Charlotte
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#142
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#85
Pace59.0#360
Improvement+1.8#36

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#157
First Shot+0.8#142
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#180
Layup/Dunks+4.4#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#246
Freethrows+1.7#92
Improvement-3.3#362

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#149
First Shot+2.6#97
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#303
Layups/Dunks-4.1#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#119
Freethrows+4.4#16
Improvement+5.1#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.7% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.8 12.3
.500 or above 59.7% 61.8% 32.9%
.500 or above in Conference 41.9% 43.0% 27.3%
Conference Champion 2.2% 2.3% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.1% 7.7% 13.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.5% 2.6% 0.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 92.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 52 - 8
Quad 36 - 57 - 13
Quad 48 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 279   Presbyterian W 88-79 84%     1 - 0 -0.1 +20.2 -19.0
  Nov 09, 2024 45   @ Utah St. L 74-103 14%     1 - 1 -15.9 +5.6 -21.7
  Nov 13, 2024 201   Richmond W 65-48 73%     2 - 1 +12.1 -2.4 +16.0
  Nov 19, 2024 219   Gardner-Webb W 60-54 75%     3 - 1 +0.3 -9.9 +10.8
  Nov 23, 2024 338   LIU Brooklyn W 76-60 93%    
  Nov 27, 2024 188   East Tennessee St. W 70-64 70%    
  Dec 10, 2024 131   @ Davidson L 63-67 37%    
  Dec 14, 2024 229   @ Georgia St. W 68-66 56%    
  Dec 17, 2024 353   West Georgia W 76-58 95%    
  Dec 22, 2024 175   @ Hawaii L 64-65 47%    
  Dec 31, 2024 146   Tulane W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 04, 2025 172   @ Rice L 64-65 46%    
  Jan 08, 2025 73   Florida Atlantic L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 185   @ Tulsa L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 14, 2025 94   @ Wichita St. L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 19, 2025 33   Memphis L 67-75 24%    
  Jan 22, 2025 120   South Florida W 66-65 55%    
  Jan 29, 2025 114   @ Temple L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 103   @ UAB L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 04, 2025 94   Wichita St. L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 172   Rice W 67-62 67%    
  Feb 10, 2025 73   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 145   East Carolina W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 19, 2025 114   Temple W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 26, 2025 146   @ Tulane L 67-70 41%    
  Mar 02, 2025 145   @ East Carolina L 62-65 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 84   @ North Texas L 54-63 23%    
  Mar 09, 2025 273   Texas San Antonio W 75-65 81%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.1 3.9 0.6 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.0 1.3 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.4 2.3 0.1 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.7 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 6.0 8.9 11.2 12.9 13.1 12.0 10.0 8.0 5.3 3.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 93.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.1% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 65.4% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 35.1% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.0% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 61.3% 29.0% 32.3% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 45.5%
16-2 0.3% 34.9% 23.0% 11.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 15.5%
15-3 0.9% 26.2% 19.9% 6.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 7.9%
14-4 1.9% 17.2% 15.6% 1.6% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 1.9%
13-5 3.5% 11.9% 11.7% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.0 0.3%
12-6 5.3% 7.1% 7.0% 0.0% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.9 0.1%
11-7 8.0% 5.4% 5.4% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.6
10-8 10.0% 2.4% 2.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.8
9-9 12.0% 1.3% 1.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9
8-10 13.1% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
7-11 12.9% 0.4% 0.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
6-12 11.2% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
5-13 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 8.8
4-14 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.5% 2.4% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 97.5 0.2%