Wyoming
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +4.3 106
Expected Predictive Rating +2.6 121
Pace 66.5 240
Improvement -4.6 342

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #94 C+ B- C B B
Defense C+ #132 C+ B+ C D- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 40 56% 234 +2.2 105
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 307 47% 16 -1.0 231
Three Pointers 41% 171 35% 127 +0.9 145
1st FG Attempt 1.06 109 +2.2 108
Second Chance 35.9% 45 0.98 256 0.35 96
Turnovers 16.6% 163
Freethrows 0.34 82 76% 51 0.26 52
Total Offense +3.1 94

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 38 57% 161 -3.0 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 301 40% 246 +1.2 95
Three Pointers 39% 246 31% 62 +2.6 75
1st FG Attempt 1.00 151 +0.9 146
Second Chance 25.7% 32 0.90 33 0.23 25
Turnovers 16.8% 190
Freethrows 0.39 358 70% 55 0.27 340
Total Defense +1.2 132

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.2 38 +0.9 332
Shot Type Accuracy +0.9 140 -1.7 112
Possession Length 18.1 255 17.3 184
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 257 0.14 70
Improvement -1.3 #268 -3.3 #329

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.2 11.9 12.6
.500 or above 71% 90% 59%
.500 or above in Conference 7% 15% 2%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 8
Quad 21 - 52 - 13
Quad 35 - 26 - 15
Quad 410 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 210 Cal St. Fullerton W 92 - 82 83% +3  77% 1 - 0 C+ +4 C -0 C- C- A+ B- +3 B B+ A-
 Tue, Nov 11 152 Austin Peay W 79 - 65 75% +5  89% 2 - 0 B +11 D+ -4 C- C D A+ +14 A B+ A
 Sat, Nov 15 206 Portland W 93 - 56 83% +16  92% 3 - 0 A+ +31 A+ +15 B- A+ B+ A+ +16 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Nov 19 121 @Sam Houston St. L 70 - 78 45% -3  11% 3 - 1 C- -2 D -4 B F F+ C+ +2 B B A-
 Sun, Nov 23 307 Norfolk St. W 75 - 67 92% +11  95% 4 - 1 C- -4 C- -0 F A+ F+ C- -3 C B C-
 Wed, Nov 26 257 Denver W 101 - 59 88% +16  93% 5 - 1 A+ +34 A+ +15 B A+ C A+ +18 A+ B- B
 Sun, Nov 30 16 @Texas Tech L 72 - 76 7% -2  20% 5 - 2 A- +17 B+ +9 A- C- D+ A- +9 A- A- C
 Sat, Dec 6 240 Dartmouth W 93 - 80 86% +1  37% 6 - 2 B- +6 A- +11 A+ D B+ D -6 F C- A-
 Tue, Dec 9 281 South Dakota W 106 - 79 90% +15  99% 7 - 2 A- +17 A+ +19 A+ A- B- C- -3 C F+ B-
 Mon, Dec 15 193 South Dakota St. W 87 - 72 73% +13  95% 8 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +14 A A+ C- C -1 C+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 68 Grand Canyon L 70 - 82 47% -14  3% 8 - 3 0 - 1 D+ -7 D+ -3 F+ A- B D+ -4 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 30 349 @Air Force W 68 - 56 90% +5  89% 9 - 3 1 - 1 C+ +2 F+ -8 F A F A +11 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 49 @New Mexico L 58 - 78 18% -6  37% 9 - 4 1 - 2 D+ -6 C- -2 C- A- D+ D- -7 C+ F C
 Tue, Jan 6 124 UNLV W 98 - 66 69% +20  99% 10 - 4 2 - 2 A+ +31 A+ +18 A+ A+ D+ A +13 A A- C
