Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#114
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#118
Pace71.6#121
Improvement+0.9#123

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#97
First Shot+2.6#98
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#125
Layup/Dunks+0.2#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#104
Freethrows-0.2#196
Improvement-1.8#315

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#155
First Shot-2.2#245
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#32
Layups/Dunks-1.4#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#234
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#157
Freethrows-1.1#263
Improvement+2.7#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 8.2% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.4 12.8
.500 or above 76.1% 78.8% 53.5%
.500 or above in Conference 74.2% 77.0% 50.9%
Conference Champion 9.1% 9.9% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 4.7%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round7.8% 8.2% 4.6%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 89.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 52 - 8
Quad 38 - 510 - 13
Quad 47 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 156 Boston College W 83-78 OT 72%     1 - 0 +2.3 +0.9 +0.7
  Sat, Nov 8 169 College of Charleston W 94-77 65%     2 - 0 +16.4 +23.8 -6.8
  Sun, Nov 9 102 @Liberty L 68-88 33%     2 - 1 -12.1 +0.3 -13.0
  Thu, Nov 20 138 Pacific W 82-59 68%     3 - 1 +21.7 +14.7 +8.8
  Mon, Nov 24 123 Loyola Marymount W 76-65 54%     4 - 1 +13.4 +14.2 +0.0
  Tue, Nov 25 88 George Mason L 65-74 39%     4 - 2 -2.7 +6.7 -11.1
  Sun, Nov 30 116 St. Bonaventure L 65-70 62%     4 - 3 -4.7 -3.1 -2.1
  Sun, Dec 7 186 @Florida Gulf Coast W 81-76 59%     5 - 3 +6.2 +7.6 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 13 310 Albany W 105-79 91%     6 - 3 +14.4 +10.9 -0.1
  Fri, Dec 19 44 @St. Mary's L 75-88 15%     6 - 4 +1.7 +4.9 -2.0
  Tue, Dec 23 49 Central Florida L 80-85 25%     6 - 5 +5.4 +3.7 +2.1
  Wed, Dec 31 287 Texas San Antonio W 83-70 89%    
  Sun, Jan 4 194 @Tulane W 78-75 60%    
  Wed, Jan 7 107 @UAB L 77-81 36%    
  Sun, Jan 11 72 Memphis L 76-77 45%    
  Thu, Jan 15 98 Wichita St. W 75-74 53%    
  Sun, Jan 18 151 @Temple L 78-79 49%    
  Wed, Jan 21 194 Tulane W 81-72 78%    
  Sun, Jan 25 79 @South Florida L 78-85 27%    
  Thu, Jan 29 72 @Memphis L 73-80 25%    
  Sun, Feb 1 271 East Carolina W 82-70 87%    
  Wed, Feb 4 92 Tulsa W 80-79 51%    
  Wed, Feb 11 231 @Rice W 77-72 67%    
  Sun, Feb 15 79 South Florida L 81-82 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 287 @Texas San Antonio W 80-73 74%    
  Sun, Feb 22 146 @North Texas L 68-69 48%    
  Wed, Feb 25 151 Temple W 81-75 70%    
  Sun, Mar 1 183 Charlotte W 77-69 77%    
  Sat, Mar 7 98 @Wichita St. L 72-77 32%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.1 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 9.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.1 5.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 6.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 5.8 3.9 0.4 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.0 5.1 0.8 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.1 1.3 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 1.8 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.1 1.7 0.2 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.5 0.2 4.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.5 7.2 10.7 13.6 15.1 14.5 12.2 9.2 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 97.4% 1.0    0.9 0.1
15-3 89.0% 2.5    1.8 0.6 0.0
14-4 55.8% 3.1    1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0
13-5 20.2% 1.9    0.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 4.8 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 38.0% 31.5% 6.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 9.5%
16-2 1.0% 28.4% 28.1% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.5%
15-3 2.8% 26.6% 26.6% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 2.0
14-4 5.5% 18.1% 18.0% 0.1% 12.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.5 0.1%
13-5 9.2% 16.0% 16.0% 12.2 0.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 7.7
12-6 12.2% 12.0% 12.0% 12.4 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.0 10.7
11-7 14.5% 8.3% 8.3% 12.6 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 13.3
10-8 15.1% 4.5% 4.5% 12.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 14.4
9-9 13.6% 3.1% 3.1% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 13.2
8-10 10.7% 2.2% 2.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.4
7-11 7.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.1
6-12 4.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 4.5
5-13 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 92.2 0.0%