Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
199 Southern 26.4%   16   1 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 14 13 - 6 -2.4      -2.9 248 +0.5 155 77.9 25 -3.3 218 0.0 1
220 Bethune-Cookman 19.1%   2 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 16 11 - 6 -3.7      -1.6 213 -2.1 235 67.8 231 -6.6 274 0.0 1
272 Alabama A&M 12.5%   3 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 13 11 - 7 -5.8      -5.3 315 -0.5 176 67.5 237 -1.0 186 0.0 1
276 Alabama St. 10.8%   2 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 17 10 - 7 -6.0      -2.2 230 -3.8 304 69.7 176 -6.0 265 0.0 1
284 Grambling St. 8.7%   2 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 16 9 - 8 -6.6      -5.1 305 -1.5 215 65.4 288 -5.9 263 0.0 1
305 Texas Southern 5.9%   0 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 17 9 - 8 -8.1      -5.4 317 -2.8 261 74.0 76 -13.8 340 0.0 1
312 Jackson St. 5.7%   1 - 7 0 - 0 11 - 20 10 - 8 -8.4      -6.7 340 -1.7 226 70.3 162 -6.8 277 0.0 1
322 Prairie View 4.6%   1 - 5 0 - 0 10 - 17 9 - 8 -9.1      -5.9 327 -3.2 275 74.9 52 -9.4 299 0.0 1
334 Alcorn St. 2.6%   1 - 9 0 - 0 10 - 21 9 - 10 -10.4      -6.0 328 -4.4 325 72.3 114 -8.4 291 0.0 1
343 Florida A&M 2.2%   0 - 5 0 - 0 7 - 20 7 - 10 -11.4      -6.6 339 -4.8 335 71.8 129 -12.5 331 0.0 1
353 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.9%   1 - 9 0 - 0 8 - 21 6 - 11 -12.8      -8.2 356 -4.6 330 78.2 22 -6.8 278 0.0 1
365 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   0 - 8 0 - 0 2 - 29 2 - 15 -22.1      -13.3 365 -8.8 363 70.2 166 -18.7 358 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 353 Arkansas Pine Bluff 63 204 Illinois-Chicago 62   
Wed, Dec 3 272 Alabama A&M 80 249 Tennessee St. 53   
Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley 52 360 Louisiana Monroe 66   
Wed, Dec 3 334 Alcorn St. 68 2 Iowa St. 132   
Fri, Dec 5 220 Bethune-Cookman 80 349 South Carolina St. 59   
Sat, Dec 6 126 Sam Houston St. 82 305 Texas Southern 70   
Sat, Dec 6 353 Arkansas Pine Bluff 72 134 DePaul 76   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 7 276 Alabama St. 69 240 Tennessee Martin 74 67%   
Sun, Dec 7 272 Alabama A&M 66 161 Lipscomb 75 78%   
Mon, Dec 8 284 Grambling St. 68 224 Southern Miss 74 71%   
Mon, Dec 8 199 Southern 70 46 Texas 87 93%   
Mon, Dec 8 82 Kansas St. 94 365 Mississippi Valley 62 99%   
Wed, Dec 10 199 Southern 71 237 Texas St. 72 54%   
Wed, Dec 10 353 Arkansas Pine Bluff 66 89 Tulsa 88 97%   
Wed, Dec 10 8 Houston 81 312 Jackson St. 50 99%   
Thu, Dec 11 276 Alabama St. 67 37 Missouri 88 97%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Southern 2.6 47.2 17.4 10.6 7.3 5.4 3.8 2.9 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 3.8 18.7 19.5 15.8 12.6 9.8 7.6 6.0 4.3 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.1
Alabama A&M 4.1 17.2 17.5 14.3 12.0 10.2 8.4 6.8 5.4 3.9 2.8 1.4 0.1
Alabama St. 4.6 11.7 15.1 14.5 13.0 11.7 9.8 8.1 6.4 4.6 3.0 1.7 0.2
Grambling St. 5.9 5.9 8.7 9.9 10.5 11.1 11.0 10.8 10.5 9.5 7.4 4.4 0.4
Texas Southern 6.1 5.1 8.0 9.4 10.2 10.7 10.6 11.3 10.3 9.8 8.0 5.9 0.7
Jackson St. 5.3 8.2 11.6 12.1 11.9 11.4 10.6 9.7 8.5 6.8 5.4 3.6 0.4
Prairie View 6.4 3.8 6.8 8.3 9.9 10.5 11.4 11.5 11.3 10.9 9.1 5.7 0.8
Alcorn St. 6.3 5.2 7.0 8.7 9.3 10.4 11.0 11.3 11.4 10.2 8.5 6.2 0.9
Florida A&M 8.2 1.3 2.5 3.5 4.5 5.8 7.2 8.9 11.4 13.5 17.4 19.8 4.3
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.6 0.4 1.1 2.2 4.0 5.1 6.4 9.0 11.9 15.8 19.6 20.4 4.1
Mississippi Valley 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 4.7 15.1 77.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Southern 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.7 3.3 4.8 7.2 9.7 12.0 13.4 13.8 12.4 9.7 6.3 3.2
Bethune-Cookman 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.1 7.0 10.1 13.2 15.0 15.2 13.1 9.7 5.6 2.3 0.6