 Sat, Jan 10 66 @Nevada L 83 - 92 25% -4  5% 10 - 5 2 - 3 C+ +2 A+ +23 A+ A A+ F -22 F F C
 Wed, Jan 14 43 San Diego St. L 57 - 74 31% -11  15% 10 - 6 2 - 4 D+ -8 D- -7 D+ D- A C- -2 C A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 140 @Fresno St. L 60 - 63 50% +2  75% 10 - 7 2 - 5 C +1 C- -2 C+ F F+ B- +2 C A+ F
 Tue, Jan 20 58 Boise St. L 65 - 81 42% -10  23% 10 - 8 2 - 6 D -10 D+ -3 C+ B- C- D- -8 F+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 236 San Jose St. W 66 - 62 86% +3  73% 11 - 8 3 - 6 C- -3 D- -7 D+ F C+ B +4 B- A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 28 35 @Utah St. L 62 - 94 12% -22  2% 11 - 9 3 - 7 F+ -15 C- -2 F+ B+ B- F -15 F+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 103 Colorado St. W 68 - 57 60% +8  97% 12 - 9 4 - 7 B+ +13 B- +4 A D D+ A +11 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 3 43 @San Diego St. L 63 - 72 15% -7  10% 12 - 10 4 - 8 B- +6 C +1 C- B- B- B +5 A+ F D+
 Sat, Feb 7 35 Utah St. L 83 - 85 25% -3  24% 12 - 11 4 - 9 B +9 A+ +15 A C- A+ D -5 F A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 103 @Colorado St. L 69 - 72 37%
 Tue, Feb 17 140 Fresno St. W 76 - 70 72%
 Sat, Feb 21 68 @Grand Canyon L 68 - 75 26%
 Tue, Feb 24 58 @Boise St. L 69 - 77 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 349 Air Force W 79 - 59 97%
 Tue, Mar 3 66 Nevada L 72 - 73 46%
 Sat, Mar 7 236 @San Jose St. W 75 - 69 71%
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 12 +4 B- +3 C+ B- C C+ +1 C+ B+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C- A C+ C+ 44% 14% 41% B C+ B C- B- C B- B B C+ C C- B C+ 44% 17% 39% D C+ B+ B+ B+ C F B D-
1.13 56% 47% 35% +1 +1 1.06 36% 1.0 .35 17% .34 76% .26 1.07 57% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 26% 0.9 .23 17% .39 70% .24
Nov
8		 Cal St. Fullerton C F A+ B+ D+ 44% 11% 46% B+ C- D B+ C- A+ A+ F A+ B- D- B- A+ B+ 45% 24% 31% C B A B- B+ A- F C- F
1.10 48% 50% 38% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.2 .30 13% .51 59% .30 0.98 65% 33% 19% -5 0 0.92 18% 0.9 .16 20% .64 72% .46
Nov
11		 Austin Peay D+ F A A+ D 52% 12% 37% A C- C+ C- C D A C+ A- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% F A B A- B+ A F C+ F
1.03 44% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 70% .26 0.85 61% 0% 18% -13 +2 0.80 24% 1.0 .24 21% .40 71% .28
Nov
15		 Portland A+ A F C B- 40% 12% 47% B B- A+ B A+ B+ C- A+ C+ A+ B A- A+ A+ 56% 23% 21% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ F
1.32 70% 14% 33% +1 +1 1.07 44% 1.2 .51 14% .28 82% .23 0.80 54% 30% 11% -11 +1 0.81 21% 0.8 .16 18% .58 55% .31
Nov
19		 Sam Houston St. D A- B+ F B 46% 22% 32% C+ B A- F F F+ B+ F F C+ D F A+ B- 32% 23% 45% B+ B B- B B A- F F F
0.99 70% 45% 25% +3 0 1.08 39% 0.5 .18 21% .39 41% .16 1.10 64% 50% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .30 21% .59 88% .52
Nov
