North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#200
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#158
Pace66.6#261
Improvement+3.1#20

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#198
First Shot-6.3#334
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#8
Layup/Dunks-1.1#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#227
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#263
Freethrows-1.7#274
Improvement+1.2#86

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#207
First Shot-0.3#182
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#250
Layups/Dunks-1.7#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#244
Freethrows+2.1#65
Improvement+1.9#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 15.7% 11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 68.0% 78.1% 56.7%
.500 or above in Conference 80.1% 83.8% 76.0%
Conference Champion 15.9% 18.9% 12.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.9% 1.8%
First Four1.1% 0.8% 1.4%
First Round13.0% 15.4% 10.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Away) - 52.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 64 - 8
Quad 412 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 81 @Mississippi St. L 62-86 12%     0 - 1 -13.8 -7.7 -5.6
  Tue, Nov 11 302 Northwestern St. W 87-83 OT 79%     1 - 1 -6.8 +1.7 -8.8
  Sat, Nov 15 115 East Tennessee St. L 74-78 39%     1 - 2 -3.6 +3.4 -7.1
  Mon, Nov 17 33 @Clemson L 61-81 5%     1 - 3 -3.7 +2.4 -8.3
  Sat, Nov 22 209 @Chattanooga L 57-71 41%     1 - 4 -14.0 -8.3 -8.0
  Mon, Dec 1 238 @Jacksonville St. W 73-66 46%     2 - 4 +5.5 +7.0 -1.1
  Wed, Dec 3 99 @San Francisco W 65-63 16%     3 - 4 +10.0 +1.2 +8.9
  Mon, Dec 15 266 @Alabama A&M W 69-68 53%    
  Fri, Dec 19 143 @Loyola Marymount L 65-72 26%    
  Thu, Jan 1 348 Stetson W 78-66 88%    
  Sat, Jan 3 177 Florida Gulf Coast W 76-74 57%    
  Thu, Jan 8 258 @Eastern Kentucky L 75-76 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 292 @Bellarmine W 75-73 57%    
  Thu, Jan 15 343 North Florida W 85-73 86%    
  Sat, Jan 17 275 Jacksonville W 72-65 73%    
  Wed, Jan 21 199 @Queens L 75-78 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 273 Central Arkansas W 75-68 73%    
  Thu, Jan 29 177 @Florida Gulf Coast L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 348 @Stetson W 75-69 71%    
  Wed, Feb 4 273 @Central Arkansas W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 182 @Austin Peay L 69-73 36%    
  Wed, Feb 11 285 West Georgia W 75-68 73%    
  Sat, Feb 14 258 Eastern Kentucky W 79-73 70%    
  Wed, Feb 18 199 Queens W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 164 @Lipscomb L 70-75 34%    
  Wed, Feb 25 292 Bellarmine W 78-70 75%    
  Sat, Feb 28 285 @West Georgia W 72-71 54%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.9 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 15.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.1 5.9 3.3 0.9 0.1 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 4.1 5.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.5 3.6 5.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 5.4 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.8 2.8 0.3 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.4 2.7 0.4 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.9 3.4 5.5 8.1 10.9 13.1 13.9 13.3 11.5 8.7 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 94.3% 2.4    2.1 0.3
15-3 81.6% 4.0    3.0 1.0 0.1
14-4 56.8% 4.9    2.4 2.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 22.6% 2.6    0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1
12-6 5.5% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.9% 15.9 9.3 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 56.7% 56.7% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 41.2% 41.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.6% 34.1% 34.1% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.7
15-3 5.0% 31.4% 31.4% 13.9 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 3.4
14-4 8.7% 24.9% 24.9% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.1 6.5
13-5 11.5% 20.0% 20.0% 14.6 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.2 9.2
12-6 13.3% 15.4% 15.4% 14.9 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 11.3
11-7 13.9% 12.3% 12.3% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 12.2
10-8 13.1% 9.8% 9.8% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.7 11.8
9-9 10.9% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.1 0.5 10.3
8-10 8.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.9
7-11 5.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 5.3
6-12 3.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 3.3
5-13 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-14 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.5% 13.5% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.6 5.2 2.9 86.5 0.0%