Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#302
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#316
Pace68.5#186
Improvement-2.6#298

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#243
First Shot-2.2#235
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#220
Layup/Dunks+0.7#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#287
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement+3.4#29

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#326
First Shot-6.4#349
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#77
Layups/Dunks-1.2#216
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#298
Freethrows-1.4#280
Improvement-5.9#362
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 48.1% 28.6% 56.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Home) - 29.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 32 - 53 - 17
Quad 44 - 76 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 160   San Jose St. W 80-67 22%     1 - 0 +13.3 +2.8 +10.0
  Nov 11, 2024 181   @ Hawaii L 66-76 18%     1 - 1 -8.1 -4.1 -4.2
  Nov 14, 2024 264   Northern Arizona L 57-60 53%     1 - 2 -11.6 -17.4 +5.7
  Nov 18, 2024 46   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -5.2 +1.9 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2024 29   @ Missouri L 56-91 2%     1 - 4 -18.9 -7.6 -13.5
  Nov 27, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 89%     2 - 4 -9.2 -2.5 -6.7
  Nov 30, 2024 309   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 63%     3 - 4 -2.2 -7.5 +6.1
  Dec 02, 2024 94   @ Colorado L 66-75 7%     3 - 5 -0.2 -2.0 +1.9
  Dec 07, 2024 144   @ Illinois St. L 61-72 13%     3 - 6 -6.9 -6.5 -1.5
  Dec 14, 2024 99   @ UNLV L 65-72 8%     3 - 7 +0.7 -1.3 +1.6
  Dec 18, 2024 227   Portland St. L 75-81 45%     3 - 8 -12.5 -3.6 -8.5
  Dec 21, 2024 246   Idaho L 72-95 49%     3 - 9 -30.5 -3.3 -28.6
  Dec 28, 2024 35   @ St. Mary's L 60-70 3%     3 - 10 0 - 1 +5.4 +2.0 +2.2
  Dec 30, 2024 290   @ San Diego L 65-75 38%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -14.7 -7.1 -7.7
  Jan 02, 2025 75   San Francisco L 81-89 12%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -3.4 +18.0 -22.1
  Jan 04, 2025 203   Pepperdine L 70-87 38%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -21.9 -6.4 -15.0
  Jan 09, 2025 85   @ Washington St. W 95-94 OT 6%     4 - 13 1 - 4 +10.5 +13.7 -3.3
  Jan 11, 2025 70   Oregon St. L 55-91 12%     4 - 14 1 - 5 -30.9 -12.7 -20.8
  Jan 16, 2025 308   @ Portland L 81-84 OT 41%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -8.5 +2.6 -11.0
  Jan 22, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 203   @ Pepperdine L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 30, 2025 85   Washington St. L 71-83 14%    
  Feb 01, 2025 67   @ Santa Clara L 67-86 3%    
  Feb 06, 2025 290   San Diego W 75-73 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 14   Gonzaga L 69-91 2%    
  Feb 12, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-76 14%    
  Feb 15, 2025 70   @ Oregon St. L 63-81 4%    
  Feb 20, 2025 75   @ San Francisco L 64-82 5%    
  Feb 22, 2025 308   Portland W 77-74 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 67   Santa Clara L 69-83 11%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 7th
8th 1.3 3.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 6.2 14.9 7.1 0.9 0.0 29.2 9th
10th 7.3 19.7 7.0 0.5 0.0 34.6 10th
11th 6.7 15.1 5.7 0.3 27.8 11th
Total 6.7 22.4 31.6 23.6 11.4 3.5 0.7 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11 0.7% 0.7
6-12 3.5% 3.5
5-13 11.4% 11.4
4-14 23.6% 23.6
3-15 31.6% 31.6
2-16 22.4% 22.4
1-17 6.7% 6.7
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.7%