23		 Norfolk St. C- F A+ D- F 49% 2% 49% A F A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A- A+ C- A F+ D+ C 43% 25% 32% D+ C C- A+ B C- F D- F
1.12 38% 100% 29% -12 +3 0.84 46% 1.3 .60 21% .59 77% .45 1.00 42% 45% 36% -4 0 0.93 31% 0.7 .22 18% .53 72% .38
Nov
26		 Denver A+ D A+ A+ C+ 57% 6% 37% A B A+ A+ A+ C A- C+ A- A+ A- B- A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D A+ D A B- B F+ A+ C-
1.43 55% 67% 45% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.5 .69 13% .39 71% .28 0.84 47% 36% 14% -17 -1 0.67 33% 0.9 .30 17% .38 64% .24
Nov
30		 Texas Tech B+ B+ A+ F A 33% 37% 29% C- A- B F C- D+ D+ A+ A- A- F C A+ A 38% 29% 33% B- A- B- A A- C F A+ F
1.06 65% 58% 20% +4 -3 1.04 30% 0.7 .20 19% .24 100% .24 1.12 72% 43% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 0.8 .28 15% .52 60% .31
Dec
6		 Dartmouth A- A+ A+ C- A+ 50% 17% 33% B- A+ B- F D B+ B+ F C D C+ D- F F 30% 16% 55% C F A+ F C- A- F F F
1.28 76% 50% 32% +10 +1 1.24 33% 0.7 .22 10% .33 59% .20 1.10 54% 43% 46% +9 0 1.20 12% 2.3 .28 23% .41 87% .36
Dec
9		 South Dakota A+ B+ A- A+ A+ 59% 7% 34% B+ A+ B A- A- B- B+ A- A- C- A+ D- F+ C- 35% 29% 37% A C B- F F+ B- F C F
1.43 67% 50% 47% +13 +3 1.34 37% 1.4 .52 15% .33 81% .27 1.06 41% 43% 39% -2 -1 0.96 26% 1.4 .37 19% .55 76% .41
Dec
15		 South Dakota St. A+ A+ A B- A+ 36% 20% 44% C A A A+ A+ C- B+ A+ A C B A+ D B 43% 8% 49% F C+ A+ D- B+ F F D- F
1.30 78% 50% 36% +11 0 1.24 39% 1.6 .61 16% .36 85% .30 1.08 52% 0% 38% -3 +2 1.00 19% 1.1 .22 10% .40 75% .30
Dec
20		 Grand Canyon D+ C+ A+ F F 38% 15% 47% A- F+ C+ A+ A- B A+ B A+ D+ F F F+ F 52% 5% 43% F F A+ C+ A+ A F B F
0.95 55% 50% 12% -15 +1 0.74 28% 1.4 .38 16% .49 77% .37 1.12 73% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 22% .61 71% .44
Dec
30		 Air Force F+ F F C F 32% 12% 56% B- F B+ A A F A+ A+ A+ A F A+ A+ C+ 60% 12% 28% F C- A A+ A+ A+ F A D+
0.99 46% 0% 35% -8 +1 0.88 36% 1.3 .45 29% .55 89% .49 0.82 73% 20% 8% -4 +3 1.00 14% 0.5 .07 28% .40 55% .22
Jan
3		 New Mexico C- C- C D C- 24% 22% 53% C- C- A C A- D+ C- D C- D- B+ A F B- 47% 14% 39% C- C+ F B F C A- C A-
0.95 55% 40% 29% -4 -1 0.91 38% 1.0 .38 21% .27 69% .19 1.28 50% 29% 45% +1 +2 1.08 49% 0.9 .46 15% .23 75% .17
Jan
6		 UNLV A+ A D A+ A+ 54% 6% 40% A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A+ A A+ A A+ A+ F A+ 65% 10% 25% F A A- B+ A- C F A+ F
1.36 69% 33% 42% +11 +3 1.29 44% 1.1 .50 19% .50 79% .40 0.92 38% 25% 50% -8 +3 0.93 28% 0.7 .20 17% .75 56% .42
Jan
10		 Nevada A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 18% 36% B- A+ B A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ F C F F F 50% 17% 33% F F F+ D- F C F+ F+ F
1.35 45% 63% 50% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.4 .46 10% .56 74% .41 1.49 57% 50% 67% +17 +1 1.39 41% 1.2 .50 13% .45 83% .37
Jan
14		 San Diego St. D- F F D+ D- 32% 4% 64% A D+ D+ F D- A B D B- C- A F F B- 50% 17% 33% F C A+ D A+ F A- D B+
