Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#37
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#44
Pace65.4#265
Improvement-0.7#227

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#43
First Shot+5.3#52
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#141
Layup/Dunks+0.0#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#130
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#48
Freethrows+0.1#173
Improvement-0.3#198

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#34
First Shot+4.1#61
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#45
Layups/Dunks+2.2#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#148
Freethrows+2.8#22
Improvement-0.3#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.1% 3.6% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 9.6% 10.9% 3.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.8% 56.7% 40.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.6% 53.4% 37.8%
Average Seed 8.5 8.4 9.2
.500 or above 99.6% 99.8% 98.5%
.500 or above in Conference 96.1% 97.5% 89.9%
Conference Champion 7.3% 8.4% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four9.7% 9.5% 10.4%
First Round49.1% 52.1% 35.3%
Second Round26.6% 28.7% 17.3%
Sweet Sixteen8.8% 9.5% 5.2%
Elite Eight3.5% 3.8% 2.1%
Final Four1.2% 1.4% 0.6%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Stanford (Home) - 82.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 6
Quad 26 - 310 - 9
Quad 37 - 117 - 10
Quad 46 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 298   Charleston Southern W 91-64 97%     1 - 0 +16.6 +12.5 +4.0
  Nov 08, 2024 339   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 98%     2 - 0 +11.8 +5.4 +5.6
  Nov 12, 2024 229   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 95%     3 - 0 +6.4 +2.7 +4.8
  Nov 17, 2024 58   @ Boise St. L 71-84 49%     3 - 1 -0.6 +3.8 -4.2
  Nov 21, 2024 213   Radford W 79-51 94%     4 - 1 +22.4 +9.6 +15.3
  Nov 25, 2024 62   San Francisco W 70-55 63%     5 - 1 +23.5 +13.3 +12.3
  Nov 26, 2024 32   Penn St. W 75-67 47%     6 - 1 +20.7 +8.9 +11.8
  Nov 29, 2024 357   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +11.4 +12.5 +0.5
  Dec 03, 2024 16   Kentucky W 70-66 48%     8 - 1 +16.5 +2.9 +13.7
  Dec 07, 2024 103   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 67%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +17.6 +3.7 +15.7
  Dec 14, 2024 43   Memphis L 82-87 OT 64%     9 - 2 +3.2 +7.1 -3.5
  Dec 17, 2024 63   @ South Carolina L 88-91 OT 52%     9 - 3 +8.5 +14.5 -5.9
  Dec 21, 2024 89   Wake Forest W 73-62 80%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +14.3 +4.0 +10.3
  Jan 01, 2025 94   Stanford W 77-67 82%    
  Jan 04, 2025 128   California W 80-67 89%    
  Jan 07, 2025 44   @ Louisville L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 11, 2025 70   Florida St. W 77-70 75%    
  Jan 14, 2025 112   @ Georgia Tech W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 30   @ Pittsburgh L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 22, 2025 100   Syracuse W 79-69 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 137   @ Virginia Tech W 72-64 76%    
  Feb 01, 2025 79   @ North Carolina St. W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 04, 2025 112   Georgia Tech W 77-65 86%    
  Feb 08, 2025 2   Duke L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 10, 2025 22   North Carolina W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 70   @ Florida St. W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 40   @ SMU L 74-76 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 83   Notre Dame W 72-64 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 92   @ Virginia W 61-58 62%    
  Mar 05, 2025 167   @ Boston College W 75-66 80%    
  Mar 08, 2025 137   Virginia Tech W 75-61 89%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 2.3 1.0 0.2 7.3 1st
2nd 0.3 2.0 5.9 7.8 4.7 1.1 0.1 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 6.6 7.1 2.9 0.4 0.0 19.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.9 6.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.0 5.1 1.8 0.2 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.0 1.7 0.2 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.4 4.8 8.2 11.8 15.2 16.7 15.3 12.1 7.4 3.4 1.1 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 94.2% 1.0    0.8 0.3
18-2 67.0% 2.3    1.2 1.0 0.1
17-3 31.9% 2.4    0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0
16-4 9.7% 1.2    0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 3.2 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 100.0% 19.3% 80.7% 2.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 1.1% 99.8% 19.7% 80.1% 3.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
18-2 3.4% 99.6% 18.5% 81.2% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
17-3 7.4% 96.7% 13.2% 83.5% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.2 96.1%
16-4 12.1% 89.9% 11.3% 78.6% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 2.6 2.6 1.4 0.4 1.2 88.6%
15-5 15.3% 75.3% 8.7% 66.6% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.2 3.3 1.4 0.0 3.8 73.0%
14-6 16.7% 56.8% 5.5% 51.2% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.5 2.5 0.1 7.2 54.2%
13-7 15.2% 39.1% 3.7% 35.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 2.5 0.1 9.2 36.8%
12-8 11.8% 24.5% 2.5% 22.0% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 0.1 8.9 22.6%
11-9 8.2% 12.2% 1.5% 10.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 7.2 10.8%
10-10 4.8% 5.2% 0.9% 4.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 4.6 4.4%
9-11 2.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 0.3%
8-12 1.0% 1.0
7-13 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.4
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 53.8% 6.5% 47.3% 8.5 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.7 3.8 5.6 7.6 9.8 11.6 9.2 0.4 46.2 50.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 2.6 12.5 28.1 46.9 9.4 3.1