Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -1.3 180
Results Rating -1.5 186
Consistency 0.15 193
Pace 67.6 204
Improvement +4.1 46

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 226 C- C C- C D
Defense C 147 C- C B C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 239 D+ 54% 273 -2.5 273
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 74 C 38% 181 +2.2 69
Three Pointers 37% 264 C+ 35% 149 -1.6 237
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -0.9 297 C- -0.9 210
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 231
Second Chance C+ 31.3% 151 C- 1.01 213 C 0.32 161
Opponents' Steals C- 9.7% 217
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 245
Turnovers C- 17.5% 234
Freethrows C- 0.29 227 B- 75% 112 C 0.22 195
Total Offense C- -2.0 226

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 72 D 13.6% 325
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 80 C+ 4.4% 149
Three Pointers C- 82% 227 C+ 0.8% 166
Total C+ 58% 125 D+ 6.4% 278


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 127 C 59% 198 +1.4 224
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 233 C+ 36% 108 -1.0 110
Three Pointers 40% 195 D+ 35% 251 +0.7 221
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 238 C- +0.7 209
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 216
Second Chance C- 31.6% 244 C+ 0.99 121 C 0.31 198
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 105
Other Turnovers B 8.4% 54
Turnovers B 18.9% 61
Freethrows C+ 0.28 113 C- 73% 214 C+ 0.20 118
Total Defense C +0.7 147

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 169 C 10.8% 183
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 55 B+ 8.0% 41
Three Pointers C 84% 195 A 2.5% 13
Total C 55% 176 B- 6.9% 79

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 184 17.5 221
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 92 0.18 232
Consistency 0.11 91 0.12 149
Improvement +2.5 66 +1.6 93

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 189 178 162
Results Rating Rank 197 181 143
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 14% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round9% 14% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 36 - 56 - 9
Quad 411 - 617 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 209 @La Salle L 60 - 73 44% -3  14% 0 - 1 D- -13 F -10 D- C+ F C- -3 D+ B- C
 Thu, Nov 13 52 @Seton Hall L 58 - 70 9% -2  39% 0 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -3 F A+ F B +4 B A+ F+
 Tue, Nov 18 77 @Syracuse L 73 - 78 13% -5  13% 0 - 3 B- +6 C +1 C D- B- B +5 B- C+ B-
 Sun, Nov 23 155 Robert Morris W 71 - 70 OT 56% -1  42% 1 - 3 C- -2 D -5 F A- C B- +3 B C+ C-
 Fri, Nov 28 291 Ball St. W 80 - 73 73% +4  72% 2 - 3 C -1 B+ +9 B- A- A F+ -9 F B D+
 Sat, Nov 29 305 Le Moyne L 79 - 83 76% -1  27% 2 - 4 D- -13 C+ +2 F A+ B F -15 F D- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 325 @Lafayette W 88 - 74 73% +13  92% 3 - 4 B- +6 B+ +9 A+ F D+ C- -2 D+ C C+
 Wed, Dec 3 239 Princeton W 63 - 58 72% +3  80% 4 - 4 C- -2 F -14 F+ F C A+ +12 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 148 @Georgia Tech L 67 - 79 32% -2  18% 4 - 5 D -8 D -6 F+ C+ A+ C- -3 D+ B B+
 Sun, Dec 14 265 @Fairfield L 65 - 73 56% -0  52% 4 - 6 D -11 D -6 D D- C D -6 F D D+
 Wed, Dec 17 216 Quinnipiac L 75 - 85 68% -15  0% 4 - 7 F+ -16 D+ -3 C- F D+ F -13 F D+ D+
