Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.3 #325
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 #286
Pace 75.1 #41
Improvement +3.1 #49

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #295 D F D- D+ D-
Defense #335 D- F C- D+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% #349 1.05 #298 -6.5 #351
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #80 0.80 #116 +2.6 #61
Three Pointers 44% #121 0.93 #281 -0.3 #187
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #296 -4.2 #296
Freethrows 14.7 #320 78% #16 11.4 #268
Second Chance 24.2% #333 0.92 #328 0.22 #348
Turnovers 19.0% #324
Total Offense -4.5 #295

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #166 1.31 #335 -3.5 #297
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #351 0.68 #73 +3.1 #6
Three Pointers 47% #40 1.07 #264 -4.4 #329
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #323 -4.8 #320
Freethrows 19.6 #285 73% #213 14.2 #285
Second Chance 36.0% #340 1.09 #247 0.39 #329
Turnovers 15.9% #213
Total Defense -5.7 #335

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.5% #324 1.9% #335
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.9% #271 7.4% #314
Possession Length 17.6 #197 15.3 #4
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #140 0.23 #341
Improvement +4.7 #5 -1.6 #277

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 8.6% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.0% 11.6% 2.8%
.500 or above in Conference 85.8% 96.3% 82.5%
Conference Champion 20.1% 36.9% 14.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.9% 7.8% 5.3%
First Round2.9% 4.3% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Away) - 24.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 7
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 412 - 1012 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 9 @Illinois L 55 - 113 1% -33  0 - 1 -35 -13 D F D- -18 F F B
 Thu, Nov 6 13 @Louisville L 70 - 106 1% -22  0 - 2 -15 -1 A+ F B -11 D+ D D
 Sat, Nov 15 228 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 19% -3  0 - 3 -18 -17 F F F -1 C+ D- B
 Wed, Nov 19 27 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  0 - 4 -28 -5 D+ D+ F -19 F B+ D
 Fri, Nov 21 20 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1% -30  0 - 5 -34 -10 F B+ F -20 F D F
 Sun, Nov 23 130 Winthrop L 62 - 80 19% -8  0 - 6 -19 -7 C F F -14 F F D-
 Fri, Nov 28 312 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 34% +5  1 - 6 -0 -16 F F F +16 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 150 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 10% -9  1 - 7 -11 -1 F B+ F -9 A+ F F
 Wed, Dec 10 4 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  1 - 8 -17 -18 D F F -3 B- F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 60 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 3% -18  1 - 9 -28 -17 F F D+ -9 D- C B-
 Thu, Dec 18 230 Hampton L 77 - 84 27% -5  1 - 10 -11 +2 B- F C- -13 D- F B+
 Fri, Dec 19 291 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 39% -11  1 - 11 -17 -6 F D+ F -11 F B+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 45 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  1 - 12 -37 -3 D B D- -31 F B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 347 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 68% +7  2 - 12 1 - 0 -12 +9 B+ F A- -21 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 311 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 33% +7  3 - 12 2 - 0 +5 -6 F F D +11 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 301 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 31% -6  3 - 13 2 - 1 -14 +4 D- F A+ -17 F F C
 Sat, Jan 17 317 Prairie View W 82 - 78 59% +4  4 - 13 3 - 1 -9 -1 B- D F -8 C F C
 Mon, Jan 19 335 Texas Southern W 94 - 89 65% +5  5 - 13 4 - 1 -9 +11 A+ F B -20 F C- D
 Sat, Jan 24 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 83 24%
 Mon, Jan 26 313 @Florida A&M L 75 - 79 36%
 Sat, Jan 31 287 Grambling St. L 75 - 76 50%
 Mon, Feb 2 246 Southern L 78 - 81 40%
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 79 - 68 85%
 Mon, Feb 9 334 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 82 - 84 42%
 Sat, Feb 14 313 Florida A&M W 78 - 76 57%
 Mon, Feb 16 269 Bethune-Cookman L 79 - 80 46%
 Sat, Feb 21 347 @Alcorn St. L 78 - 79 46%
 Thu, Feb 26 317 @Prairie View L 79 - 83 37%
 Sat, Feb 28 335 @Texas Southern L 79 - 81 41%
 Tue, Mar 3 334 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85 - 81 63%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 82 - 65 94%
Totals 12 - 19 11 - 7 -10 -5 D F D- -6 D- F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 5.1 7.0 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 20.1 1st
2nd 0.5 6.2 7.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 17.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.2 8.4 2.4 0.1 15.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 8.5 3.1 0.1 12.7 4th
5th 0.1 4.8 5.0 0.3 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 6.0 1.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.1 3.2 2.7 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.2 0.4 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.1 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.1 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.9 8.8 15.0 19.2 18.9 15.4 9.8 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
15-3 99.5% 1.9    1.8 0.1
14-4 93.2% 4.7    3.8 0.9 0.0
13-5 71.3% 7.0    3.6 3.0 0.4 0.0
12-6 33.0% 5.1    1.1 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0
11-7 4.5% 0.9    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.1% 20.1 10.8 6.2 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.5% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.9% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.6
14-4 5.0% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.6 4.4
13-5 9.8% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 1.1 8.8
12-6 15.4% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 1.2 14.1
11-7 18.9% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 1.1 17.7
10-8 19.2% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 1.1 18.1
9-9 15.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.4 14.5
8-10 8.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.6
7-11 3.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.9
6-12 1.2% 1.2
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 16.0 93.7 0.0%