North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#343
Expected Predictive Rating-17.2#355
Pace78.6#17
Improvement+0.0#186

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#257
First Shot-2.2#237
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#246
Layup/Dunks-5.0#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#214
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.5#9
Freethrows-5.0#358
Improvement-0.2#200

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#359
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebounds-6.8#365
Layups/Dunks-5.6#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#70
Freethrows+0.3#165
Improvement+0.2#161
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 11.1% 10.0% 11.1%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 36.3% 20.0% 36.3%
First Four0.6% 0.0% 0.6%
First Round0.4% 0.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 45 - 116 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 15 @Florida L 64-104 1%     0 - 1 -19.2 -5.7 -8.5
  Wed, Nov 12 16 @Tennessee L 66-99 1%     0 - 2 -12.8 -1.7 -8.5
  Wed, Nov 19 208 @Wofford L 78-86 15%     0 - 3 -8.0 +1.5 -9.1
  Sat, Nov 22 219 Southern Miss L 83-92 23%     0 - 4 -12.6 +5.0 -17.3
  Sun, Nov 23 322 Prairie View L 82-85 42%     0 - 5 -12.2 +2.5 -14.5
  Tue, Dec 2 206 SIU Edwardsville L 63-72 30%     0 - 6 -14.8 -5.3 -10.1
  Sun, Dec 7 4 @Gonzaga L 66-102 0.1%   
  Sat, Dec 13 67 @Dayton L 68-91 2%    
  Thu, Dec 18 288 @Charleston Southern L 78-85 25%    
  Sun, Dec 21 34 @Miami (FL) L 68-95 0.5%   
  Sun, Dec 28 140 Columbia L 77-87 18%    
  Thu, Jan 1 182 @Austin Peay L 73-86 12%    
  Sat, Jan 3 164 @Lipscomb L 74-88 11%    
  Thu, Jan 8 285 West Georgia L 79-81 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 199 Queens L 83-89 30%    
  Thu, Jan 15 200 @North Alabama L 73-85 14%    
  Sat, Jan 17 273 @Central Arkansas L 75-83 24%    
  Thu, Jan 22 258 Eastern Kentucky L 83-86 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 292 Bellarmine L 82-83 47%    
  Thu, Jan 29 348 Stetson W 82-79 63%    
  Sat, Jan 31 164 Lipscomb L 77-85 25%    
  Thu, Feb 5 285 @West Georgia L 76-84 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 199 @Queens L 80-92 14%    
  Wed, Feb 11 177 @Florida Gulf Coast L 78-91 13%    
  Sat, Feb 14 275 @Jacksonville L 73-81 25%    
  Thu, Feb 19 182 Austin Peay L 76-83 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 348 @Stetson L 79-82 42%    
  Thu, Feb 26 177 Florida Gulf Coast L 81-88 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 275 Jacksonville L 76-78 43%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 3.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.9 5.5 4.0 0.7 0.0 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.4 5.2 1.1 0.1 16.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 4.8 7.6 5.7 1.7 0.1 21.1 11th
12th 1.2 4.1 7.1 7.4 4.2 1.0 0.1 25.0 12th
Total 1.2 4.2 8.4 12.6 14.7 15.1 14.2 10.7 7.9 4.9 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 73.1% 0.1    0.1 0.1
13-5 32.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.2% 17.3% 17.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 11.3% 11.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.9% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8
11-7 1.8% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.1 1.7
10-8 3.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 2.8
9-9 4.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 4.8
8-10 7.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.8
7-11 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-12 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 15.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.0
4-14 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.7
3-15 12.6% 12.6
2-16 8.4% 8.4
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%