Preseason Rankings
Wichita St.
American Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#122
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#99
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#126
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#134
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.3% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.5 11.4 12.1
.500 or above 56.9% 64.1% 36.0%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 60.6% 42.6%
Conference Champion 6.8% 8.0% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 5.3% 11.4%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round6.1% 7.1% 3.2%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Home) - 74.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 36 - 58 - 13
Quad 47 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2025 184   UNC Asheville W 78-71 74%    
  Nov 08, 2025 341   Prairie View W 84-67 94%    
  Nov 13, 2025 103   Loyola Chicago W 72-71 52%    
  Nov 18, 2025 62   @ Boise St. L 66-76 19%    
  Nov 22, 2025 214   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-70 77%    
  Nov 26, 2025 49   St. Mary's L 60-69 22%    
  Dec 06, 2025 110   @ Northern Iowa L 67-72 35%    
  Dec 13, 2025 84   DePaul L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 17, 2025 206   Wofford W 74-66 75%    
  Dec 21, 2025 174   Eastern Kentucky W 77-71 71%    
  Dec 31, 2025 102   @ UAB L 73-79 32%    
  Jan 03, 2026 185   @ Charlotte W 71-70 54%    
  Jan 07, 2026 165   Rice W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 11, 2026 89   North Texas L 62-63 50%    
  Jan 15, 2026 139   @ Florida Atlantic L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 18, 2026 106   @ South Florida L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 21, 2026 158   East Carolina W 74-68 68%    
  Jan 24, 2026 53   Memphis L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 01, 2026 149   @ Tulsa L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 04, 2026 185   Charlotte W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 08, 2026 116   @ Tulane L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 11, 2026 106   South Florida W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 14, 2026 149   Tulsa W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 18, 2026 158   @ East Carolina L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 21, 2026 132   Temple W 78-74 61%    
  Feb 26, 2026 53   @ Memphis L 71-82 19%    
  Mar 01, 2026 167   @ Texas San Antonio W 77-76 51%    
  Mar 07, 2026 139   Florida Atlantic W 78-74 63%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.1 2.2 0.8 0.1 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.6 2.5 0.2 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.7 0.7 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.3 2.3 3.7 1.2 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.2 1.7 0.1 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.0 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.3 6.3 8.1 9.7 11.2 11.5 11.1 9.9 8.0 6.4 4.4 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 91.4% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
15-3 71.1% 2.0    1.3 0.7 0.1
14-4 42.5% 1.9    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.7% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
12-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.7 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 83.3% 45.7% 37.6% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 69.2%
17-1 0.4% 61.8% 39.3% 22.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 37.0%
16-2 1.2% 41.1% 29.9% 11.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 16.0%
15-3 2.8% 29.8% 25.9% 3.9% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 5.3%
14-4 4.4% 24.0% 22.7% 1.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.3 1.7%
13-5 6.4% 14.7% 14.2% 0.5% 11.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 5.5 0.6%
12-6 8.0% 10.5% 10.5% 11.9 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.2
11-7 9.9% 7.3% 7.3% 12.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.2
10-8 11.1% 4.3% 4.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.7
9-9 11.5% 2.3% 2.2% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.0%
8-10 11.2% 1.1% 1.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
7-11 9.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
6-12 8.1% 0.4% 0.4% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
5-13 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
4-14 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.2% 5.8% 0.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.3 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 93.8 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 4.5 50.0 50.0
Lose Out 0.0%