+ A+ F C+ D+ D- F A+ C- 43% 14% 43% F D D- F F C D- B- D
1.07 72% 40% 26% +3 +2 1.12 25% 0.7 .17 14% .52 48% .25 1.04 62% 57% 24% -2 +1 1.00 29% 1.3 .39 17% .37 71% .26
Jan
10
New Orleans A+ B C A+ A+ 35% 10% 56% B- A+ B B+ A- A- F B- F F+ D C+ F F 40% 20% 40% D F F A F A F F F
1.44 61% 40% 45% +10 +1 1.25 40% 1.1 .46 11% .22 75% .16 1.23 63% 38% 44% +7 0 1.18 64% 0.8 .52 24% .50 88% .44
Jan
12
McNeese St. D D F B+ C+ 36% 4% 60% A- B- F+ F F C- F F F F+ D- B- F F 42% 20% 38% C F A F D B- D F F
0.91 53% 0% 38% 0 +2 1.06 28% 0.5 .15 25% .25 57% .14 1.26 65% 36% 43% +8 0 1.18 27% 1.5 .40 15% .35 86% .30
Jan
17
Lamar B- C+ D- B C 37% 20% 43% C- C D+ A+ B D+ B A A F F F F F 32% 36% 32% C+ F F+ F F A F+ D- F
1.17 61% 30% 38% +2 0 1.06 28% 1.3 .38 19% .43 79% .34 1.31 67% 53% 67% +24 -2 1.45 40% 1.5 .60 22% .30 75% .22
Jan
19
Stephen F. Austin D- F B F F 34% 21% 45% D+ F A- F C B- B- B- B- F+ F D- F F 35% 20% 46% D- F F A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.94 28% 45% 21% -18 0 0.66 37% 0.9 .33 15% .30 76% .23 1.20 75% 44% 43% +13 0 1.28 44% 0.3 .13 20% .38 80% .30
Jan
24
SE Louisiana F F B F F 33% 14% 53% B- F D- F F C- B+ C B+ B D+ D B+ D+ 33% 27% 40% C+ D+ F A+ B A+ F F F
0.86 38% 43% 23% -15 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .20 20% .42 75% .32 0.95 60% 42% 28% -2 -1 0.96 41% 0.5 .19 26% .55 76% .42
Jan
27
New Orleans F F F+ C F 32% 11% 57% C+ F F B F+ F F F F C- C+ A F+ C+ 50% 23% 27% D- C F F F A F F+ F
0.85 29% 33% 33% -10 +1 0.83 21% 1.1 .23 19% .25 53% .14 1.09 54% 27% 38% -3 +1 0.98 42% 1.2 .52 25% .47 81% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31
East Texas A&M D+ B+ C F C- 36% 28% 36% F D F A+ D+ C+ A+ D A C+ B- B- D+ C- 33% 17% 50% C+ C- F A+ A- B F F F
1.04 65% 38% 29% 0 -1 1.00 20% 1.7 .33 16% .43 68% .29 0.98 53% 33% 35% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.4 .14 20% .36 75% .27
Feb
2
Northwestern St. F+ F B D- F 45% 25% 30% C- F C D+ C- D C B C+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% F+ A+ D- F F A- F F+ F
0.96 35% 45% 31% -10 0 0.82 33% 1.1 .36 19% .33 76% .25 0.92 56% 11% 18% -16 0 0.70 29% 1.5 .44 21% .40 80% .32
Feb
7
TX A&M Corpus Christi C+ A C F C- 39% 16% 45% C+ C F+ A+ B A F+ F F F F F+ F F 53% 19% 28% D- F B+ F F+ B- F F F
1.12 70% 38% 26% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.7 .35 15% .35 65% .23 1.23 68% 44% 46% +12 +1 1.28 25% 1.5 .38 19% .42 83% .35
Feb
9
UT Rio Grande Valley D+ A+ B F C 31% 23% 46% D+ C- F A- D+ A- C+ F D- F F B- D+ F 50% 7% 43% F F F F F A+ F F F
1.04 75% 42% 25% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 13% .37 55% .20 1.33 77% 33% 37% +11 +3 1.30 48% 2.0 .95 23% .38 85% .32
Feb
14
Incarnate Word A+ A- F A+ A+ 65% 6% 29% A+ A+ F B F A+ C D- D+ F B F B- C+ 49% 7% 44% F D+ F F F F A+ F B-
1.39 70% 0% 53% +14 +4 1.37 19% 1.2 .23 8% .36 68% .25 1.27 50% 75% 32% -3 +3 1.02 38% 1.3 .49 9% .17 100% .17
Feb
16
Houston Christian D- F A+ F F 43% 24% 33% D F F A+ C B+ A+ D+ A+ C- C- C+ A+ B- 39% 35% 27% A B B F F F F D F
1.01 43% 50% 19% -11 0 0.80 22% 1.8 .38 15% .42 71% .30 1.07 58% 35% 23% -5 -2 0.88 25% 1.4 .36 10% .43 73% .31
Feb
21
Stephen F. Austin A- B+ F A+ A+ 41% 10% 49% B+ A+ F A+ F+ D- F A D D- D+ A+ C+ B- 31% 8% 61% F C D F F B F C+ F+
1.17 65% 20% 50% +13 +2 1.31 12% 1.7 .20 20% .21 82% .17 1.22 60% 0% 33% -3 +1 0.98 36% 1.8 .64 15% .32 67% .21
Feb
23
Lamar F D+ B- F F 33% 21% 46% C- F B C- B- F F F F A+ B- F A+ A+ 30% 23% 47% F+ A A- D+ B- A C+ D+ C
0.82 56% 40% 14% -14 0 0.73 35% 1.0 .35 22% .14 57% .08 0.80 50% 55% 14% -13 -1 0.74 27% 1.0 .27 22% .22 73% .16
Feb
28
SE Louisiana D F+ A+ F F 51% 8% 41% A+ F B- D- C A- C- F F B- C+ D+ B- C- 47% 11% 43% F D B- D+ C A A+ F A-
1.04 50% 50% 24% -9 +3 0.88 34% 1.0 .34 15% .36 55% .20 0.92 55% 40% 30% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.0 .25 23% .18 89% .16
Mar
2
McNeese St. D F A+ C- D- 28% 3% 70% B+ D+ A+ F D D A+ F A+ C D+ F A+ B+ 54% 4% 42% F B- A+ A+ A+ C F F F
0.97 36% 100% 32% -6 +2 0.93 50% 0.6 .31 27% .61 67% .41 1.11 62% 50% 20% -6 +3 0.96 25% 0.8 .19 13% .48 86% .41




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10 0.0%
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10 100.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 99.4
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 99.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 16.0 3.3 96.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 18.6%
Lose Out 40.8%