Lindenwood
Ohio Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#333
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#306
Pace72.2#69
Improvement+1.6#115

Offense
Total Offense-8.3#352
First Shot-6.9#342
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#265
Layup/Dunks+1.9#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#357
Freethrows-0.2#186
Improvement+0.3#161

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#247
First Shot-3.1#278
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#126
Layups/Dunks-2.0#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#326
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement+1.3#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 2.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 1.0% 2.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% 1.9% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 412 - 1013 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 48   @ Oklahoma L 60-93 2%     0 - 1 -18.7 -10.0 -7.2
  Nov 14, 2024 354   New Orleans L 74-82 62%     0 - 2 -21.9 -9.2 -12.4
  Nov 15, 2024 155   @ Robert Morris L 53-67 10%     0 - 3 -11.0 -11.6 -1.0
  Nov 17, 2024 329   Stonehill W 75-74 48%     1 - 3 -9.4 -1.0 -8.3
  Nov 21, 2024 233   @ Valparaiso L 64-77 18%     1 - 4 -14.1 -12.8 -0.9
  Nov 27, 2024 13   @ Missouri L 61-81 1%     1 - 5 +0.5 -7.8 +8.9
  Dec 07, 2024 29   @ Mississippi L 53-86 1%     1 - 6 -16.1 -8.3 -9.7
  Dec 14, 2024 319   IU Indianapolis W 81-63 55%     2 - 6 +5.8 +0.0 +6.5
  Dec 19, 2024 315   Tennessee Tech L 73-79 54%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -17.8 -7.4 -10.2
  Dec 21, 2024 342   Western Illinois W 71-65 65%     3 - 7 1 - 1 -8.8 -7.9 -0.7
  Jan 02, 2025 323   @ Eastern Illinois L 74-78 OT 35%     3 - 8 1 - 2 -11.0 -10.9 +0.6
  Jan 04, 2025 247   @ SIU Edwardsville L 47-58 20%     3 - 9 1 - 3 -13.2 -23.9 +10.5
  Jan 09, 2025 265   Tennessee St. W 72-62 41%     4 - 9 2 - 3 +1.5 -8.0 +9.0
  Jan 11, 2025 306   Tennessee Martin W 82-81 51%     5 - 9 3 - 3 -10.2 +4.9 -15.2
  Jan 16, 2025 338   @ Southern Indiana L 73-80 42%     5 - 10 3 - 4 -15.9 -3.8 -12.1
  Jan 18, 2025 327   @ Morehead St. L 65-82 37%     5 - 11 3 - 5 -24.4 -4.6 -21.2
  Jan 23, 2025 212   Southeast Missouri St. W 72-68 30%     6 - 11 4 - 5 -1.5 -3.6 +2.0
  Jan 25, 2025 240   Arkansas Little Rock L 46-78 36%     6 - 12 4 - 6 -39.2 -24.7 -15.7
  Jan 30, 2025 247   SIU Edwardsville W 65-63 37%     7 - 12 5 - 6 -5.6 -10.3 +4.7
  Feb 01, 2025 323   Eastern Illinois L 70-76 56%     7 - 13 5 - 7 -18.4 -5.0 -13.4
  Feb 06, 2025 306   @ Tennessee Martin W 52-51 31%     8 - 13 6 - 7 -4.8 -19.2 +14.5
  Feb 08, 2025 265   @ Tennessee St. L 76-84 23%     8 - 14 6 - 8 -11.0 +0.9 -11.8
  Feb 13, 2025 327   Morehead St. W 73-60 58%     9 - 14 7 - 8 +0.2 -1.0 +1.8
  Feb 15, 2025 338   Southern Indiana W 81-78 OT 63%     10 - 14 8 - 8 -11.3 -10.2 -1.5
  Feb 20, 2025 240   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 93-92 OT 19%     11 - 14 9 - 8 -0.8 +8.6 -9.5
  Feb 22, 2025 212   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 58-74 16%     11 - 15 9 - 9 -16.1 -16.5 +1.3
  Feb 25, 2025 342   @ Western Illinois L 81-86 OT 44%     11 - 16 9 - 10 -14.3 -3.0 -11.0
  Mar 01, 2025 315   @ Tennessee Tech W 76-74 33%     12 - 16 10 - 10 -4.4 -2.9 -1.5
  Mar 05, 2025 327   Morehead St. L 66-67 47%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 1.0 99.1
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.0%
Lose Out 53.3%