Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+16.5#17
Expected Predictive Rating+16.9#13
Pace61.7#340
Improvement+3.9#40

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#18
First Shot+7.6#25
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#99
Layup/Dunks+0.9#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#37
Freethrows+0.7#134
Improvement+2.9#58

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#27
First Shot+4.9#51
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#18
Layups/Dunks+2.4#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#113
Freethrows+3.0#22
Improvement+1.0#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 18.7% 20.4% 3.3%
Top 6 Seed 51.7% 54.9% 23.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.4% 98.6% 97.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.3% 98.4% 96.8%
Average Seed 6.2 6.1 7.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 13.1% 14.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.5%
First Round98.4% 98.5% 96.9%
Second Round72.0% 73.3% 61.0%
Sweet Sixteen31.9% 33.2% 20.3%
Elite Eight12.7% 13.2% 8.7%
Final Four4.8% 4.9% 3.7%
Championship Game1.8% 1.8% 1.3%
National Champion0.6% 0.6% 0.1%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 90.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 15 - 3
Quad 28 - 213 - 5
Quad 39 - 122 - 6
Quad 45 - 027 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 300   Charleston Southern W 91-64 99%     1 - 0 +16.4 +13.6 +2.8
  Nov 08, 2024 328   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 99%     2 - 0 +13.1 +5.8 +6.6
  Nov 12, 2024 197   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 96%     3 - 0 +8.3 +3.5 +5.9
  Nov 17, 2024 51   @ Boise St. L 71-84 60%     3 - 1 +0.9 +3.7 -2.7
  Nov 21, 2024 177   Radford W 79-51 96%     4 - 1 +24.4 +9.6 +17.3
  Nov 25, 2024 71   San Francisco W 70-55 79%     5 - 1 +23.0 +11.6 +13.4
  Nov 26, 2024 60   Penn St. W 75-67 76%     6 - 1 +17.0 +6.9 +10.2
  Nov 29, 2024 324   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +15.5 +11.6 +5.5
  Dec 03, 2024 18   Kentucky W 70-66 61%     8 - 1 +17.8 +2.5 +15.4
  Dec 07, 2024 171   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 90%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +12.2 +0.3 +13.6
  Dec 14, 2024 49   Memphis L 82-87 OT 77%     9 - 2 +3.7 +9.3 -5.3
  Dec 17, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 88-91 OT 71%     9 - 3 +7.7 +15.8 -7.8
  Dec 21, 2024 64   Wake Forest W 73-62 84%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +16.9 +4.7 +12.2
  Jan 01, 2025 80   Stanford W 85-71 87%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +18.2 +15.3 +3.1
  Jan 04, 2025 107   California W 80-68 92%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +12.9 +18.1 -3.5
  Jan 07, 2025 23   @ Louisville L 64-74 43%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +8.3 +4.0 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2025 85   Florida St. W 77-57 88%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +23.8 +16.3 +9.9
  Jan 14, 2025 92   @ Georgia Tech W 70-59 78%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +19.4 +8.2 +12.0
  Jan 18, 2025 58   @ Pittsburgh W 78-75 OT 65%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +15.4 +19.4 -3.6
  Jan 22, 2025 109   Syracuse W 86-72 92%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +14.9 +20.7 -4.5
  Jan 25, 2025 119   @ Virginia Tech W 72-57 85%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +20.5 +12.8 +10.0
  Feb 01, 2025 106   @ North Carolina St. W 68-58 83%     18 - 4 10 - 1 +16.4 +8.5 +9.3
  Feb 04, 2025 92   Georgia Tech L 86-89 3OT 89%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +0.0 +1.3 -0.7
  Feb 08, 2025 1   Duke W 77-71 25%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +29.6 +23.3 +7.0
  Feb 10, 2025 37   North Carolina W 85-65 74%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +29.9 +15.2 +14.7
  Feb 15, 2025 85   @ Florida St. W 72-46 76%     21 - 5 13 - 2 +35.2 +11.3 +26.3
  Feb 22, 2025 43   @ SMU W 79-69 58%     22 - 5 14 - 2 +24.5 +21.6 +4.2
  Feb 26, 2025 94   Notre Dame W 83-68 89%     23 - 5 15 - 2 +17.9 +18.1 +1.3
  Mar 01, 2025 97   @ Virginia W 71-58 79%     24 - 5 16 - 2 +21.2 +10.5 +12.3
  Mar 05, 2025 167   @ Boston College W 75-61 90%    
  Mar 08, 2025 119   Virginia Tech W 76-60 94%    
Projected Record 26 - 5 18 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 13.1 13.1 1st
2nd 2.8 71.6 74.4 2nd
3rd 0.9 11.6 12.4 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.9 14.4 84.7 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 15.5% 13.1    2.6 10.6
17-3 0.0%
16-4 0.0%
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 13.1% 13.1 2.6 10.6



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 84.7% 98.6% 9.6% 89.0% 6.0 0.1 1.3 5.9 11.0 14.6 15.2 16.9 12.0 5.7 0.8 0.0 1.2 98.5%
17-3 14.4% 97.5% 8.8% 88.7% 7.4 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.9 3.1 3.9 2.6 0.8 0.0 0.4 97.3%
16-4 0.9% 91.8% 5.9% 85.9% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.3%
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 98.4% 9.5% 89.0% 6.2 0.1 1.3 5.9 11.4 15.9 17.2 20.2 16.2 8.5 1.7 0.1 1.6 98.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.2% 100.0% 3.6 0.7 11.2 35.1 35.5 12.6 4.4 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 27.8% 99.7% 5.3 0.0 1.1 8.3 20.4 27.8 22.6 15.1 4.0 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 29.3% 98.4% 6.5 0.2 2.1 7.4 14.8 20.5 25.9 19.0 7.6 0.9 0.1
Lose Out 0.3% 87.1% 9.4 22.6 16.1 38.7 9.7