Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.0 38
Expected Predictive Rating +16.1 29
Pace 62.2 337
Improvement +0.6 164

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense B 73 B+ C B B B
Defense A- 16 A- A- B- C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 98 B 64% 58 +4.4 43
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 317 A- 46% 23 -1.7 265
Three Pointers 45% 104 B- 36% 102 +3.2 77
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 45 B +4.5 51
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 40
Second Chance C- 29.4% 215 C+ 1.07 108 C 0.32 166
Turnovers B 14.8% 51
Freethrows B 0.35 50 C+ 73% 155 B 0.26 55
Total Offense B +4.8 73

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 310 B+ 52% 43 +5.0 39
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 60 B+ 33% 23 -0.3 214
Three Pointers 42% 154 B+ 30% 32 +2.3 84
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 45 A- +4.5 51
1st FG Attempt 0.88 14 A- +6.9 14
Second Chance A 22.5% 5 C+ 0.98 105 A- 0.22 13
Turnovers B- 18.9% 71
Freethrows B- 0.28 104 D 75% 321 C+ 0.21 145
Total Defense A- +9.2 16

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 138 19.4 364
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 255 0.10 14
Improvement -2.0 #295 +2.6 #50

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 2% 6% 1%
Top 6 Seed 20% 42% 17%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95% 99% 95%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95% 99% 94%
Average Seed 7.7 6.7 7.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 5% 30% 1%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 0% 2%
First Round94% 99% 94%
Second Round52% 63% 50%
Sweet Sixteen12% 18% 11%
Elite Eight4% 5% 4%
Final Four1% 2% 1%
Championship Game0% 1% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 11.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 16 - 6
Quad 26 - 212 - 8
Quad 35 - 017 - 9
Quad 47 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 330 New Hampshire W 88 - 38 99% +26  98% 1 - 0 A+ +36 B+ +8 B D A+ A+ +28 A+ A C
 Fri, Nov 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 97 - 59 100% +21  99% 2 - 0 A- +16 A- +11 D+ A A+ B +5 B- B B
 Tue, Nov 11 290 Morehead St. W 83 - 56 98% +17  99% 3 - 0 A- +16 A+ +15 B B A+ B+ +6 A+ F C
 Sat, Nov 15 76 @Georgetown L 74 - 79 63% -1  39% 3 - 1 B- +6 B- +4 B- C- B+ C+ +2 C+ A D
 Mon, Nov 17 344 North Alabama W 81 - 61 99% +14  94% 4 - 1 C+ +5 B +6 D+ A+ F C+ +1 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 21 55 West Virginia W 70 - 67 65% -2  23% 5 - 1 B+ +13 B +6 A F C B+ +7 A+ B- F+
 Sun, Nov 23 36 Georgia W 97 - 94 OT 49% -0  43% 6 - 1 A- +17 A +12 A A A B +5 C A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 304 Alabama A&M W 92 - 56 98% +25  96% 7 - 1 A+ +25 A +11 B+ B+ C+ A+ +13 C+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 3 17 @Alabama L 84 - 90 25% -9  3% 7 - 2 A- +15 A +13 A F+ A B- +3 C+ B- C
 Tue, Dec 9 21 BYU L 64 - 67 36% +5  61% 7 - 3 A- +15 B- +4 C+ C+ D A +11 A+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 173 Mercer W 70 - 63 94% -0  40% 8 - 3 C+ +3 C- -1 B F A- B +5 D+ A+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 92 South Carolina W 68 - 61 86% +6  81% 9 - 3 B +9 D+ -2 C+ C+ A- A +12 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 45 Cincinnati W 68 - 65 59% +13  97% 10 - 3 A- +15 B +6 A+ D B A- +8 A- C B-
