Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +4.1 #108
Expected Predictive Rating +1.8 #131
Pace 67.2 #231
Improvement -5.0 #350

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #94 B- B C B B+
Defense #140 C A- C F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #45 1.13 #211 +2.6 #95
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #293 0.95 #16 -0.5 #202
Three Pointers 41% #187 1.06 #124 +0.7 #156
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #105 +2.8 #103
Freethrows 19.1 #112 75% #78 14.4 #90
Second Chance 36.9% #28 1.03 #201 0.38 #64
Turnovers 16.4% #168
Total Offense +3.3 #94

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #27 1.13 #148 -3.4 #293
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #299 0.78 #221 +1.3 #92
Three Pointers 38% #256 0.94 #82 +2.9 #76
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #155 +0.8 #154
Freethrows 23.4 #357 71% #98 16.5 #352
Second Chance 25.4% #25 0.98 #87 0.25 #30
Turnovers 16.5% #178
Total Defense +0.8 #140

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #47 2.0% #343
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.1% #131 -3.5% #113
Possession Length 18.0 #248 17.3 #175
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #252 0.13 #53
Improvement -0.4 #200 -4.6 #357

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.7% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.1 13.2
.500 or above 65.2% 69.4% 40.3%
.500 or above in Conference 15.4% 17.3% 4.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.6% 1.7% 1.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Home) - 85.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 6
Quad 21 - 62 - 12
Quad 34 - 36 - 15
Quad 411 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 229 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 85% +3  1 - 0 +3 +2 C- C- A+ -0 B+ A A+
 Tue, Nov 11 171 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 78% +5  2 - 0 +10 -1 D+ C- C- +9 B+ A A+
 Sat, Nov 15 210 Portland W 93 - 56 83% +16  3 - 0 +31 +18 A- A+ B+ +13 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Nov 19 124 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 45% -3  3 - 1 -3 -2 B F F -1 A F A-
 Sun, Nov 23 291 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 91% +11  4 - 1 -2 +3 F A+ F -5 C A- C-
 Wed, Nov 26 280 Denver W 101 - 59 90% +16  5 - 1 +32 +17 C+ A+ C +16 A+ B B+
 Sun, Nov 30 15 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 7% -2  5 - 2 +17 +11 A C- D- +6 A A C+
 Sat, Dec 6 221 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 84% +1  6 - 2 +6 +13 A+ F B- -7 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 9 283 South Dakota W 106 - 79 90% +15  7 - 2 +17 +20 A+ B+ C+ -5 B- F C
 Mon, Dec 15 170 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 69% +13  8 - 2 +14 +17 A+ A+ C- -2 B- A F
 Sat, Dec 20 79 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 49% -14  8 - 3 0 - 1 -8 -1 F A B -6 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 340 @Air Force W 68 - 56 88% +5  9 - 3 1 - 1 +4 -4 F A+ F +8 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 51 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 18% -6  9 - 4 1 - 2 -6 +2 C A D -12 C F C+
 Tue, Jan 6 114 UNLV W 98 - 66 64% +20  10 - 4 2 - 2 +32 +22 A+ A+ C +9 A+ A C
 Sat, Jan 10 80 @Nevada L 83 - 92 27% -4  10 - 5 2 - 3 +1 +26 A+ A+ A+ -25 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 46 San Diego St. L 57 - 74 35% -11  10 - 6 2 - 4 -9 -6 D F A -4 C A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 143 @Fresno St. L 60 - 63 51% +2  10 - 7 2 - 5 +1 +1 C- F F -1 C+ A+ F
 Tue, Jan 20 66 Boise St. L 65 - 81 45% -10  10 - 8 2 - 6 -11 +1 B- B C- -13 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 238 San Jose St. W 78 - 67 86%
 Wed, Jan 28 39 @Utah St. L 70 - 82 14%
 Sat, Jan 31 96 Colorado St. W 74 - 72 57%
 Tue, Feb 3 46 @San Diego St. L 68 - 78 17%
 Sat, Feb 7 39 Utah St. L 73 - 79 30%
 Sat, Feb 14 96 @Colorado St. L 71 - 75 35%
 Tue, Feb 17 143 Fresno St. W 76 - 70 72%
 Sat, Feb 21 79 @Grand Canyon L 70 - 76 27%
 Tue, Feb 24 66 @Boise St. L 68 - 75 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 340 Air Force W 78 - 59 96%
 Tue, Mar 3 80 Nevada L 72 - 73 49%
 Sat, Mar 7 238 @San Jose St. W 75 - 70 69%
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 12 +4 +3 B- B C +1 C A- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.0 0.1 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.8 4.6 0.7 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 6.9 8.2 1.9 0.0 18.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.5 9.6 11.4 3.6 0.2 27.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.8 11.3 10.7 3.6 0.3 31.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.1 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.7 6.3 14.5 21.7 22.7 17.5 9.8 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.2% 16.7% 13.3% 3.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.8%
12-8 1.3% 10.2% 9.8% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1 0.4%
11-9 4.2% 5.6% 5.6% 11.4 0.1 0.1 4.0
10-10 9.8% 3.1% 3.1% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.5
9-11 17.5% 1.9% 1.9% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 17.1
8-12 22.7% 1.3% 1.3% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 22.4
7-13 21.7% 1.0% 1.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 21.4
6-14 14.5% 0.4% 0.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 14.4
5-15 6.3% 0.5% 0.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 6.3
4-16 1.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 12.2 98.4 0.0%