Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
146 Montana St. 20.9%   15 - 13 12 - 6 +1.0      +0.4 153 +0.6 150 65.2 267 -0.2 159 +1.0 2
149 Northern Colorado 16.7%   17 - 11 10 - 8 +0.6      +1.0 139 -0.4 189 70.8 115 +0.4 151 -1.7 6
153 Portland St. 24.4%   14   16 - 10 13 - 5 +0.3      -4.2 282 +4.6 57 68.9 168 +1.1 143 +2.7 1
173 Eastern Washington 10.7%   12 - 18 11 - 7 -1.0      +2.2 110 -3.2 268 68.9 169 -3.0 218 -0.2 3
181 Idaho 6.3%   14 - 14 9 - 9 -1.4      -0.4 176 -1.0 207 68.1 189 -1.8 191 -2.8 7
206 Montana 9.9%   13 - 14 10 - 8 -2.4      -2.7 243 +0.3 158 72.0 88 -1.9 193 -1.4 5
211 Weber St. 8.6%   14 - 15 10 - 8 -2.8      +1.0 138 -3.8 287 70.6 119 -2.8 213 -1.3 4
266 Idaho St. 1.7%   9 - 19 5 - 13 -5.9      -0.5 177 -5.5 319 63.9 301 -6.0 256 -8.0 9
272 Sacramento St. 0.6%   7 - 20 6 - 12 -6.2      -1.5 206 -4.6 311 77.5 14 -7.0 278 -6.4 8
317 Northern Arizona 0.2%   7 - 21 4 - 14 -9.6      -1.9 223 -7.7 351 61.7 343 -8.4 299 -9.2 10


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Mar 2 173 Eastern Washington 81 181 Idaho 85   
Mon, Mar 2 206 Montana 57 149 Northern Colorado 85   
Mon, Mar 2 146 Montana St. 76 317 Northern Arizona 65   
Mon, Mar 2 153 Portland St. 84 211 Weber St. 60   
Mon, Mar 2 266 Idaho St. 65 272 Sacramento St. 83   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Mar 7 181 Idaho 83 272 Sacramento St. 78 68%   
Sat, Mar 7 266 Idaho St. 75 317 Northern Arizona 71 64%   
Mon, Mar 9 173 Eastern Washington 82 211 Weber St. 80 57%   
Mon, Mar 9 206 Montana 75 149 Northern Colorado 78 61%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Portland St. 1.0 100.0
Montana St. 2.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 3.0 100.0
Montana 4.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 4.0 100.0
Weber St. 4.0 100.0
Idaho 7.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 8.0 100.0
Idaho St. 9.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 10.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Portland St. 13 - 5 16 - 10 100.0
Montana St. 12 - 6 15 - 13 100.0
Eastern Washington 11 - 7 13 - 18 100.0
Montana 10 - 8 13 - 15 100.0
Northern Colorado 10 - 8 18 - 11 100.0
Weber St. 10 - 8 14 - 16 100.0
Idaho 9 - 9 15 - 14 100.0
Sacramento St. 6 - 12 7 - 21 100.0
Idaho St. 5 - 13 10 - 19 100.0
Northern Arizona 4 - 14 7 - 22 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Portland St. 100.0% 100.0
Montana St.
Eastern Washington
Montana
Northern Colorado
Weber St.
Idaho
Sacramento St.
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana St. 20.9% 20.9% 0.0% 0.2 4.0 12.8 3.9 0.0 79.1 0.0%
Northern Colorado 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 0.7 9.0 6.7 0.4 83.3 0.0%
Portland St. 24.4% 24.4% 0.0% 14   0.2 5.1 14.5 4.6 0.0 75.6 0.0%
Eastern Washington 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 0.1 10.6 89.3 0.0%
Idaho 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 0.2 2.8 3.3 0.1 93.7 0.0%
Montana 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 0.7 8.5 0.7 90.1 0.0%
Weber St. 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 0.2 7.2 1.2 91.4 0.0%
Idaho St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6 99.4 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.1% 1.0 3.9 96.1
2nd Round 2.3% 0.0 97.8 2.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 20.9% 0.0% 20.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 16.7% 0.0% 16.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 24.4% 0.0% 24.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 10.7% 9.2% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 6.3% 0.0% 6.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 9.9% 0.0% 9.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 8.6% 0.1% 8.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%