 Wed, Dec 31 67 @Syracuse W 64 - 61 61% +4  86% 11 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +14 D+ -3 A- F+ B- A+ +17 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 98 @Pittsburgh W 73 - 68 71% +2  65% 12 - 3 2 - 0 B+ +13 B- +4 A+ D- D- A- +9 B+ A- C
 Wed, Jan 7 37 SMU W 74 - 70 61% +7  97% 13 - 3 3 - 0 A- +15 B +6 B- B- A A- +10 A+ D A
 Sat, Jan 10 83 @Notre Dame W 76 - 61 66% +6  90% 14 - 3 4 - 0 A+ +25 A +12 B- A- A+ A+ +14 C+ B+ A
 Tue, Jan 13 132 Boston College W 74 - 50 91% +11  77% 15 - 3 5 - 0 A+ +23 B+ +8 A- A- C A+ +17 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 41 Miami (FL) W 69 - 59 65% +9  97% 16 - 3 6 - 0 A +20 B- +4 A+ F+ C+ A+ +17 A+ A A+
 Tue, Jan 20 27 North Carolina St. L 76 - 80 OT 56% -3  18% 16 - 4 6 - 1 B +8 C+ +3 B B- B+ B +5 B+ A+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 133 @Georgia Tech W 77 - 63 81% +6  75% 17 - 4 7 - 1 A +19 B+ +9 A+ F C+ A +10 A A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 98 Pittsburgh W 63 - 52 86% +10  91% 18 - 4 8 - 1 B+ +13 B- +4 C A+ D A +12 A B A+
 Wed, Feb 4 74 @Stanford W 66 - 64 63% +1  59% 19 - 4 9 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 B C+ C A- +8 A- A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 73 @California W 77 - 55 63% +13  77% 20 - 4 10 - 1 A+ +33 A +13 A+ B C+ A+ +21 A A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 11 56 Virginia Tech L 66 - 76 75% -4  16% 20 - 5 10 - 2 C- -3 C- -0 C+ C+ A C- -3 D- B- A
 Sat, Feb 14 3 @Duke L 60 - 73 12%
 Wed, Feb 18 63 @Wake Forest W 72 - 69 59%
 Sat, Feb 21 95 Florida St. W 78 - 66 87%
 Sat, Feb 28 11 Louisville L 71 - 74 41%
 Tue, Mar 3 26 @North Carolina L 69 - 73 34%
 Sat, Mar 7 133 Georgia Tech W 78 - 63 92%
Totals 23 - 8 13 - 5 +14 F +5 A+ B B A- +9 B- C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B A- B- B 42% 14% 45% B B+ C- C+ C B B C+ B A- B+ B+ B+ A- 34% 25% 42% B A- A C+ A- B- B- D C+
1.15 64% 46% 36% +5 +1 1.14 29% 1.1 .32 15% .35 73% .26 0.95 52% 33% 30% -6 -1 0.88 22% 1.0 .22 19% .28 75% .26
Nov
3
New Hampshire B+ A F C B 46% 15% 39% B B D- C D A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 17% 48% B A+ A A A C A+ A+ A+
1.27 71% 29% 33% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.0 .24 9% .65 73% .47 0.55 39% 11% 16% -24 0 0.54 17% 0.8 .13 19% .16 44% .07
Nov
7
Gardner-Webb A- A+ D+ F D 41% 5% 55% A- D+ A C+ A A+ C+ F+ C- B A+ F C+ B 48% 9% 43% F+ B- A- D+ B B F B- F
1.39 81% 33% 26% +2 +2 1.11 46% 1.1 .51 4% .30 65% .19 0.84 38% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 18% 1.0 .18 23% .48 65% .32
Nov
11
Morehead St. A+ B- A+ B B 37% 14% 49% C- B B- B- B A+ C A B- B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% B+ A+ F D- F C A- C+ A-
1.39 61% 57% 38% +7 +1 1.16 41% 1.0 .41 8% .33 78% .26 0.94 33% 36% 21% -15 -2 0.67 43% 1.0 .43 18% .23 73% .16
Nov
15
Georgetown B- B- F B- C+ 32% 21% 47% B- B- C- C C- B+ B+ D+ B- C+ C+ D C C 37% 33% 31% A- C+ A+ F A D F D+ F
1.06 59% 27% 36% 0 0 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .33 70% .23 1.13 56% 44% 33% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.3 .26 11% .52 78% .40
Nov
17
North Alabama B C+ A D D 39% 4% 57% B+ D+ A+ D+ A+ F A+ B A+ C+ B+ A+ B+ B+ 35% 13% 52% C- B D B- C- F B- C+ B-
1.29 61% 50% 31% -1 +2 1.04 54% 1.1 .60 19% .39 80% .31 0.97 47% 17% 28% -11 +1 0.81 33% 1.0 .33 13% .27 67% .18
Nov
21
West Virginia B A+ A- C+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C A D F F C A+ A- A+ B+ F A+ B+ A 22% 38% 40% A+ A+ A+ F B- F+ C B C+
