Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.3#33
Expected Predictive Rating+13.9#35
Pace64.1#317
Improvement+1.6#63

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#37
First Shot+7.0#26
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#143
Layup/Dunks+3.9#60
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#138
Freethrows+2.3#70
Improvement+1.0#104

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#39
First Shot+5.4#38
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#164
Layups/Dunks+6.0#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#99
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement+0.7#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.2% 2.6% 0.6%
Top 4 Seed 8.5% 15.5% 5.8%
Top 6 Seed 25.4% 38.4% 20.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 75.7% 87.7% 71.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.3% 86.7% 69.5%
Average Seed 7.5 6.8 7.8
.500 or above 97.4% 99.3% 96.7%
.500 or above in Conference 86.5% 91.0% 84.8%
Conference Champion 7.3% 9.9% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Four7.0% 4.8% 7.8%
First Round72.2% 85.3% 67.0%
Second Round43.4% 54.3% 39.2%
Sweet Sixteen14.6% 20.3% 12.4%
Elite Eight5.1% 7.2% 4.3%
Final Four1.9% 3.0% 1.5%
Championship Game0.7% 1.2% 0.5%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.2%

Next Game: BYU (Neutral) - 28.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 7
Quad 26 - 311 - 10
Quad 35 - 116 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 344 New Hampshire W 88-38 99%     1 - 0 +35.6 +10.9 +25.2
  Fri, Nov 7 360 Gardner-Webb W 97-59 99%     2 - 0 +20.6 +16.2 +4.4
  Tue, Nov 11 327 Morehead St. W 83-56 98%     3 - 0 +14.5 +18.8 +0.3
  Sat, Nov 15 85 @Georgetown L 74-79 65%     3 - 1 +4.3 +4.6 -0.4
  Mon, Nov 17 200 North Alabama W 81-61 95%     4 - 1 +14.6 +14.8 +2.1
  Fri, Nov 21 65 West Virginia W 70-67 68%     5 - 1 +11.6 +7.9 +3.9
  Sun, Nov 23 19 Georgia W 97-94 OT 42%     6 - 1 +18.5 +15.4 +2.7
  Fri, Nov 28 266 Alabama A&M W 92-56 97%     7 - 1 +27.2 +16.2 +10.6
  Wed, Dec 3 11 @Alabama L 84-90 21%     7 - 2 +15.8 +15.8 +0.1
  Tue, Dec 9 8 BYU L 70-76 28%    
  Sat, Dec 13 191 Mercer W 85-67 96%    
  Tue, Dec 16 89 South Carolina W 76-65 84%    
  Sun, Dec 21 68 Cincinnati W 73-68 68%    
  Wed, Dec 31 61 @Syracuse W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 92 @Pittsburgh W 71-66 67%    
  Wed, Jan 7 40 SMU W 77-73 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 56 @Notre Dame W 70-69 52%    
  Tue, Jan 13 132 Boston College W 74-60 91%    
  Sat, Jan 17 34 Miami (FL) W 74-71 61%    
  Tue, Jan 20 35 North Carolina St. W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 134 @Georgia Tech W 75-66 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 92 Pittsburgh W 74-63 83%    
  Wed, Feb 4 84 @Stanford W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 69 @California W 74-72 58%    
  Wed, Feb 11 70 Virginia Tech W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 3 @Duke L 65-77 15%    
  Wed, Feb 18 53 @Wake Forest W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 21 100 Florida St. W 82-71 84%    
  Sat, Feb 28 14 Louisville L 75-77 44%    
  Tue, Mar 3 21 @North Carolina L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Mar 7 134 Georgia Tech W 78-63 90%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.2 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.1 5.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.3 5.8 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 6.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.2 4.3 0.6 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.2 3.0 4.7 1.1 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 4.6 2.0 0.2 8.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.7 3.4 0.4 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.3 0.8 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.3 2.3 1.7 0.1 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 2.0 0.4 3.3 11th
12th 0.2 1.3 0.8 0.0 2.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.1 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 15th
16th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.8 6.6 9.7 13.0 14.9 16.1 13.2 10.1 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 95.3% 0.8    0.7 0.1
16-2 76.0% 2.0    1.3 0.7 0.0
15-3 44.5% 2.6    1.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
14-4 14.7% 1.5    0.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 3.4 2.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 100.0% 46.8% 53.2% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.8% 100.0% 20.2% 79.8% 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.7% 100.0% 19.5% 80.5% 3.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 5.9% 99.8% 14.5% 85.3% 4.7 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
14-4 10.1% 99.8% 11.0% 88.7% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.5 2.6 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-5 13.2% 98.5% 8.4% 90.1% 6.7 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.9 3.6 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 98.3%
12-6 16.1% 93.9% 4.9% 89.0% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.1 3.8 3.3 1.7 0.3 1.0 93.6%
11-7 14.9% 85.9% 3.0% 82.9% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 3.6 2.9 1.0 0.0 2.1 85.4%
10-8 13.0% 69.3% 1.7% 67.6% 9.5 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.2 3.2 1.9 0.0 4.0 68.8%
9-9 9.7% 46.9% 0.7% 46.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.8 1.6 0.0 5.2 46.5%
8-10 6.6% 20.3% 0.3% 19.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 5.3 20.0%
7-11 3.8% 6.7% 0.4% 6.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 3.5 6.4%
6-12 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 1.9 0.4%
5-13 0.9% 0.9
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 75.7% 5.4% 70.3% 7.5 0.4 0.8 2.5 4.8 7.4 9.5 11.2 11.4 11.3 10.5 5.7 0.2 24.3 74.3%