 Sun, Dec 21 292 Lehigh W 76 - 62 82% +7  95% 5 - 7 C+ +3 C- -2 A F F B+ +5 F+ C+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 185 Campbell L 65 - 68 63% +2  72% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -8 F+ -9 F C- A+ C+ +1 A F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 167 @Towson W 62 - 48 36% +7  85% 6 - 8 1 - 1 A- +16 D+ -3 C- C+ F A+ +21 A A+ C+
 Thu, Jan 8 139 William & Mary W 81 - 70 52% +3  69% 7 - 8 2 - 1 B +9 C +1 C- A- A- A- +8 B F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 104 @Hofstra L 64 - 67 OT 21% +1  38% 7 - 9 2 - 2 C+ +4 F+ -9 F D D A+ +13 A+ A- C
 Thu, Jan 15 214 Drexel L 51 - 73 68% -14  1% 7 - 10 2 - 3 F -28 F -15 F C- F F -17 F F B
 Mon, Jan 19 296 Northeastern W 81 - 68 82% +1  44% 8 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +2 D -4 D- B+ A- B+ +6 C- A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 22 263 @Hampton L 63 - 65 56% -3  16% 8 - 11 3 - 4 C- -5 D- -7 D+ B F B- +2 B- F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 185 @Campbell W 88 - 73 40% +5  80% 9 - 11 4 - 4 A- +16 B+ +9 A A+ F B+ +7 B+ A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 281 N.C. A&T W 83 - 81 OT 79% -2  22% 10 - 11 5 - 4 D+ -8 D+ -3 F C B D+ -4 B F B
 Sat, Jan 31 104 Hofstra L 57 - 73 40% -10  0% 10 - 12 5 - 5 F+ -15 F -13 D- F A+ C- -3 F+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 5 227 @Stony Brook W 76 - 75 48% +8  98% 11 - 12 6 - 5 C +0 C- -1 D+ F+ B C+ +1 D D+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 214 @Drexel W 93 - 73 45% +16  91% 12 - 12 7 - 5 A +20 A+ +19 A A B- C+ +1 F+ A B-
 Sun, Feb 15 167 Towson W 72 - 71 59% -3  18% 13 - 12 8 - 5 C- -3 C+ +3 B- D A D -6 F F A+
 Thu, Feb 19 106 @UNC Wilmington L 69 - 79 21% +0  40% 13 - 13 8 - 6 C- -3 D -5 C+ F F B- +2 A- B+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 144 @College of Charleston L 63 - 74 30% -4  13% 13 - 14 8 - 7 D+ -7 D- -7 C+ F+ F C -0 B- D F
 Thu, Feb 26 227 Stony Brook W 82 - 69 70% +12  98% 14 - 14 9 - 7 B- +6 B +7 A- A+ D+ C -1 C D- B-
 Sat, Feb 28 241 Elon W 73 - 57 73% +9  90% 15 - 14 10 - 7 B +8 C- -1 C- B- D- A +11 B A+ A-
 Tue, Mar 3 296 @Northeastern W 89 - 83 64% +5  68% 16 - 14 11 - 7 C +1 A +13 B B- A+ F -11 F F C+
Totals 16 - 14 11 - 7 -1 C- -2 F C- D C +1 C+ B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C C+ C- 37% 48% 37% D C- C+ C- C C- C- B- C C C C+ D+ C- 41% 19% 40% C- C- C- C+ C B C+ C- C+
1.06 54% 38% 35% -1 -1 0.98 31% 1.0 .32 17% .29 75% .22 1.08 59% 36% 35% +1 0 1.04 32% 1.0 .31 19% .28 73% .21
Nov
8		 La Salle F C- A+ F F 43% 12% 45% B D- B- C- C+ F A D B+ C- B- A+ F C- 54% 20% 26% F D+ F A+ B- C F C- F
0.91 56% 60% 21% -7 +1 0.90 32% 1.1 .35 24% .34 65% .22 1.10 52% 11% 50% -2 +1 1.00 45% 0.7 .30 18% .52 75% .39
Nov
13		 Seton Hall D+ F A- F F 51% 19% 30% B F C A+ A+ F A+ A A+ B A+ F D A- 51% 12% 37% F B C- A+ A+ F+ F F+ F
0.87 26% 43% 27% -18 +1 0.68 30% 1.7 .50 30% .58 78% .45 1.05 38% 50% 37% -7 +2 0.92 37% 0.6 .21 12% .46 78% .36
Nov
18		 Syracuse C F D B+ C 37% 14% 49% B- C D+ D- D- B- A+ A A+ B C A+ F+ B+ 53% 12% 35% F B- B+ F+ C+ B- F A F
1.03 39% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 17% .43 80% .34 1.10 61% 0% 40% 0 +2 1.07 26% 1.2 .32 17% .56 58% .32
Nov
23		 Robert Morris D F B- D- F+ 30% 33% 37% F F B+ B A- C A+ C+ A+ B- C F A+ B- 29% 36% 36% A+ B F+ A C+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.03 43% 40% 29% -7 -2 0.85 36% 1.1 .39 16% .54 77% .42 1.02 56% 55% 20% -2 -3 0.93 42% 0.9 .37 17% .14 25% .04
Nov