1.06 71% 40% 35% +6 0 1.13 20% 0.3 .07 18% .35 79% .28 1.01 73% 21% 30% -6 -3 0.84 23% 1.4 .33 12% .33 63% .21
Nov
23
Georgia A B- B- A+ A+ 37% 30% 33% D- A B- A+ A A A+ A- A+ B F C+ B- D+ 28% 25% 48% A+ C A+ F A+ A- D D- F+
1.17 57% 41% 42% +5 -1 1.09 36% 1.2 .43 16% .41 76% .31 1.13 82% 40% 31% +5 -1 1.10 21% 1.3 .26 18% .38 81% .31
Nov
28
Alabama A&M A A- A+ B- B+ 47% 8% 45% A- B+ C+ A B+ C+ A+ B A+ A+ F+ F A+ C- 22% 37% 41% A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B B- B+
1.30 70% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.22 33% 1.2 .40 16% .54 75% .40 0.79 64% 47% 19% -4 -3 0.86 8% 0.7 .05 16% .29 71% .20
Dec
3
Alabama A C A+ F B+ 57% 16% 27% A+ A A+ F F+ A A+ A+ A+ B- B F C- C 31% 14% 55% B C+ C B B- C F A- F
1.17 53% 78% 27% +1 +2 1.07 41% 0.3 .14 10% .43 79% .34 1.25 56% 71% 36% +6 0 1.14 34% 1.1 .37 12% .49 71% .35
Dec
9
BYU B- D+ B- D C- 34% 11% 55% A+ C+ A+ F C+ D B+ A+ A+ A B- A A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% B- A+ D- F+ F C+ B+ F C+
1.05 53% 40% 29% -5 +1 0.93 46% 0.7 .32 20% .31 87% .27 1.10 59% 31% 18% -11 -1 0.79 43% 1.4 .59 15% .27 86% .23
Dec
13
Mercer C- A A+ D B- 40% 10% 50% B+ B D- F F A- B C+ B B F F A D 27% 31% 42% A D+ A+ F A+ D A+ A+ A+
1.10 70% 60% 32% +6 +1 1.16 26% 0.3 .06 14% .29 75% .22 0.99 71% 50% 27% +3 -2 1.04 10% 1.3 .13 14% .18 50% .09
Dec
16
South Carolina D+ B- C- F C 48% 25% 27% B- C+ F A+ C+ A- A+ F A+ A B- F+ A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% D+ A+ B C+ B- A+ F D+ F
1.03 62% 36% 25% -2 0 0.98 14% 2.0 .29 12% .53 61% .33 0.92 56% 50% 17% -13 +1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 21% .44 83% .36
Dec
21
Cincinnati B D B- A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% A- A+ F A+ D B C B C A- A+ B F A 38% 18% 44% D+ A- B F+ C B- C D- C-
1.02 48% 43% 47% +4 +1 1.13 7% 2.5 .18 18% .26 71% .18 0.97 32% 33% 41% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.2 .34 18% .27 73% .20
Dec
31
Syracuse D+ B B- D- B+ 56% 16% 28% A- A- F D F+ B- F+ F F A+ B+ A+ C- A+ 40% 26% 33% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.96 61% 38% 29% -1 +2 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 18% .22 50% .11 0.92 53% 27% 36% -4 -1 0.93 17% 0.4 .07 23% .47 83% .39
Jan
3
Pittsburgh B- A+ A+ B A+ 39% 15% 46% B- A+ F B- D- D- A+ D A+ A- C+ A+ B- B+ 44% 23% 33% C+ B+ A+ F A- C F F+ F
1.09 75% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.24 16% 1.0 .16 21% .47 72% .34 1.01 57% 27% 31% -4 0 0.94 20% 1.3 .27 16% .39 73% .28
Jan
7
SMU B B+ F D- C 38% 2% 60% A+ B- C+ B- B- A A+ C+ A+ A- A A+ A- A+ 34% 27% 39% B- A+ B- F D A F F F
1.13 67% 0% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .42 71% .30 1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 -1 0.85 35% 1.3 .44 20% .55 90% .49
Jan
10
Notre Dame A A+ A+ F B 27% 25% 47% D+ B- C+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ A- A+ C+ A+ F C 24% 26% 50% A- C+ A+ F B+ A D B- D+
1.19 71% 54% 25% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.4 .35 9% .31 83% .26 0.95 60% 27% 43% +4 -2 1.07 21% 1.2 .24 22% .36 67% .24
Jan
13
Boston College B+ F A A+ A- 38% 23% 40% C A- C+ A+ A- C A+ B+ A+ A+ C- B+ F+ D 38% 30% 33% B- D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A+
1.13 44% 45% 42% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.2 .35 15% .41 70% .29 0.76 60% 33% 38% +2 -1 1.03 19% 0.7 .13 29% .28 38% .11
Jan
17
Miami (FL) B- C- A+ A+ A+ 51% 15% 34% A+ A+ F D+ F+ C+ F+ B- D- A+ B- A+ A- A+ 36% 19% 45% B+ A+ A- B+ A A+ B+ F C+
