Colorado
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#73
Expected Predictive Rating+15.1#31
Pace68.9#183
Improvement+0.4#156

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#92
First Shot+1.4#134
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#82
Layup/Dunks+1.6#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#144
Freethrows+1.0#114
Improvement+1.2#89

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#69
First Shot+2.2#107
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#48
Layups/Dunks+2.9#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#280
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#265
Freethrows+2.4#46
Improvement-0.8#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.2% 3.3% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.8% 25.1% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.5% 24.9% 11.4%
Average Seed 8.9 8.9 9.6
.500 or above 58.3% 59.0% 31.1%
.500 or above in Conference 19.7% 19.9% 11.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.8% 16.6% 26.3%
First Four6.2% 6.2% 4.1%
First Round21.3% 21.6% 9.0%
Second Round9.2% 9.3% 3.6%
Sweet Sixteen2.2% 2.3% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 97.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 12
Quad 24 - 37 - 15
Quad 33 - 011 - 16
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 251   Eastern Washington W 76-56 92%     1 - 0 +11.9 -4.2 +16.0
  Nov 08, 2024 192   Northern Colorado W 90-88 2OT 87%     2 - 0 -2.5 -4.3 +1.4
  Nov 13, 2024 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 83-53 93%     3 - 0 +20.9 +11.2 +11.1
  Nov 17, 2024 232   Harvard W 88-66 90%     4 - 0 +15.2 +14.6 +0.8
  Nov 25, 2024 14   Michigan St. L 56-72 23%     4 - 1 -0.7 -7.8 +6.8
  Nov 26, 2024 9   Connecticut W 73-72 18%     5 - 1 +18.5 +15.6 +3.0
  Nov 27, 2024 5   Iowa St. L 71-99 13%     5 - 2 -8.5 +3.4 -10.6
  Dec 02, 2024 264   Pacific W 75-66 93%     6 - 2 +0.4 -1.1 +1.4
  Dec 07, 2024 108   Colorado St. W 72-55 73%     7 - 2 +18.1 +0.8 +17.1
  Dec 13, 2024 123   South Dakota St. W 81-70 78%     8 - 2 +10.5 +14.4 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2024 333   Bellarmine W 84-63 98%    
  Dec 30, 2024 5   Iowa St. L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 04, 2025 61   @ Arizona St. L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 08, 2025 82   @ Central Florida L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 12, 2025 42   West Virginia L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 15, 2025 27   Cincinnati L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 85   @ Oklahoma St. L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 21, 2025 44   BYU L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 21   @ Arizona L 72-82 19%    
  Jan 28, 2025 61   Arizona St. W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 02, 2025 86   @ TCU L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 05, 2025 66   @ Utah L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 6   Houston L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 11, 2025 10   @ Kansas L 66-79 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 82   Central Florida W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 18, 2025 5   @ Iowa St. L 67-82 9%    
  Feb 22, 2025 12   Baylor L 70-75 31%    
  Feb 24, 2025 10   Kansas L 69-76 27%    
  Mar 02, 2025 64   @ Kansas St. L 70-74 36%    
  Mar 05, 2025 25   @ Texas Tech L 67-76 20%    
  Mar 08, 2025 86   TCU W 72-68 65%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.9 0.1 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.3 0.8 0.0 9.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.1 1.8 0.1 10.1 12th
13th 0.2 1.9 5.3 3.0 0.3 0.0 10.6 13th
14th 0.1 1.6 4.8 3.9 0.7 0.0 11.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.2 3.8 1.0 0.1 10.9 15th
16th 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.9 16th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.1 8.4 11.6 13.7 13.9 13.1 11.0 8.0 5.3 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 58.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 27.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 9.2% 90.8% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 100.0% 5.3% 94.7% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.8% 100.0% 4.8% 95.2% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.7% 99.5% 2.3% 97.2% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
12-8 3.4% 97.7% 1.7% 96.0% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 97.6%
11-9 5.3% 91.5% 1.0% 90.4% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.5 91.4%
10-10 8.0% 78.5% 0.6% 77.9% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.0 1.1 0.0 1.7 78.4%
9-11 11.0% 45.9% 0.3% 45.6% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 0.3 6.0 45.7%
8-12 13.1% 15.4% 0.2% 15.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.4 11.1 15.2%
7-13 13.9% 1.8% 0.0% 1.7% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.6 1.7%
6-14 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.7 0.0%
5-15 11.6% 11.6
4-16 8.4% 8.4
3-17 5.1% 5.1
2-18 2.6% 2.6
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 24.8% 0.4% 24.4% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.7 4.3 4.5 5.7 0.8 75.2 24.5%