Alabama A&M 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.6 3.3 5.6 8.2 11.0 13.1 14.3 13.3 11.3 8.6 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.2
Alabama St. 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.9 6.4 10.1 12.7 14.7 15.0 13.0 9.8 6.7 3.1 1.1 0.2
Grambling St. 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.0 5.2 8.4 11.3 13.4 14.1 13.4 11.3 8.3 5.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
Texas Southern 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.2 6.0 8.8 11.5 13.4 14.1 12.7 10.8 7.9 4.9 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
Jackson St. 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.7 6.2 9.0 12.0 13.5 14.2 12.4 10.7 7.4 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.0
Prairie View 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.7 6.6 9.8 12.4 14.2 14.6 12.9 9.8 6.9 4.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
Alcorn St. 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.3 9.4 12.6 13.5 13.8 12.5 10.1 6.9 4.6 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Florida A&M 7 - 11 0.4 1.6 4.0 7.0 10.5 13.0 13.9 13.6 11.7 9.2 6.4 4.2 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 6 - 12 0.1 0.9 3.4 7.1 11.6 15.1 16.3 15.0 12.0 8.4 5.4 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi Valley 2 - 16 18.5 27.3 23.4 15.7 8.3 4.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Southern 47.2% 36.0 8.7 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Bethune-Cookman 18.7% 11.2 5.6 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Alabama A&M 17.2% 10.4 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Alabama St. 11.7% 6.3 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Grambling St. 5.9% 3.0 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Texas Southern 5.1% 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0
Jackson St. 8.2% 4.2 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
Prairie View 3.8% 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
Alcorn St. 5.2% 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Florida A&M 1.3% 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.4% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mississippi Valley


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Southern 27.0% 27.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 8.3 12.6 73.0 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 19.1% 19.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.8 12.8 80.9 0.0%
Alabama A&M 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.9 8.7 87.5 0.0%
Alabama St. 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 8.4 89.2 0.0%
Grambling St. 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.3 7.1 91.3 0.0%
Texas Southern 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 5.6 94.1 0.0%
Jackson St. 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 5.4 94.3 0.0%
Prairie View 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.3 95.4 0.0%
Alcorn St. 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 2.6 97.4 0.0%
Florida A&M 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 2.1 97.8 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Southern 27.0% 6.9% 24.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 19.1% 8.2% 15.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 12.5% 5.4% 9.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 10.8% 5.9% 7.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 8.7% 5.0% 6.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Southern 5.9% 4.7% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 5.7% 4.6% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 4.6% 3.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 2.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 2.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 75.6% 0.8 24.4 75.6
2nd Round 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0