Idaho
Big Sky
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#282
Expected Predictive Rating-12.9#334
Pace66.4#265
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#293
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 9.1% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.8 15.5
.500 or above 15.6% 43.6% 14.9%
.500 or above in Conference 36.4% 61.1% 35.8%
Conference Champion 4.6% 11.2% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 20.6% 7.8% 20.9%
First Four2.1% 1.2% 2.1%
First Round3.7% 8.8% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 2.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 83 - 12
Quad 48 - 811 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 168   UC Davis L 75-79 39%     0 - 1 -7.3 +0.0 -7.2
  Nov 11, 2024 75   @ Washington St. L 67-90 7%     0 - 2 -12.4 -5.4 -5.9
  Nov 16, 2024 32   @ BYU L 63-84 2%    
  Nov 23, 2024 214   Southern Utah L 71-74 37%    
  Nov 24, 2024 277   @ San Diego L 71-74 38%    
  Nov 30, 2024 155   UC Riverside L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 04, 2024 205   @ UMKC L 65-72 27%    
  Dec 07, 2024 103   @ Oregon St. L 60-74 10%    
  Dec 15, 2024 132   UC San Diego L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 18, 2024 168   @ UC Davis L 67-76 22%    
  Dec 21, 2024 284   @ Pacific L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 02, 2025 165   Montana St. L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 04, 2025 218   Montana L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 09, 2025 296   @ Sacramento St. L 63-65 42%    
  Jan 11, 2025 209   @ Portland St. L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 18, 2025 228   Eastern Washington L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 20, 2025 218   @ Montana L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 23, 2025 192   Northern Colorado L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 288   Northern Arizona W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 30, 2025 233   @ Weber St. L 66-72 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 265   @ Idaho St. L 63-67 37%    
  Feb 06, 2025 209   Portland St. L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 296   Sacramento St. W 66-62 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 228   @ Eastern Washington L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 20, 2025 288   @ Northern Arizona L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 22, 2025 192   @ Northern Colorado L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 27, 2025 265   Idaho St. W 66-64 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 233   Weber St. W 69-68 50%    
  Mar 03, 2025 165   @ Montana St. L 68-77 22%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 4.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 5.7 2.5 0.3 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 3.1 5.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 5.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 14.2 9th
10th 0.3 1.3 2.9 3.9 3.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 13.9 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.2 5.4 7.8 10.2 11.6 12.0 11.7 10.2 8.6 6.5 4.8 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 91.9% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 69.1% 1.3    0.9 0.3 0.1
13-5 39.1% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 16.6% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 42.9% 42.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 33.7% 33.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 28.0% 28.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 1.8% 27.8% 27.8% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.3
13-5 3.1% 19.1% 19.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.5
12-6 4.8% 13.0% 13.0% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.1
11-7 6.5% 10.5% 10.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 5.9
10-8 8.6% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.1 0.5 8.0
9-9 10.2% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.7
8-10 11.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.3 11.3
7-11 12.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.9
6-12 11.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.5
5-13 10.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.1
4-14 7.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.8
3-15 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
2-16 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
1-17 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 3.0 95.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%