Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#189
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#153
Pace65.8#265
Improvement+0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#217
First Shot-0.4#179
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#264
Layup/Dunks+0.9#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#361
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#93
Freethrows+0.5#150
Improvement+0.4#155

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#159
First Shot-0.6#185
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#114
Layups/Dunks+3.1#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#270
Freethrows-1.0#253
Improvement-0.2#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 12.2
.500 or above 25.8% 36.6% 14.5%
.500 or above in Conference 23.9% 28.3% 19.3%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 4.2% 6.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 51.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 33 - 45 - 14
Quad 48 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 63   UC Irvine L 51-66 25%     0 - 1 -9.3 -14.1 +4.6
  Nov 16, 2024 135   @ Saint Louis L 71-77 29%     0 - 2 -1.6 -3.2 +1.6
  Nov 22, 2024 302   North Dakota L 73-77 81%     0 - 3 -14.6 -9.5 -4.9
  Nov 26, 2024 129   Belmont W 77-63 37%     1 - 3 +15.9 -0.7 +16.0
  Nov 27, 2024 187   Wyoming W 73-70 50%     2 - 3 +1.7 +4.6 -2.7
  Dec 04, 2024 108   @ Colorado St. L 54-83 21%     2 - 4 -21.9 -12.4 -10.1
  Dec 07, 2024 54   Nevada W 68-64 22%     3 - 4 +10.9 +6.7 +4.7
  Dec 14, 2024 340   Prairie View W 76-75 88%     4 - 4 -13.2 -7.7 -5.4
  Dec 18, 2024 136   UC Santa Barbara W 71-70 51%    
  Dec 20, 2024 223   Southern W 70-65 67%    
  Dec 22, 2024 193   North Alabama W 71-68 62%    
  Dec 28, 2024 56   @ San Francisco L 61-75 10%    
  Dec 30, 2024 68   Washington St. L 67-76 19%    
  Jan 02, 2025 67   Oregon St. L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 3   Gonzaga L 64-83 4%    
  Jan 07, 2025 41   @ St. Mary's L 56-72 7%    
  Jan 11, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 15, 2025 78   Santa Clara L 69-74 30%    
  Jan 18, 2025 315   San Diego W 75-65 83%    
  Jan 22, 2025 264   @ Pacific W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 30, 2025 312   Portland W 75-65 81%    
  Feb 01, 2025 315   @ San Diego W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 3   @ Gonzaga L 61-86 1%    
  Feb 08, 2025 56   San Francisco L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 12, 2025 264   Pacific W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 312   @ Portland W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 19, 2025 78   @ Santa Clara L 66-77 15%    
  Feb 22, 2025 226   Pepperdine W 73-68 68%    
  Feb 27, 2025 41   St. Mary's L 59-69 19%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.4 1.1 0.1 7.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.2 6.0 2.1 0.1 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 6.0 11.5 9.0 2.8 0.2 30.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 6.3 8.7 4.6 0.8 0.0 21.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.4 5.1 1.5 0.2 11.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.9 7.9 12.8 16.4 17.9 15.4 11.4 6.9 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 16.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 10.0% 5.0% 5.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 5.3%
14-4 0.1% 1.5% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 1.5
11-7 3.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5
10-8 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 6.9
9-9 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 11.4
8-10 15.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 15.4
7-11 17.9% 17.9
6-12 16.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 16.4
5-13 12.8% 12.8
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%