Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#251
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace74.9#39
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#262
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#225
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 19.1% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 14.3 15.0
.500 or above 47.6% 73.9% 43.8%
.500 or above in Conference 61.5% 77.5% 59.2%
Conference Champion 8.0% 14.9% 7.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 2.2% 6.0%
First Four2.1% 1.8% 2.1%
First Round10.7% 19.4% 9.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Away) - 12.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 42 - 8
Quad 411 - 613 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2025 106   @ Belmont L 73-85 13%    
  Nov 16, 2025 157   @ Western Kentucky L 74-82 24%    
  Nov 20, 2025 17   @ Tennessee L 56-80 1%    
  Nov 25, 2025 179   @ UNC Asheville L 73-79 29%    
  Nov 30, 2025 137   @ Chattanooga L 70-79 21%    
  Dec 03, 2025 313   @ Alabama A&M W 77-76 52%    
  Dec 13, 2025 96   @ UNLV L 65-78 13%    
  Dec 18, 2025 325   Tennessee Martin W 76-69 74%    
  Dec 20, 2025 238   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 03, 2026 149   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 08, 2026 333   @ Western Illinois W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 10, 2026 322   @ Eastern Illinois W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 15, 2026 287   Morehead St. W 71-66 66%    
  Jan 17, 2026 305   Southern Indiana W 77-71 68%    
  Jan 22, 2026 236   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-72 38%    
  Jan 24, 2026 317   @ Lindenwood W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 27, 2026 326   Tennessee Tech W 78-70 74%    
  Jan 29, 2026 149   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 05, 2026 322   Eastern Illinois W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 07, 2026 333   Western Illinois W 75-67 75%    
  Feb 12, 2026 305   @ Southern Indiana L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 14, 2026 287   @ Morehead St. L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 19, 2026 317   Lindenwood W 78-71 71%    
  Feb 21, 2026 236   SIU Edwardsville W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 28, 2026 325   @ Tennessee Martin W 73-72 55%    
Projected Record 12 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.3 2.3 1.3 0.4 8.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.1 4.2 2.8 1.0 0.1 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 4.4 4.3 2.1 0.4 12.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.8 4.9 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 4.5 4.1 1.1 0.1 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.1 3.8 0.9 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.5 3.1 0.8 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.6 5.2 6.9 8.8 10.0 11.2 11.6 11.1 9.3 7.8 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.4 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 91.4% 1.3    1.1 0.2
16-4 70.3% 2.3    1.5 0.7 0.1
15-5 41.7% 2.3    1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 16.4% 1.3    0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.4% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.0% 8.0 4.7 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.4% 73.8% 73.8% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
17-3 1.5% 49.0% 49.0% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7
16-4 3.2% 39.8% 39.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.9
15-5 5.5% 35.4% 35.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.3 3.5
14-6 7.8% 27.2% 27.2% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 5.7
13-7 9.3% 20.0% 20.0% 17.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 7.5
12-8 11.1% 11.7% 11.7% 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 9.8
11-9 11.6% 6.2% 6.2% 17.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 10.9
10-10 11.2% 3.4% 3.4% 17.3 0.1 0.3 10.8
9-11 10.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.7 0.0 0.2 9.8
8-12 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.7
7-13 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
6-14 5.2% 5.2
5-15 3.6% 3.6
4-16 2.1% 2.1
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.7 4.0 89.1 0.0%