Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
236 Bethune-Cookman 35.7%   16   16 - 13 14 - 3 -4.2      -4.0 278 -0.2 178 71.9 91 -3.5 226 -2.0 1
277 Southern 18.8%   11 - 16 10 - 7 -6.4      -3.8 273 -2.6 254 73.7 49 -7.7 290 -7.9 2
301 Texas Southern 11.9%   10 - 16 10 - 7 -8.3      -4.4 286 -3.9 290 71.7 97 -10.1 320 -8.7 5
304 Alabama A&M 12.0%   14 - 13 10 - 7 -8.5      -3.4 260 -5.1 317 64.1 297 -7.4 287 -8.2 4
309 Grambling St. 0.0%   10 - 18 6 - 11 -9.0      -8.8 352 -0.3 181 68.4 183 -10.1 321 -13.3 11
313 Alabama St. 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 10 -9.4      -6.3 328 -3.1 266 72.1 88 -11.2 334 -12.2 9
315 Florida A&M 9.3%   11 - 15 10 - 7 -9.6      -7.6 344 -2.0 230 69.6 143 -8.7 306 -8.0 3
322 Prairie View 4.5%   9 - 17 8 - 9 -10.5      -6.3 327 -4.2 294 78.2 11 -11.9 338 -12.0 8
332 Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.6%   10 - 18 9 - 8 -11.6      -4.9 302 -6.7 344 72.5 74 -9.3 313 -10.1 7
345 Jackson St. 2.8%   10 - 20 9 - 8 -12.9      -5.8 319 -7.1 347 72.6 72 -9.8 318 -9.1 6
350 Alcorn St. 0.4%   8 - 21 7 - 10 -13.5      -7.3 341 -6.3 331 68.4 181 -11.6 337 -12.4 10
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   2 - 28 2 - 15 -22.2      -14.4 365 -7.8 354 68.4 182 -22.5 365 -21.4 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 304 Alabama A&M 88 313 Alabama St. 89   
Sat, Feb 28 236 Bethune-Cookman 82 277 Southern 79   
Sat, Feb 28 315 Florida A&M 66 309 Grambling St. 59   
Sat, Feb 28 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff 69 365 Mississippi Valley 70   
Sat, Feb 28 345 Jackson St. 57 301 Texas Southern 82   
Sat, Feb 28 350 Alcorn St. 51 322 Prairie View 72   
Tue, Mar 3 313 Alabama St. 64 277 Southern 71   
Tue, Mar 3 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff 78 345 Jackson St. 81   
Tue, Mar 3 304 Alabama A&M 77 309 Grambling St. 63   
Tue, Mar 3 350 Alcorn St. 67 365 Mississippi Valley 64   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Mar 5 304 Alabama A&M 75 277 Southern 74 53%   
Thu, Mar 5 313 Alabama St. 72 309 Grambling St. 69 60%   
Thu, Mar 5 322 Prairie View 77 301 Texas Southern 82 69%   
Thu, Mar 5 236 Bethune-Cookman 73 315 Florida A&M 71 59%   
Thu, Mar 5 350 Alcorn St. 77 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff 76 54%   
Thu, Mar 5 345 Jackson St. 80 365 Mississippi Valley 67 87%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 1.0 100.0
Texas Southern 2.4 68.8 18.3 12.9
Alabama A&M 3.0 53.5 8.3 25.0 13.1
Southern 3.1 46.5 10.0 29.0 14.5
Florida A&M 3.0 40.6 18.3 41.1
Jackson St. 4.4 15.9 47.6 24.3 6.6 5.6
Arkansas Pine Bluff 5.6 8.5 24.6 13.0 6.6 47.3
Prairie View 7.8 2.1 16.4 81.5
Alabama St. 8.8 41.1 37.2 21.7
Alcorn St. 8.9 37.2 35.4 27.4
Grambling St. 10.4 18.7 21.7 59.6
Mississippi Valley 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 15 - 3 17 - 13 40.6 59.4
Texas Southern 11 - 7 11 - 16 31.2 68.8
Alabama A&M 11 - 7 15 - 13 46.5 53.5
Southern 10 - 8 11 - 17 53.5 46.5
Florida A&M 10 - 8 11 - 16 59.4 40.6
Jackson St. 10 - 8 11 - 20 12.2 87.8
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9 - 9 10 - 19 53.9 46.1
Prairie View 8 - 10 9 - 18 68.8 31.2
Alabama St. 8 - 10 10 - 20 40.4 59.6
Alcorn St. 8 - 10 9 - 21 46.1 53.9
Grambling St. 6 - 12 10 - 19 59.6 40.4
Mississippi Valley 2 - 16 2 - 29 87.8 12.2

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bethune-Cookman 100.0% 100.0
Texas Southern
Alabama A&M
Southern
Florida A&M
Jackson St.
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Prairie View
Alabama St.
Alcorn St.
Grambling St.
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bethune-Cookman 35.7% 35.7% 0.0% 16   0.0 2.1 33.5 64.3 0.0%
Southern 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 0.0 18.8 81.2 0.0%
Texas Southern 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 11.9 88.1 0.0%
Alabama A&M 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 0.1 11.9 88.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida A&M 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 9.3 90.7 0.0%
Prairie View 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 4.5 95.5 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 4.6 95.4 0.0%
Jackson St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 2.8 97.2 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 53.4% 0.5 46.6 53.4
2nd Round 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 35.7% 25.6% 23.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 18.8% 18.7% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 11.9% 11.8% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 12.0% 11.1% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 9.3% 9.2% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 4.5% 4.5% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 4.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 2.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%