UNLV
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#99
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#78
Pace64.0#300
Improvement+0.1#172

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#95
First Shot+2.4#110
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#135
Layup/Dunks+0.3#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows+1.4#96
Improvement-0.4#203

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#122
First Shot+3.2#83
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#300
Layups/Dunks+2.8#76
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#254
Freethrows+1.1#106
Improvement+0.5#155
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.2% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.5 11.5 11.8
.500 or above 87.8% 91.9% 70.8%
.500 or above in Conference 86.4% 90.8% 68.0%
Conference Champion 3.6% 4.1% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round3.8% 4.0% 2.9%
Second Round0.7% 0.7% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wyoming (Home) - 80.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 7
Quad 23 - 55 - 13
Quad 34 - 19 - 14
Quad 410 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 299   Alabama St. W 93-79 92%     1 - 0 +3.5 +13.8 -10.2
  Nov 09, 2024 43   Memphis L 74-80 35%     1 - 1 +2.8 +4.7 -1.8
  Nov 14, 2024 222   Nebraska Omaha W 80-69 85%     2 - 1 +4.9 -1.0 +5.4
  Nov 20, 2024 203   Pepperdine W 80-59 82%     3 - 1 +16.1 +12.3 +5.7
  Nov 23, 2024 128   New Mexico St. W 72-65 70%     4 - 1 +6.5 +4.5 +2.5
  Nov 28, 2024 23   Mississippi St. L 58-80 17%     4 - 2 -6.9 -5.5 -2.6
  Nov 29, 2024 55   Northwestern L 61-66 31%     4 - 3 +5.1 +2.6 +1.8
  Dec 07, 2024 33   @ Creighton L 65-83 16%     4 - 4 -2.3 +3.4 -6.7
  Dec 14, 2024 302   Pacific W 72-65 92%     5 - 4 -3.6 -3.5 +0.3
  Dec 17, 2024 78   @ Dayton L 65-66 31%     5 - 5 +9.0 +6.5 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2024 175   UC Riverside W 66-53 78%     6 - 5 +9.7 -0.7 +11.9
  Dec 28, 2024 254   Fresno St. W 87-77 88%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +2.0 +12.8 -10.7
  Dec 31, 2024 275   @ Air Force W 77-58 79%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +15.3 +3.3 +12.1
  Jan 04, 2025 160   San Jose St. W 79-73 76%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +3.5 +10.9 -6.7
  Jan 07, 2025 57   @ Boise St. L 59-81 23%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -9.5 -4.8 -6.2
  Jan 11, 2025 76   @ Colorado St. L 62-84 31%     9 - 7 3 - 2 -12.0 +0.5 -14.3
  Jan 15, 2025 54   Utah St. W 65-62 40%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +10.5 +4.2 +6.7
  Jan 18, 2025 47   @ San Diego St. W 76-68 20%     11 - 7 5 - 2 +21.6 +11.3 +10.1
  Jan 21, 2025 186   Wyoming W 72-63 81%    
  Jan 25, 2025 53   New Mexico L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 29, 2025 54   @ Utah St. L 69-77 21%    
  Feb 01, 2025 68   @ Nevada L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 04, 2025 57   Boise St. L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 186   @ Wyoming W 69-66 62%    
  Feb 11, 2025 275   Air Force W 72-58 91%    
  Feb 15, 2025 254   @ Fresno St. W 78-71 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 76   Colorado St. W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 25, 2025 160   @ San Jose St. W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 28, 2025 68   Nevada L 66-67 50%    
  Mar 04, 2025 47   San Diego St. L 64-67 39%    
  Mar 07, 2025 53   @ New Mexico L 70-78 21%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.6 3.5 2.7 0.4 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.5 4.9 4.5 0.5 10.5 3rd
4th 0.7 5.4 7.7 1.1 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 6.4 9.8 2.3 0.0 19.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 7.9 10.2 3.8 0.1 23.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.4 6.1 6.3 2.2 0.2 17.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.6 0.2 2.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.2 0.9 4.0 8.6 15.4 19.5 19.6 15.7 9.5 4.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 79.2% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.1
15-5 32.4% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.1% 0.4    0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 45.2% 29.0% 16.1% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 22.7%
16-4 1.7% 16.1% 13.7% 2.4% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.4 2.8%
15-5 4.8% 11.1% 9.7% 1.5% 11.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 4.2 1.6%
14-6 9.5% 6.2% 5.9% 0.3% 11.3 0.4 0.2 9.0 0.3%
13-7 15.7% 5.2% 5.2% 11.5 0.5 0.4 0.0 14.9
12-8 19.6% 3.7% 3.7% 11.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 18.9
11-9 19.5% 2.6% 2.6% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 19.0
10-10 15.4% 1.4% 1.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 15.1
9-11 8.6% 0.9% 0.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5
8-12 4.0% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 3.9
7-13 0.9% 0.9
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.9% 3.7% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 96.1 0.2%