Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#31
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#27
Pace62.2#337
Improvement+1.3#128

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#28
First Shot+6.6#33
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#111
Layup/Dunks+0.5#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#50
Freethrows+0.5#147
Improvement+2.9#38

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#46
First Shot+3.4#82
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#22
Layups/Dunks+1.8#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#335
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#141
Freethrows+2.9#25
Improvement-1.6#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.3% 4.6% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 13.4% 17.1% 6.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 77.0% 81.7% 67.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.8% 79.7% 65.3%
Average Seed 8.3 8.1 8.9
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 7.3% 9.9% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.3% 6.9% 10.9%
First Round73.0% 78.4% 62.3%
Second Round39.9% 44.0% 31.7%
Sweet Sixteen12.4% 14.2% 8.9%
Elite Eight5.0% 5.7% 3.7%
Final Four1.7% 1.9% 1.2%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 66.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 4
Quad 26 - 310 - 7
Quad 38 - 118 - 8
Quad 46 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 287   Charleston Southern W 91-64 97%     1 - 0 +17.2 +14.9 +2.3
  Nov 08, 2024 341   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 99%     2 - 0 +11.7 +6.4 +4.6
  Nov 12, 2024 231   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 96%     3 - 0 +6.5 +3.2 +4.4
  Nov 17, 2024 54   @ Boise St. L 71-84 54%     3 - 1 -0.5 +2.4 -2.7
  Nov 21, 2024 203   Radford W 79-51 95%     4 - 1 +23.4 +8.8 +17.1
  Nov 25, 2024 85   San Francisco W 70-55 74%     5 - 1 +21.9 +10.2 +13.7
  Nov 26, 2024 52   Penn St. W 75-67 63%     6 - 1 +18.2 +7.2 +11.2
  Nov 29, 2024 348   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +13.1 +12.4 +2.3
  Dec 03, 2024 15   Kentucky W 70-66 48%     8 - 1 +18.2 +2.2 +16.2
  Dec 07, 2024 179   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 87%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +11.7 -1.1 +14.6
  Dec 14, 2024 38   Memphis L 82-87 OT 66%     9 - 2 +4.5 +10.0 -5.2
  Dec 17, 2024 78   @ South Carolina L 88-91 OT 64%     9 - 3 +6.9 +15.8 -8.7
  Dec 21, 2024 57   Wake Forest W 73-62 73%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +18.1 +6.9 +11.2
  Jan 01, 2025 70   Stanford W 85-71 78%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +19.6 +14.8 +5.0
  Jan 04, 2025 113   California W 80-68 88%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +12.9 +17.1 -2.5
  Jan 07, 2025 23   @ Louisville L 64-74 36%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +7.4 +2.4 +4.4
  Jan 11, 2025 72   Florida St. W 77-57 79%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +25.2 +16.7 +10.9
  Jan 14, 2025 102   @ Georgia Tech W 70-59 75%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +17.6 +6.7 +11.7
  Jan 18, 2025 37   @ Pittsburgh W 78-75 OT 46%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +17.7 +20.5 -2.5
  Jan 22, 2025 104   Syracuse W 86-72 87%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +15.5 +22.0 -5.2
  Jan 25, 2025 121   @ Virginia Tech W 72-57 80%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +19.9 +12.2 +10.0
  Feb 01, 2025 91   @ North Carolina St. W 69-64 66%    
  Feb 04, 2025 102   Georgia Tech W 77-65 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 3   Duke L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 10, 2025 34   North Carolina W 75-72 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 72   @ Florida St. W 73-70 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 47   @ SMU W 74-73 49%    
  Feb 26, 2025 71   Notre Dame W 73-65 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 103   @ Virginia W 65-58 74%    
  Mar 05, 2025 191   @ Boston College W 76-64 87%    
  Mar 08, 2025 121   Virginia Tech W 75-61 90%    
Projected Record 24 - 7 16 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.3 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.2 8.4 12.4 6.2 29.4 2nd
3rd 0.7 6.1 16.5 17.6 8.6 1.0 50.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 4.2 2.3 0.3 8.9 4th
5th 0.5 1.4 0.6 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.3 1.3 4.5 11.2 21.0 26.4 22.4 10.7 2.3 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 2.3    1.1 1.1 0.1
18-2 32.9% 3.5    0.7 2.1 0.8
17-3 6.3% 1.4    0.1 0.8 0.5
16-4 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 7.3% 7.3 1.9 4.0 1.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 2.3% 99.6% 16.7% 82.8% 4.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.5%
18-2 10.7% 98.3% 14.1% 84.2% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.0%
17-3 22.4% 92.0% 11.7% 80.3% 7.8 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 3.9 5.4 4.4 2.1 0.5 1.8 91.0%
16-4 26.4% 82.0% 7.9% 74.1% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 4.5 6.4 5.2 2.0 0.0 4.7 80.5%
15-5 21.0% 68.7% 7.1% 61.6% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.9 5.0 2.7 0.1 6.6 66.3%
14-6 11.2% 49.4% 3.7% 45.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.1 5.7 47.5%
13-7 4.5% 37.6% 4.4% 33.2% 10.4 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 2.8 34.7%
12-8 1.3% 18.8% 2.3% 16.4% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0 16.8%
11-9 0.3% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 10.7%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 77.0% 8.7% 68.2% 8.3 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.7 6.3 9.6 14.0 16.5 15.1 8.2 0.2 23.0 74.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 2.5 21.1 31.6 28.9 15.8 2.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8% 100.0% 4.2 5.3 19.7 38.2 27.6 9.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5% 100.0% 4.9 2.0 12.2 26.5 26.5 20.4 10.2 2.0