Preseason Rankings
Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#327
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.5#65
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#345
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#282
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 17.6% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.4 13.7 15.4
.500 or above 19.8% 64.6% 19.7%
.500 or above in Conference 35.5% 76.1% 35.4%
Conference Champion 4.0% 25.3% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.3% 2.1% 17.3%
First Four1.2% 0.0% 1.2%
First Round3.1% 17.6% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 410 - 1111 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2025 12   @ Texas Tech L 56-87 0.2%   
  Nov 10, 2025 72   @ Saint Louis L 62-83 3%    
  Nov 14, 2025 318   Charleston Southern L 70-71 47%    
  Nov 16, 2025 325   @ Alabama A&M L 74-77 38%    
  Nov 20, 2025 34   @ Indiana L 59-86 1%    
  Nov 24, 2025 301   UMKC W 67-66 53%    
  Dec 02, 2025 316   @ Northern Illinois L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 06, 2025 322   @ Eastern Illinois L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 18, 2025 339   Western Illinois W 70-66 64%    
  Dec 23, 2025 162   @ Missouri St. L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 01, 2026 293   Morehead St. W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 03, 2026 298   Southern Indiana W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 06, 2026 240   @ SIU Edwardsville L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 10, 2026 177   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 15, 2026 231   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 67-76 22%    
  Jan 17, 2026 323   @ Tennessee Martin L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 22, 2026 328   Tennessee Tech W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 24, 2026 259   Tennessee St. L 74-76 45%    
  Jan 29, 2026 298   @ Southern Indiana L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 31, 2026 293   @ Morehead St. L 63-69 32%    
  Feb 03, 2026 240   SIU Edwardsville L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 05, 2026 177   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 64-75 17%    
  Feb 12, 2026 323   Tennessee Martin W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 14, 2026 231   Southeast Missouri St. L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 19, 2026 259   @ Tennessee St. L 71-79 26%    
  Feb 21, 2026 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 26, 2026 322   Eastern Illinois W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 28, 2026 339   @ Western Illinois L 67-69 44%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.4 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.2 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.8 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.1 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 3.6 0.8 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.4 3.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.5 3.2 0.8 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.1 4.3 2.4 0.7 0.1 12.3 10th
11th 0.4 1.3 2.4 3.1 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.7 11th
Total 0.4 1.3 2.7 4.6 6.4 8.4 9.5 10.3 10.7 10.2 9.0 7.5 6.1 4.9 3.5 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 98.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 88.6% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
16-4 70.9% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 44.3% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1
14-6 22.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 5.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 74.7% 74.7% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 54.5% 54.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 38.6% 38.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 35.6% 35.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.3% 26.8% 26.8% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9
15-5 2.0% 22.3% 22.3% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.6
14-6 3.5% 16.2% 16.2% 19.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.9
13-7 4.9% 10.2% 10.2% 18.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.4
12-8 6.1% 6.7% 6.7% 18.4 0.1 0.4 5.7
11-9 7.5% 2.6% 2.6% 17.3 0.0 0.2 7.3
10-10 9.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.4 0.0 0.1 8.9
9-11 10.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.8 0.0 0.1 10.1
8-12 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.6
7-13 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-14 9.5% 9.5
5-15 8.4% 8.4
4-16 6.4% 6.4
3-17 4.6% 4.6
2-18 2.7% 2.7
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%