Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#97
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#176
Pace66.0#275
Improvement-1.9#310

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#99
First Shot-4.2#295
After Offensive Rebound+7.1#1
Layup/Dunks-1.9#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#260
Freethrows+0.1#179
Improvement-0.7#242

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#106
First Shot+2.8#90
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#235
Layups/Dunks+3.6#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#122
Freethrows+1.8#80
Improvement-1.2#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 16.9% 11.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.8 12.4
.500 or above 83.6% 91.8% 79.0%
.500 or above in Conference 82.6% 87.1% 80.0%
Conference Champion 16.1% 20.2% 13.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round13.2% 16.8% 11.1%
Second Round2.5% 3.5% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Away) - 36.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 53 - 8
Quad 36 - 49 - 12
Quad 410 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 210 UNC Asheville W 75-58 85%     1 - 0 +11.0 +0.6 +11.0
  Sat, Nov 8 322 Prairie View W 105-62 94%     2 - 0 +30.8 +18.0 +8.9
  Thu, Nov 13 259 Loyola Chicago W 95-74 89%     3 - 0 +12.5 +23.8 -9.9
  Tue, Nov 18 59 @Boise St. L 59-62 24%     3 - 1 +9.3 -0.1 +9.2
  Sat, Nov 22 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-58 86%     4 - 1 +10.4 +1.2 +10.0
  Wed, Nov 26 42 St. Mary's L 65-70 26%     4 - 2 +6.8 +0.3 +6.4
  Thu, Nov 27 74 Colorado St. L 70-76 40%     4 - 3 +1.6 +10.3 -9.8
  Fri, Nov 28 123 Western Kentucky L 70-75 58%     4 - 4 -2.1 +6.2 -8.7
  Sat, Dec 6 87 @Northern Iowa L 63-67 36%    
  Sat, Dec 13 121 DePaul W 74-69 68%    
  Wed, Dec 17 208 Wofford W 79-68 85%    
  Sun, Dec 21 258 Eastern Kentucky W 82-69 89%    
  Wed, Dec 31 112 @UAB L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Jan 3 186 @Charlotte W 71-67 65%    
  Wed, Jan 7 217 Rice W 75-64 86%    
  Sun, Jan 11 145 North Texas W 70-63 74%    
  Thu, Jan 15 126 @Florida Atlantic L 73-74 48%    
  Sun, Jan 18 79 @South Florida L 74-79 31%    
  Wed, Jan 21 245 East Carolina W 78-65 88%    
  Sat, Jan 24 75 Memphis W 74-73 52%    
  Sun, Feb 1 91 @Tulsa L 70-74 37%    
  Wed, Feb 4 186 Charlotte W 74-64 81%    
  Sun, Feb 8 172 @Tulane W 75-72 61%    
  Wed, Feb 11 79 South Florida W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 91 Tulsa W 73-71 58%    
  Wed, Feb 18 245 @East Carolina W 75-68 72%    
  Sat, Feb 21 157 Temple W 80-72 76%    
  Thu, Feb 26 75 @Memphis L 70-76 32%    
  Sun, Mar 1 269 @Texas San Antonio W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Mar 7 126 Florida Atlantic W 76-71 68%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.6 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2 16.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.1 3.7 0.9 0.1 15.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.8 6.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 6.2 2.8 0.3 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.3 3.2 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.7 4.3 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 3.6 0.8 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.8 1.2 0.1 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.2 0.1 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.0 0.1 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 3.0 5.0 7.5 10.9 13.1 14.4 14.1 12.0 8.7 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 97.3% 2.4    2.1 0.2 0.0
15-3 85.1% 4.9    3.6 1.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 53.0% 4.6    2.1 2.0 0.5 0.0
13-5 22.0% 2.6    0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.1% 16.1 9.6 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 68.2% 54.5% 13.6% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 30.0%
17-1 0.8% 45.7% 37.0% 8.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 13.7%
16-2 2.4% 37.2% 36.1% 1.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.5 1.7%
15-3 5.8% 32.1% 31.8% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.9 0.3%
14-4 8.7% 26.7% 26.7% 11.8 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.4
13-5 12.0% 19.0% 19.0% 12.1 0.3 1.4 0.5 0.0 9.7
12-6 14.1% 15.6% 15.6% 12.4 0.1 1.3 0.7 0.1 11.9
11-7 14.4% 10.0% 10.0% 12.6 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 13.0
10-8 13.1% 6.9% 6.9% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 12.2
9-9 10.9% 4.0% 4.0% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.5
8-10 7.5% 2.3% 2.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.3
7-11 5.0% 2.6% 2.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8
6-12 3.0% 1.9% 1.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
5-13 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.2% 13.1% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.8 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 86.8 0.2%