28		 Ball St. B+ D- C+ A+ B 39% 27% 35% D+ B- B B+ A- A B F C F+ D- C- F F 33% 20% 47% B- F C+ A B D+ A+ B A+
1.20 53% 38% 47% +5 -1 1.10 38% 1.2 .44 14% .33 68% .23 1.10 61% 36% 42% +7 0 1.15 24% 0.7 .16 15% .11 67% .07
Nov
29		 Le Moyne C+ D- C F F 38% 28% 34% D- F B+ A+ A+ B B B B+ F F F D F 40% 9% 51% D- F C F D- C+ F F F
1.16 50% 33% 22% -10 -1 0.79 38% 1.7 .63 12% .36 77% .28 1.21 71% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.21 25% 1.3 .32 20% .51 79% .40
Nov
30		 Lafayette B+ A B+ A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% D- A+ F+ F F D+ A+ D A+ C- D+ B- F+ D- 29% 31% 40% A+ D+ B- D C C+ F F F
1.25 72% 44% 57% +17 -2 1.33 23% 0.8 .18 16% .52 71% .37 1.05 60% 31% 38% +1 -2 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 17% .38 77% .29
Dec
3		 Princeton F C+ F F F+ 43% 31% 27% D- F+ F D+ F C B- A+ A- A+ D A+ B+ B- 48% 4% 48% F C- A A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+
0.94 62% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.88 18% 1.0 .18 13% .33 84% .28 0.86 61% 0% 30% -3 +3 1.02 20% 0.5 .10 28% .19 67% .12
Dec
6		 Georgia Tech D F D- C F+ 38% 28% 34% C- F+ B D C+ A+ D- D- F+ C- C F D D+ 48% 24% 28% D+ D+ C- A B B+ F F F
0.95 39% 29% 33% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.0 .33 8% .23 67% .15 1.12 59% 45% 38% +4 0 1.11 33% 0.9 .30 21% .47 81% .38
Dec
14		 Fairfield D C- F+ F+ D- 56% 13% 31% B D D+ F D- C F A- F D B B- F F+ 51% 21% 28% D- F F B- D D+ A+ A+ A+
1.03 57% 29% 29% -4 +2 0.98 27% 0.9 .24 16% .09 80% .07 1.15 48% 36% 53% +3 +1 1.09 42% 0.9 .37 14% .09 20% .02
Dec
17		 Quinnipiac D+ A- F F D+ 57% 18% 24% B+ C- B- F F D+ A A+ A+ F F A D F 44% 22% 35% D+ F D C D+ D+ C B- C+
1.04 68% 11% 25% -3 +2 1.00 36% 0.5 .19 18% .37 86% .32 1.18 75% 25% 37% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.0 .35 15% .30 67% .20
Dec
21		 Lehigh C- C B- A+ A+ 40% 35% 25% F+ A C F F F F F F B+ C- F D F 32% 17% 51% D F+ F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.13 57% 44% 62% +12 -2 1.23 34% 0.6 .22 21% .19 60% .11 0.92 60% 63% 38% +7 0 1.17 31% 0.6 .17 30% .08 50% .04
Dec
31		 Campbell F+ D F F F 47% 26% 28% C F D+ B- C- A+ A+ F A C+ A+ A+ C A+ 58% 7% 35% F A D F F A+ F C- F
1.00 55% 25% 23% -10 0 0.83 28% 1.2 .33 11% .45 65% .29 1.05 40% 0% 33% -14 +3 0.81 38% 1.2 .46 23% .60 73% .44
Jan
3		 Towson D+ F A+ D- C+ 28% 38% 35% F C- C+ C+ C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 17% 48% F A C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+
0.98 45% 53% 29% -1 -3 0.95 29% 1.0 .29 24% .39 84% .33 0.76 39% 22% 28% -14 0 0.75 34% 0.4 .13 17% .11 83% .10
Jan
8		 William & Mary C B F A- C 34% 23% 43% D C- B- A+ A- A- C F+ D+ A- C D A- B- 40% 24% 36% A B F C F+ A+ A A+ A+
1.12 67% 17% 39% +1 -1 1.04 32% 1.3 .43 15% .28 65% .18 0.97 60% 42% 28% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.2 .38 24% .27 47% .13
Jan
10		 Hofstra F+ F F C- F 29% 29% 42% D F F A D D A A- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 27% 27% 46% B A+ C- A+ A- C F F F
0.90 40% 20% 32% -12 -2 0.75 20% 1.3 .24 17% .39 78% .30 0.94 31% 31% 23% -17 -2 0.65 35% 0.8 .26 17% .56 88% .49
Jan
15		 Drexel F B F F F 40% 33% 28% D F A F C- F A B- A+ F A F F F 27% 20% 54% B F F D F B F A+ C+
0.86 63% 23% 18% -10 -1 0.80 42% 0.7 .31 23% .39 78% .31 1.23 45% 50% 55% +15 -1 1.32 42% 1.0 .42 22% .34 50% .17
Jan
19		 Northeastern D F+ B- B- D 36% 19% 46% D+ D- B- B+ B+ A- F F F B+ F F A+ C- 47% 15% 38% D C- F A+ A+ A+ C+ D+ C
