Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#236
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#181
Pace76.9#35
Improvement+4.5#5

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#264
First Shot-4.0#284
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#157
Layup/Dunks+3.2#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#344
Freethrows+1.1#113
Improvement+2.6#23

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#187
First Shot+0.4#162
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#263
Layups/Dunks-1.0#216
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows-1.9#291
Improvement+1.9#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.3% 17.2% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 74.2% 76.9% 52.3%
.500 or above in Conference 84.1% 86.5% 65.0%
Conference Champion 25.3% 27.1% 10.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 3.2%
First Four4.0% 4.0% 3.3%
First Round14.4% 15.2% 7.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Home) - 89.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 416 - 717 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 29 @Texas Tech L 60-98 4%     0 - 1 -21.3 -10.8 -7.3
  Mon, Nov 10 45 @Saint Louis L 66-109 5%     0 - 2 -29.1 -8.2 -15.0
  Fri, Nov 14 285 Charleston Southern W 83-77 60%     1 - 2 -0.9 -0.9 -0.6
  Sun, Nov 16 272 @Alabama A&M L 65-74 44%     1 - 3 -11.8 -4.8 -7.3
  Thu, Nov 20 28 @Indiana L 53-73 4%     1 - 4 -3.1 -11.9 +9.0
  Mon, Nov 24 346 UMKC W 80-67 84%     2 - 4 -2.1 -4.3 +1.2
  Tue, Dec 2 333 @Northern Illinois W 99-64 61%     3 - 4 +27.7 +16.2 +9.4
  Sat, Dec 6 329 @Eastern Illinois W 82-74 60%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +1.1 +5.6 -4.7
  Thu, Dec 18 361 Western Illinois W 78-65 89%    
  Tue, Dec 23 255 @Missouri St. L 70-72 42%    
  Thu, Jan 1 325 Morehead St. W 79-71 78%    
  Sat, Jan 3 314 Southern Indiana W 82-75 75%    
  Tue, Jan 6 230 @SIU Edwardsville L 70-73 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 315 Arkansas Little Rock W 77-70 75%    
  Thu, Jan 15 216 @Southeast Missouri St. L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 240 @Tennessee Martin L 71-74 39%    
  Thu, Jan 22 271 Tennessee Tech W 79-75 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 249 Tennessee St. W 79-75 63%    
  Thu, Jan 29 314 @Southern Indiana W 79-78 54%    
  Sat, Jan 31 325 @Morehead St. W 76-74 58%    
  Tue, Feb 3 230 SIU Edwardsville W 73-70 59%    
  Thu, Feb 5 315 @Arkansas Little Rock W 74-73 54%    
  Thu, Feb 12 240 Tennessee Martin W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 216 Southeast Missouri St. W 79-77 58%    
  Thu, Feb 19 249 @Tennessee St. L 76-78 41%    
  Sat, Feb 21 271 @Tennessee Tech L 76-78 44%    
  Thu, Feb 26 329 Eastern Illinois W 77-68 77%    
  Sat, Feb 28 361 @Western Illinois W 75-68 74%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 4.2 6.5 6.2 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.1 25.3 1st
2nd 0.2 2.1 5.6 6.1 3.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 18.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.8 5.1 1.9 0.2 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 5.0 4.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.4 1.0 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.8 0.9 0.1 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 0.7 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.4 6.8 9.4 11.7 13.5 13.3 12.2 9.9 7.1 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
18-2 99.8% 2.0    2.0 0.0
17-3 95.8% 4.1    3.7 0.3 0.0
16-4 88.0% 6.2    4.9 1.3 0.0
15-5 66.3% 6.5    3.8 2.3 0.4 0.0
14-6 34.1% 4.2    1.5 1.8 0.7 0.1
13-7 10.1% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 25.3% 25.3 17.0 6.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 47.6% 47.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 55.9% 55.9% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3
18-2 2.0% 48.4% 48.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1
17-3 4.2% 39.1% 39.1% 14.8 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.2 2.6
16-4 7.1% 36.1% 36.1% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.8 4.5
15-5 9.9% 29.8% 29.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.6 6.9
14-6 12.2% 24.7% 24.7% 15.7 0.1 0.8 2.2 9.2
13-7 13.3% 17.7% 17.7% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.9 11.0
12-8 13.5% 9.2% 9.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 12.2
11-9 11.7% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.0 0.6 11.1
10-10 9.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.0
9-11 6.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 6.7
8-12 4.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.4
7-13 2.5% 2.5
6-14 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 16.3% 16.3% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 5.4 8.9 83.7 0.0%