Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.1#358
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#265
Pace78.2#22
Improvement+1.1#101

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#358
First Shot-6.6#342
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#303
Layup/Dunks-0.5#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#313
Freethrows-1.3#248
Improvement-1.1#265

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#338
First Shot-6.0#346
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#148
Layups/Dunks+0.1#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#339
Freethrows-3.0#331
Improvement+2.2#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 1.9% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 11.5% 23.6% 11.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 8.1% 12.7%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 46 - 117 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 57 @Washington L 50-94 2%     0 - 1 -31.6 -20.1 -9.5
  Thu, Nov 6 270 @Portland L 74-83 15%     0 - 2 -12.1 -11.7 +1.0
  Sat, Nov 8 143 @Loyola Marymount L 72-94 5%     0 - 3 -17.7 +3.2 -20.6
  Tue, Nov 11 41 @Oklahoma L 69-95 1%     0 - 4 -11.2 +0.3 -11.6
  Sat, Nov 15 12 @Vanderbilt L 75-104 0.4%    0 - 5 -7.3 +5.5 -11.1
  Tue, Nov 18 40 @SMU L 60-106 1%     0 - 6 -31.1 -14.1 -11.0
  Thu, Nov 20 170 @Marshall L 70-98 7%     0 - 7 -26.0 -7.5 -16.0
  Sun, Nov 23 127 @Miami (OH) L 84-111 4%     0 - 8 -21.4 +1.3 -18.9
  Wed, Dec 3 204 @Illinois-Chicago W 63-62 9%     1 - 8 +1.3 -10.7 +12.0
  Sat, Dec 6 121 @DePaul L 66-86 3%    
  Wed, Dec 10 91 @Tulsa L 65-88 2%    
  Sat, Jan 3 266 Alabama A&M L 70-75 32%    
  Mon, Jan 5 268 Alabama St. L 75-80 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 296 @Texas Southern L 73-83 18%    
  Mon, Jan 12 322 @Prairie View L 74-82 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 345 Florida A&M W 77-76 51%    
  Mon, Jan 19 218 Bethune-Cookman L 72-80 24%    
  Sat, Jan 24 201 @Southern L 72-87 10%    
  Mon, Jan 26 284 @Grambling St. L 67-77 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 365 @Mississippi Valley W 77-72 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 333 Alcorn St. L 77-78 47%    
  Mon, Feb 9 312 Jackson St. L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 268 @Alabama St. L 72-83 17%    
  Mon, Feb 16 266 @Alabama A&M L 67-78 16%    
  Sat, Feb 21 296 Texas Southern L 76-80 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 322 Prairie View L 77-79 43%    
  Sat, Feb 28 365 Mississippi Valley W 80-69 83%    
  Tue, Mar 3 312 @Jackson St. L 70-79 22%    
  Thu, Mar 5 333 @Alcorn St. L 74-81 28%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 6 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.2 0.2 3.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.4 0.4 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 1.2 0.0 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.4 2.8 0.2 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.7 6.6 4.6 0.6 15.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.8 8.4 5.8 1.3 0.0 21.6 10th
11th 0.3 3.0 7.8 9.0 5.4 1.3 0.1 26.8 11th
12th 0.4 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.8 12th
Total 0.4 2.0 5.4 10.7 14.8 16.8 16.0 13.2 9.2 5.8 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 66.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 66.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 34.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.3% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.6% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
11-7 1.6% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.1 1.5
10-8 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 3.0
9-9 5.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 5.7
8-10 9.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.1
7-11 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.2
6-12 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
5-13 16.8% 16.8
4-14 14.8% 14.8
3-15 10.7% 10.7
2-16 5.4% 5.4
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%