Bellarmine
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#292
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#261
Pace66.1#273
Improvement+1.9#55

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#163
First Shot+4.0#72
After Offensive Rebound-4.1#352
Layup/Dunks+6.7#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#305
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#224
Freethrows+1.1#120
Improvement+0.0#184

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#355
First Shot-8.4#364
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#105
Layups/Dunks-2.5#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#342
Freethrows-0.5#225
Improvement+1.9#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.7% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 13.0% 21.0% 7.2%
.500 or above in Conference 35.5% 42.7% 30.4%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.1% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 8.1% 13.6%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 1.4%
First Round2.2% 3.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 410 - 811 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 19 @Georgia L 59-104 2%     0 - 1 -26.5 -10.8 -11.9
  Sat, Nov 8 82 @Kansas St. L 71-98 7%     0 - 2 -17.3 +1.0 -17.9
  Sat, Nov 15 247 Wofford L 86-94 52%     0 - 3 -15.7 +8.4 -24.1
  Wed, Nov 19 58 @Notre Dame L 79-86 4%     0 - 4 +5.5 +12.9 -7.4
  Mon, Nov 24 363 @The Citadel W 70-58 68%     1 - 4 -0.1 +0.3 +1.6
  Tue, Nov 25 263 Houston Christian W 74-69 43%     2 - 4 -0.5 +7.7 -7.5
  Sat, Dec 6 111 @Murray St. L 68-81 10%     2 - 5 -6.3 +1.7 -8.9
  Sat, Dec 13 192 Northern Kentucky L 75-77 42%    
  Wed, Dec 17 222 Chattanooga L 73-74 48%    
  Tue, Dec 23 21 @Kentucky L 65-90 1%    
  Thu, Jan 1 318 @West Georgia L 74-75 44%    
  Sat, Jan 3 196 @Queens L 76-84 23%    
  Thu, Jan 8 279 Central Arkansas W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 200 North Alabama L 73-75 43%    
  Thu, Jan 15 161 @Lipscomb L 71-81 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 269 @Eastern Kentucky L 77-82 34%    
  Thu, Jan 22 291 @Jacksonville L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 344 @North Florida W 83-82 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 318 West Georgia W 77-72 66%    
  Sat, Jan 31 196 Queens L 79-81 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 347 Stetson W 79-71 76%    
  Sat, Feb 7 174 Florida Gulf Coast L 77-80 39%    
  Thu, Feb 12 279 @Central Arkansas L 72-76 35%    
  Sat, Feb 14 180 @Austin Peay L 69-78 22%    
  Thu, Feb 19 161 Lipscomb L 74-78 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 269 Eastern Kentucky W 80-79 55%    
  Wed, Feb 25 200 @North Alabama L 70-78 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 180 Austin Peay L 72-75 40%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.9 0.8 0.1 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.4 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 2.0 0.2 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.6 3.0 0.3 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 5.7 4.0 0.7 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 12.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 4.2 1.0 0.0 12.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.7 2.9 0.9 0.1 10.2 11th
12th 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.3 12th
Total 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.4 7.5 10.0 12.8 13.9 13.0 11.6 9.1 6.8 4.1 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 87.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 61.1% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 27.7% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 32.7% 32.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 23.2% 23.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.1% 19.9% 19.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.3% 12.1% 12.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.1
12-6 4.1% 10.4% 10.4% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.6
11-7 6.8% 6.6% 6.6% 15.7 0.1 0.3 6.3
10-8 9.1% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.7
9-9 11.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.1
8-10 13.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.8
7-11 13.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.7
6-12 12.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.7
5-13 10.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.0
4-14 7.5% 7.5
3-15 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-16 2.0% 2.0
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%