Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#186
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#248
Pace61.0#355
Improvement-0.7#241

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#146
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#130
Layup/Dunks+1.4#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#103
Freethrows-2.0#287
Improvement-2.2#342

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#252
First Shot+1.6#121
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#348
Layups/Dunks+2.3#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#195
Freethrows-1.5#277
Improvement+1.5#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 1.8% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.5 13.9
.500 or above 22.7% 40.3% 18.8%
.500 or above in Conference 35.2% 45.3% 33.0%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.1% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 6.4% 12.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round1.2% 1.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Home) - 18.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 33 - 74 - 15
Quad 49 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 196 Indiana St. W 92-76 63%     1 - 0 +10.6 +19.8 -9.0
  Fri, Nov 7 306 Tennessee Tech W 70-65 81%     2 - 0 -6.1 -3.0 -2.7
  Tue, Nov 11 137 Davidson L 55-62 48%     2 - 1 -8.4 -7.5 -2.3
  Sun, Nov 16 70 @Virginia Tech L 76-84 12%     2 - 2 +2.8 +12.0 -9.6
  Fri, Nov 21 283 @Appalachian St. L 63-65 57%     2 - 3 -5.6 +4.2 -10.3
  Thu, Nov 27 101 Illinois St. L 69-79 26%     2 - 4 -5.2 +2.5 -8.3
  Fri, Nov 28 104 Richmond L 66-71 27%     2 - 5 -0.5 -0.9 +0.1
  Tue, Dec 2 323 N.C. A&T W 74-57 83%     3 - 5 +4.8 +1.2 +4.7
  Sun, Dec 7 51 Utah St. L 67-76 18%    
  Sun, Dec 14 180 @College of Charleston L 69-72 38%    
  Thu, Dec 18 331 Lafayette W 74-63 85%    
  Sun, Dec 21 204 Illinois-Chicago W 73-69 64%    
  Wed, Dec 31 157 Temple W 74-73 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 97 Wichita St. L 67-71 35%    
  Wed, Jan 7 269 @Texas San Antonio W 71-70 55%    
  Sun, Jan 11 217 @Rice L 67-69 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 91 Tulsa L 68-73 34%    
  Sun, Jan 18 245 @East Carolina L 70-71 49%    
  Sun, Jan 25 172 Tulane W 73-71 58%    
  Wed, Jan 28 157 @Temple L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 217 Rice W 70-66 65%    
  Wed, Feb 4 97 @Wichita St. L 64-74 19%    
  Sun, Feb 8 75 @Memphis L 65-77 13%    
  Sun, Feb 15 269 Texas San Antonio W 74-67 74%    
  Wed, Feb 18 91 @Tulsa L 65-76 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 245 East Carolina W 73-67 69%    
  Wed, Feb 25 145 North Texas W 65-64 51%    
  Sun, Mar 1 126 @Florida Atlantic L 67-75 25%    
  Wed, Mar 4 112 UAB L 70-73 40%    
  Sun, Mar 8 79 @South Florida L 68-80 14%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 4.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 2.8 0.8 0.1 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 3.9 1.5 0.1 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.3 2.9 0.2 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.2 4.4 0.8 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 3.4 5.7 1.5 0.1 10.9 8th
9th 0.2 2.6 6.2 2.8 0.2 12.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.7 3.1 0.9 0.0 9.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.3 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.6 7.0 10.3 13.1 14.2 14.2 12.0 9.7 6.5 3.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 68.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
13-5 17.3% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.3% 13.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 9.0% 9.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 10.7% 10.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 1.9% 7.3% 7.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.8% 6.2% 6.2% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.6
11-7 6.5% 3.9% 3.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.2
10-8 9.7% 1.6% 1.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.6
9-9 12.0% 1.2% 1.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.8
8-10 14.2% 0.6% 0.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.2
7-11 14.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.2
6-12 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-13 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-14 7.0% 7.0
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 98.8 0.0%