0.87 38% 0% 31% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.6 .13 17% .35 68% .24 1.12 50% 56% 41% +3 +1 1.10 17% 1.2 .20 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
17		 Fresno St. C- C+ C- D- C+ 42% 24% 33% C- C+ A F F F+ C- A+ B+ B- C F A+ B- 57% 12% 31% F C D A+ A+ F F A F
0.99 63% 36% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 0.4 .15 23% .26 92% .24 1.04 58% 60% 23% -2 +2 1.02 32% 0.3 .09 13% .51 67% .34
Jan
20		 Boise St. D+ D- A+ F C 41% 18% 41% B+ C+ C+ B B- C- B+ A A D- D F F F+ 49% 8% 43% F+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ F A-
1.00 50% 75% 28% 0 0 1.02 23% 1.1 .27 17% .33 78% .26 1.25 64% 50% 41% +8 +2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 12% .23 100% .23
Jan
24		 San Jose St. D- B- A+ F D- 59% 8% 33% A+ D+ C+ F F C+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ B- D- B 27% 23% 50% D+ B- A+ A A+ D- C B+ C+
1.04 65% 67% 15% -3 +3 1.03 37% 0.2 .07 17% .52 89% .46 0.98 36% 33% 38% -4 -1 0.92 15% 0.8 .13 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
28		 Utah St. C- F D+ F F 36% 13% 51% B+ F+ B+ C+ B+ B- B- D- C F F F D F 35% 7% 58% C+ F+ A- F D+ F D+ C D+
0.94 41% 33% 25% -13 +1 0.77 37% 1.1 .40 20% .34 67% .23 1.43 74% 75% 38% +11 +1 1.27 31% 1.6 .48 8% .35 71% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Colorado St. B- F C+ A+ A 24% 14% 62% B- A C F D D+ A+ A- A+ A B D+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 37% F A+ C A+ A+ D- A+ A- A+
1.16 44% 40% 48% +10 0 1.22 27% 0.9 .23 17% .49 75% .37 0.97 56% 40% 21% -8 +2 0.90 32% 0.6 .19 15% .20 70% .14
Feb
3		 San Diego St. C F A C- C- 29% 16% 56% C+ C- B+ C B- B- A+ B A+ B D C- A+ A+ 30% 30% 40% B A+ F F F D+ F A+ F
0.94 38% 43% 32% -6 0 0.89 33% 0.8 .28 21% .49 77% .38 1.07 69% 38% 18% -6 -2 0.86 39% 1.4 .54 15% .63 64% .40
Feb
7		 Utah St. A+ D- A+ A+ A- 46% 11% 43% A A C- C C- A+ D A+ C D F A+ F F 63% 9% 28% F F A+ A+ A+ C+ F C F
1.23 46% 67% 42% +3 +2 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 10% .26 88% .23 1.26 78% 25% 50% +18 +3 1.44 15% 0.7 .10 16% .51 72% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.2 0.2 0.4 5th
6th 0.3 1.6 0.5 2.4 6th
7th 1.6 7.6 3.4 0.1 12.7 7th
8th 1.0 12.5 9.6 0.8 23.8 8th
9th 0.9 12.6 14.3 1.4 29.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.6 11.5 14.8 2.5 0.0 31.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 2.7 12.4 28.4 30.8 18.9 5.9 0.8 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.8% 7.7% 7.7% 11.0 0.1 0.7
10-10 5.9% 1.9% 1.9% 11.3 0.1 0.0 5.8
9-11 18.9% 1.0% 1.0% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 18.7
8-12 30.8% 1.0% 1.0% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 30.5
7-13 28.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 28.2
6-14 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 12.4
5-15 2.7% 2.7
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.2 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%