IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Idaho
Big Sky
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.5	#206
Expected Predictive Rating	+16.4	#6

Pace	66.0	#246
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.4	#118

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#309

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.4%	16.5%	10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	13.5	14.1

.500 or above	58.4%	73.9%	49.6%
.500 or above in Conference	68.5%	77.0%	63.7%
Conference Champion	16.8%	22.7%	13.4%
Last Place in Conference	5.9%	3.5%	7.2%

First Four	0.7%	0.6%	0.8%
First Round	12.4%	16.5%	10.1%
Second Round	0.7%	1.3%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 36.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 9
Quad 4	11 - 5	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	146	@ Washington St.	W	83-81	28%	1 - 0			+5.4	+9.0	-3.7
Nov 12, 2025	180	@ San Diego	L	75-79	36%
Nov 15, 2025	142	@ UC San Diego	L	67-73	29%
Nov 26, 2025	183	Cal St. Northridge	L	77-78	47%
Nov 28, 2025	200	Sam Houston St.	L	73-74	49%
Dec 03, 2025	316	North Dakota	W	80-71	79%
Dec 06, 2025	147	@ South Dakota St.	L	72-78	30%
Dec 10, 2025	60	@ Notre Dame	L	64-78	10%
Dec 21, 2025	272	@ Cal Poly	W	81-80	51%
Dec 23, 2025	250	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	71-72	48%
Jan 03, 2026	207	Eastern Washington	W	75-72	60%
Jan 08, 2026	192	Montana	W	74-71	59%
Jan 10, 2026	210	Montana St.	W	73-70	61%
Jan 14, 2026	288	Idaho St.	W	74-67	73%
Jan 17, 2026	283	@ Weber St.	W	71-70	54%
Jan 22, 2026	274	Sacramento St.	W	73-67	71%
Jan 24, 2026	199	Portland St.	W	73-70	60%
Jan 29, 2026	184	@ Northern Colorado	L	73-77	38%
Jan 31, 2026	263	@ Northern Arizona	L	72-73	50%
Feb 05, 2026	210	@ Montana St.	L	70-73	41%
Feb 07, 2026	192	@ Montana	L	71-74	39%
Feb 12, 2026	283	Weber St.	W	74-67	73%
Feb 14, 2026	288	Idaho St.	W	74-67	73%
Feb 19, 2026	199	@ Portland St.	L	70-73	39%
Feb 21, 2026	274	@ Sacramento St.	W	70-69	52%
Feb 26, 2026	263	Northern Arizona	W	76-70	69%
Feb 28, 2026	184	Northern Colorado	W	76-74	57%
Mar 02, 2026	207	@ Eastern Washington	L	72-75	41%
Projected Record						15 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.2	1.3	3.1	4.4	3.8	2.5	1.2	0.3		16.8	1st
2nd											0.2	2.0	4.9	4.7	2.3	0.5	0.1				14.8	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.5	5.4	3.8	1.3	0.2						13.5	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.3	5.2	3.3	0.7	0.0							11.8	4th
5th								0.1	2.0	4.9	2.9	0.5	0.0								10.4	5th
6th							0.2	1.7	4.5	2.8	0.5	0.0									9.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.3	3.7	2.4	0.4	0.0										8.0	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.2	2.7	2.0	0.3	0.0											6.5	8th
9th			0.1	0.4	1.3	1.9	1.3	0.2	0.0												5.1	9th
10th	0.0	0.3	0.5	1.1	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0													3.6	10th

Total	0.0	0.3	0.6	1.5	2.6	3.8	5.5	7.7	9.5	10.7	11.3	11.5	10.7	9.1	6.8	4.3	2.6	1.2	0.3			Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	1.2		1.2	0.0
16-2	97.3%	2.5		2.3	0.2
15-3	88.0%	3.8		3.1	0.7	0.0
14-4	63.8%	4.4		2.6	1.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	34.2%	3.1		1.2	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	11.7%	1.3		0.3	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	16.8%	16.8		11.0	4.5	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		59.1%	59.1%		11.0										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1
17-1	1.2%		43.6%	43.2%	0.4%	12.0												0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.7		0.7%
16-2	2.6%		46.6%	46.6%		12.5												0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0		1.4
15-3	4.3%		29.8%	29.8%		13.0												0.0	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.0		3.1
14-4	6.8%		29.7%	29.7%		13.5												0.0	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.2		4.8
13-5	9.1%		22.2%	22.2%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.1	7.1
12-6	10.7%		16.9%	16.9%		14.3													0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.1	8.9
11-7	11.5%		11.4%	11.4%		15.1													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.2	10.2
10-8	11.3%		8.9%	8.9%		16.3													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	10.3
9-9	10.7%		4.5%	4.5%		18.1														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	10.2
8-10	9.5%		3.2%	3.2%		17.4															0.0	0.1	0.2	9.2
7-11	7.7%		1.7%	1.7%		17.1																0.0	0.1	7.6
6-12	5.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
5-13	3.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.8
4-14	2.6%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	2.6
3-15	1.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		12.4%	12.4%	0.0%	14.2										0.0	0.0	0.4	1.7	3.2	3.4	2.7	1.4	87.6		0.0%