1.13 52% 45% 37% +1 0 1.05 34% 1.1 .39 13% .19 58% .11 0.95 72% 50% 20% 0 +1 1.06 35% 0.2 .05 25% .26 71% .19
Jan
22		 Hampton D- B- F B C- 33% 26% 41% D- D+ B C+ B F F F F B- A+ A+ F B- 35% 28% 37% C B- B- F F+ C+ F D F
0.98 67% 25% 37% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 25% .25 42% .10 1.01 40% 17% 44% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.3 .38 19% .42 77% .32
Jan
24		 Campbell B+ A D+ A+ A+ 46% 26% 28% C A A- A A+ F A+ F A B+ B A+ B+ A- 47% 9% 44% D+ B+ A+ B A+ F D B- C-
1.22 71% 33% 54% +13 0 1.28 39% 1.4 .54 24% .45 64% .29 1.01 50% 20% 29% -9 +2 0.89 24% 0.9 .21 11% .41 69% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 N.C. A&T D+ D- A- F F 44% 26% 30% C- F C+ C- C B A- A+ A+ D+ C+ C A+ A- 51% 27% 22% F B F F F B D F F
1.12 52% 47% 24% -5 0 0.91 29% 1.0 .29 11% .38 84% .32 1.09 56% 38% 18% -6 0 0.90 41% 1.8 .72 22% .39 87% .34
Jan
31		 Hofstra F D- A F D+ 25% 45% 30% F D- F F+ F A+ F C F C- C- F F F 23% 27% 50% B+ F+ F+ F F A+ A D- B+
0.88 46% 46% 19% -6 -4 0.81 19% 0.9 .16 9% .19 73% .14 1.12 60% 50% 41% +9 -2 1.16 40% 1.6 .64 29% .22 80% .17
Feb
5		 Stony Brook C- C+ F C+ D+ 35% 23% 42% D+ D+ C- F F+ B A A- A C+ F+ A+ F+ D 34% 10% 56% D D D C D+ A+ D F F
1.06 61% 25% 36% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.6 .19 14% .37 78% .29 1.05 65% 0% 39% +3 +1 1.10 31% 0.9 .29 24% .29 88% .26
Feb
12		 Drexel A+ F+ A+ A+ A 41% 20% 39% B- A A- B A B- A A A+ C+ F A+ C+ D 53% 10% 37% F F+ A+ A+ A B- F+ F F
1.30 48% 60% 45% +6 0 1.16 39% 1.1 .44 14% .39 83% .32 1.02 69% 20% 33% +4 +2 1.14 20% 0.7 .13 21% .34 79% .26
Feb
15		 Towson C+ F D- A+ B 28% 24% 48% D B- A+ F D A B F C D D D+ F F 30% 32% 39% B- F D- F F A+ F A+ B
1.11 36% 33% 46% +1 -1 1.02 43% 0.5 .20 11% .31 61% .19 1.09 62% 43% 41% +7 -2 1.11 40% 1.3 .53 25% .37 44% .16
Feb
19		 UNC Wilmington D A+ F+ C- B 22% 43% 35% F C+ B- F F F A+ A+ A+ B- A- A+ F+ A 45% 20% 35% F+ A- A+ F+ B+ F+ F F F
0.96 90% 30% 31% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.5 .15 25% .41 86% .35 1.10 48% 0% 39% -10 +1 0.84 24% 1.2 .30 11% .55 80% .44
Feb
21		 College of Charleston D- D A C B- 25% 33% 41% F+ C+ F D F+ F F+ A D C C+ B+ A+ B+ 53% 20% 27% F B- B+ F D F C- A- C+
0.94 54% 47% 33% +1 -3 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 19% .17 78% .13 1.10 59% 30% 21% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.6 .38 12% .37 68% .25
Feb
26		 Stony Brook B C- A+ B A 27% 23% 50% D A- C A+ A+ D+ F C F C C+ F A C 31% 15% 54% C C C+ F D- B- A+ B+ A+
1.21 57% 67% 38% +10 -1 1.19 32% 1.5 .48 18% .20 73% .14 1.02 53% 75% 28% -1 0 1.00 26% 1.2 .32 19% .11 67% .07
Feb
28		 Elon C- F A B C- 31% 25% 44% D C- B C- B- D- B- A+ A A F C- A+ B- 34% 25% 41% A+ B A+ A+ A+ A- C- F D
1.16 47% 50% 38% +2 -1 1.04 39% 1.1 .42 19% .31 88% .27 0.90 73% 36% 22% -2 -1 0.95 23% 0.4 .10 21% .32 81% .26
Mar
3		 Northeastern A B A+ A A- 38% 31% 31% F B C+ B- B- A+ F B- F F F A+ F F 45% 24% 31% B- F D F F C+ A- D B+
1.33 67% 59% 41% +13 -1 1.25 31% 1.1 .34 9% .20 75% .15 1.24 70% 25% 50% +10 0 1.22 30% 1.8 .52 18% .20 73% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 8.5% 8.5% 14.5 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.2 0.3 91.5
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 14.5 91.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.5% 100.0% 14.5 0.1 4.6 42.9 49.4 3.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 14.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 39.9%
Lose Out 37.4%