1.07 54% 57% 50% +9 +2 1.23 15% 1.0 .15 19% .19 70% .13 0.91 59% 22% 29% -6 0 0.89 31% 0.9 .29 25% .29 79% .23
Jan
20
North Carolina St. C+ A- F C+ B 36% 9% 55% B B C+ B+ B- B+ A+ D- B+ B C A+ C- A- 40% 17% 42% C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ D F+ F F
1.06 65% 25% 35% +2 +1 1.09 27% 1.1 .30 18% .41 63% .26 1.12 62% 22% 36% 0 +1 1.04 17% 0.7 .11 10% .39 88% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24
Georgia Tech B+ A- B- A+ A+ 32% 19% 49% C+ A+ C F F C+ D- A- D+ A A+ B- D- B+ 22% 37% 41% A+ A A A A+ F+ C+ C- C
1.16 65% 40% 42% +9 0 1.19 28% 0.4 .13 15% .23 77% .18 0.95 36% 33% 40% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.9 .22 14% .30 71% .21
Jan
31
Pittsburgh B- D+ F C+ D+ 41% 5% 54% A C D+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A F+ A A+ A+ 36% 16% 48% C A F A+ B A+ B- B- B-
1.12 53% 0% 35% -3 +2 1.00 23% 2.2 .50 20% .44 85% .37 0.92 69% 29% 19% -8 0 0.86 44% 0.7 .31 25% .26 64% .17
Feb
4
Stanford B- C- F A+ B- 44% 15% 41% A- B D+ A C+ C A+ B- A+ A- B- C- B+ B+ 32% 19% 49% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ D A+
1.07 56% 17% 41% 0 +1 1.05 23% 1.3 .31 19% .44 77% .34 1.03 53% 40% 31% -4 0 0.94 26% 0.7 .18 11% .16 78% .13
Feb
7
California A A A+ A+ A+ 33% 15% 52% C A+ F A+ B C+ B+ F C+ A+ B+ B- B- A 37% 37% 26% A A A+ A+ A+ A+ B F C+
1.19 67% 57% 42% +12 0 1.26 15% 2.3 .33 15% .35 58% .20 0.85 53% 35% 33% -3 -2 0.91 14% 0.0 .00 22% .30 87% .26
Feb
11
Virginia Tech C- D- C- C+ C 51% 17% 32% A- C+ D- A+ C+ A A F B- C- B A+ F D 50% 11% 39% F D- A+ F B- A A- F C-
1.02 50% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.96 24% 1.4 .33 14% .32 61% .20 1.17 57% 20% 50% +7 +2 1.20 17% 2.0 .35 20% .25 100% .25




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.6 2.8 1.1 4.5 1st
2nd 0.1 5.1 17.7 7.0 29.9 2nd
3rd 2.1 21.9 11.2 0.2 35.3 3rd
4th 0.1 8.4 8.2 0.1 16.8 4th
5th 1.1 7.4 0.9 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 1.3 3.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 0.0 0.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.2 3.8 19.3 35.9 29.6 10.0 1.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 1.1    0.5 0.6
15-3 27.9% 2.8    0.4 1.5 0.9 0.0
14-4 2.1% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 4.5% 4.5 0.9 2.3 1.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 1.1% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
15-3 10.0% 99.9% 7.6% 92.3% 6.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.7 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-4 29.6% 98.9% 6.4% 92.5% 7.0 0.0 0.3 2.2 6.4 10.6 7.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 98.8%
13-5 35.9% 96.1% 4.0% 92.1% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 7.8 12.2 8.2 2.8 0.2 1.4 95.9%
12-6 19.3% 89.4% 2.6% 86.8% 8.9 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.4 5.9 4.1 1.0 0.0 2.1 89.1%
11-7 3.8% 77.2% 1.0% 76.1% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.9 76.9%
10-8 0.2% 52.1% 52.1% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 52.1%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.2% 4.8% 90.5% 7.7 4.8 95.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 3.0 3.8 19.2 50.0 23.1 3.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 100.0% 4.3 14.9 42.6 36.2 6.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3% 100.0% 5.0 5.9 19.1 45.6 25.0 4.4
Lose Out 0.1% 43.5% 10.7 13.0 30.4