Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#237
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#270
Pace64.4#293
Improvement-1.6#252

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#187
First Shot-1.3#211
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#117
Layup/Dunks-0.1#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#215
Freethrows-0.2#186
Improvement+0.1#173

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#292
First Shot-2.2#247
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#321
Layups/Dunks-2.4#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#218
Freethrows-2.0#311
Improvement-1.7#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 8.3% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 6.6% 12.8% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 38.2% 56.5% 28.0%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.4% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 4.2% 11.8%
First Four4.9% 4.8% 5.0%
First Round4.9% 6.5% 4.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Away) - 35.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 48 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 70   @ Oregon St. L 48-76 9%     0 - 1 -17.4 -16.7 -3.2
  Nov 13, 2024 68   @ Nevada L 58-88 9%     0 - 2 -19.1 -4.4 -17.4
  Nov 17, 2024 181   @ Hawaii L 68-73 OT 27%     0 - 3 -3.1 -4.3 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 87-93 16%     0 - 4 +0.5 +15.1 -14.1
  Nov 29, 2024 285   Bowling Green W 73-70 61%     1 - 4 -4.1 -2.5 -1.7
  Nov 30, 2024 203   Pepperdine W 68-53 41%     2 - 4 +12.9 -4.6 +17.7
  Dec 04, 2024 112   North Dakota St. L 73-77 32%     2 - 5 -3.6 +5.4 -9.6
  Dec 07, 2024 277   @ North Dakota L 75-80 48%     2 - 6 -8.8 +0.6 -9.6
  Dec 13, 2024 284   @ Utah Tech W 73-71 50%     3 - 6 -2.4 +8.4 -10.5
  Dec 21, 2024 140   Utah Valley L 62-64 38%     3 - 7 -3.2 +3.0 -6.6
  Dec 29, 2024 28   @ Oregon L 49-89 4%     3 - 8 -23.9 -15.9 -7.9
  Jan 02, 2025 166   @ Northern Colorado L 72-89 25%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -14.4 -1.8 -12.7
  Jan 04, 2025 264   @ Northern Arizona L 77-80 45%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -6.1 +7.2 -13.5
  Jan 11, 2025 217   @ Idaho St. W 77-69 35%     4 - 10 1 - 2 +7.6 +9.4 -1.2
  Jan 16, 2025 226   Montana L 59-63 58%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -10.4 -8.0 -3.1
  Jan 18, 2025 180   Montana St. L 71-80 47%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -12.6 -0.4 -12.6
  Jan 23, 2025 227   @ Portland St. L 70-73 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 337   @ Sacramento St. W 67-63 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 246   Idaho W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 257   Eastern Washington W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 03, 2025 264   Northern Arizona W 75-71 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 217   Idaho St. W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 13, 2025 180   @ Montana St. L 68-74 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 226   @ Montana L 71-74 36%    
  Feb 20, 2025 337   Sacramento St. W 70-60 82%    
  Feb 22, 2025 227   Portland St. W 73-71 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 257   @ Eastern Washington L 73-75 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 246   @ Idaho L 72-74 41%    
  Mar 03, 2025 166   Northern Colorado L 76-77 45%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.2 0.6 7.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 5.1 1.0 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 7.5 2.0 0.1 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 7.6 4.6 0.2 14.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 6.8 6.7 0.7 15.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 6.7 7.0 1.4 0.0 16.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 5.0 5.0 1.4 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.7 1.2 0.3 4.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.5 7.8 13.2 17.0 18.5 16.7 11.3 6.9 2.6 0.7 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 84.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 50.8% 0.3    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 17.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.7% 26.2% 26.2% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
12-6 2.6% 19.5% 19.5% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 2.1
11-7 6.9% 14.0% 14.0% 15.6 0.4 0.6 5.9
10-8 11.3% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2 10.1
9-9 16.7% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.7 15.0
8-10 18.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 1.0 17.6
7-11 17.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 16.5
6-12 13.2% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 12.7
5-13 7.8% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 7.6
4-14 3.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.4
3-15 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.8 93.2 0.0%