Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#264
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#267
Pace69.9#154
Improvement-0.1#199

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#305
First Shot-4.2#301
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#204
Layup/Dunks+1.0#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#237
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#325
Freethrows+0.8#132
Improvement+0.0#174

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#202
First Shot-2.8#270
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#60
Layups/Dunks-0.9#204
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#211
Freethrows-0.9#245
Improvement-0.1#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.8% 1.2% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 4.7% 5.6% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.8% 18.7% 24.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Home) - 62.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 20 - 51 - 12
Quad 32 - 52 - 17
Quad 47 - 49 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 185   San Jose St. W 80-67 33%     1 - 0 +11.8 +2.1 +9.2
  Nov 11, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 66-76 23%     1 - 1 -7.8 -3.7 -4.4
  Nov 14, 2024 286   Northern Arizona L 57-60 65%     1 - 2 -12.7 -19.1 +6.3
  Nov 18, 2024 29   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -3.2 +2.1 -3.9
  Nov 22, 2024 51   @ Missouri L 56-91 5%     1 - 4 -21.8 -8.5 -15.5
  Nov 27, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 91%     2 - 4 -8.2 -2.3 -5.8
  Nov 30, 2024 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 63%     3 - 4 -0.1 -5.9 +6.6
  Dec 02, 2024 73   @ Colorado L 66-75 7%     3 - 5 +1.5 -1.6 +3.3
  Dec 07, 2024 160   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 21%     3 - 6 -8.1 -5.6 -3.7
  Dec 14, 2024 113   @ UNLV L 65-72 13%     3 - 7 -0.5 -1.9 +1.0
  Dec 18, 2024 276   Portland St. W 75-72 63%    
  Dec 21, 2024 291   Idaho W 73-69 65%    
  Dec 28, 2024 41   @ St. Mary's L 55-75 3%    
  Dec 30, 2024 315   @ San Diego W 72-71 50%    
  Jan 02, 2025 56   San Francisco L 63-75 13%    
  Jan 04, 2025 226   Pepperdine W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 09, 2025 68   @ Washington St. L 65-82 6%    
  Jan 11, 2025 67   Oregon St. L 62-73 16%    
  Jan 16, 2025 312   @ Portland L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 22, 2025 189   Loyola Marymount L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 30, 2025 68   Washington St. L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 78   @ Santa Clara L 65-81 8%    
  Feb 06, 2025 315   San Diego W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 3   Gonzaga L 64-87 2%    
  Feb 12, 2025 189   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 67   @ Oregon St. L 59-76 7%    
  Feb 20, 2025 56   @ San Francisco L 60-78 5%    
  Feb 22, 2025 312   Portland W 75-69 69%    
  Mar 01, 2025 78   Santa Clara L 68-78 19%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.2 3.4 0.6 0.0 15.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.6 8.2 8.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 22.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 10.3 8.6 2.4 0.2 24.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.9 8.9 5.8 1.0 0.0 18.7 10th
11th 0.6 3.0 5.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.7 11th
Total 0.6 3.1 8.0 14.2 18.1 18.6 15.6 10.9 6.2 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.4% 0.4
10-8 1.2% 1.2
9-9 2.9% 2.9
8-10 6.2% 6.2
7-11 10.9% 10.9
6-12 15.6% 15.6
5-13 18.6% 18.6
4-14 18.1% 18.1
3-15 14.2% 14.2
2-16 8.0% 8.0
1-17 3.1% 3.1
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%